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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 24 January 2021

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 18
  3. 27
  4. 50
  5. 54
  6. 4

Jackpot€12,600,000

The crowdHeld 44% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 568 of 869 under them

← 2021-01-17All recent draws2021-01-31 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 18 27 50 54 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.

  • sum71th
  • odd10th
  • low66th
  • widest gap77th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread83th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 53 of each

849times
1845times
2763times
5044times
54

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-24

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 441k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • 4+116%€214K
  • 2+030%€407.2K
  • 0+131%€421K
  • 4 other tiers24%€334.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.15 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

54times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 57 of each

445times

Every number was expected about that many times after 567 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 27, 54) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 May 2015 — its closest relative in 567 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 January 2021): 8 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

157

The numbers add up to 157 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 1.3 by chance
no winners
  • 4+114≈ 36 by chance€15,283
  • 4+0159≈ 325 by chance€242
  • 3+1923≈ 1.7k by chance€47.55
  • 3+08,082≈ 16k by chance€17.65
  • 2+115,174≈ 27k by chance€7.23
  • 2+0135,734≈ 244k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1280,671≈ 281k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 8,082 winners, 48% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+114€15,283
    4+0159€242
    3+1923€47.55
    3+08,082€17.65
    2+115,174€7.23
    2+0135,734€3.00
    0+1280,671€1.50