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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Eurojackpot · every number

10

Number 10

In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022 rules — 389 draws, 5 from 1–50 (an earlier era).

Main numbersStars5/50 + 2/12 · since Mar 20225/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 20225/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014
28times drawn · chance expected 39 −1.84σ
4draws waiting · a wait this long: 73% for any number
13.9average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0
58longest completed wait · 6% chance of one at least that long
10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 28 times in 389 draws against 38.9 expected, −1.84σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

10

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 28 times in 389 draws · average wait 13.9 draws · longest completed wait 58 · waiting 4 draws now

12 draws: 2014-12-19 to 2015-03-1347 draws: 2015-03-13 to 2016-02-052 draws: 2016-02-05 to 2016-02-192 draws: 2016-02-19 to 2016-03-041 draws: 2016-03-04 to 2016-03-111 draws: 2016-03-11 to 2016-03-181 draws: 2016-03-18 to 2016-03-255 draws: 2016-03-25 to 2016-04-294 draws: 2016-04-29 to 2016-05-2719 draws: 2016-05-27 to 2016-10-071 draws: 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-145 draws: 2016-10-14 to 2016-11-1820 draws: 2016-11-18 to 2017-04-0724 draws: 2017-04-07 to 2017-09-224 draws: 2017-09-22 to 2017-10-2014 draws: 2017-10-20 to 2018-01-2611 draws: 2018-01-26 to 2018-04-1338 draws: 2018-04-13 to 2019-01-0417 draws: 2019-01-04 to 2019-05-034 draws: 2019-05-03 to 2019-05-3113 draws: 2019-05-31 to 2019-08-3011 draws: 2019-08-30 to 2019-11-1558 draws: 2019-11-15 to 2020-12-253 draws: 2020-12-25 to 2021-01-1524 draws: 2021-01-15 to 2021-07-0232 draws: 2021-07-02 to 2022-02-111 draws: 2022-02-11 to 2022-02-18Still waiting — at least 4 draws since 2022-02-182014-12-192015-03-132016-02-052016-02-192016-03-042016-03-112016-03-182016-03-252016-04-292016-05-272016-10-072016-10-142016-11-182017-04-072017-09-222017-10-202018-01-262018-04-132019-01-042019-05-032019-05-312019-08-302019-11-152020-12-252021-01-152021-07-022022-02-112022-02-182014-10-102022-03-18

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 5 times2 draws: 2 times3 draws: 1 time4 draws: 3 times5 draws: 2 times6 draws: 0 times7 draws: 0 times8 draws: 0 times9 draws: 0 times10 draws: 0 times11 draws: 2 times12 draws: 1 time13 draws: 1 time14 draws: 1 time15 draws: 0 times16 draws: 0 times17 draws: 1 time18 draws: 0 times19 draws: 1 time20 draws: 1 time21 draws: 0 times22 draws: 0 times23 draws: 0 times24 draws: 2 times25 draws: 0 times26 draws: 0 times27 draws: 0 times28 draws: 0 times29 draws: 0 times30 draws: 0 times31 draws: 0 times32 draws: 1 time33 draws: 0 times34 draws: 0 times35 draws: 0 times36 draws: 0 times37 draws: 0 times38 draws: 1 time39 draws: 0 times40 draws: 0 times41 draws: 0 times42 draws: 0 times43 draws: 0 times44 draws: 0 times45 draws: 0 times46 draws: 0 times47 draws: 1 time48 draws: 0 times49 draws: 0 times50 draws: 0 times51 draws: 0 times52 draws: 0 times53 draws: 0 times54 draws: 0 times55 draws: 0 times56 draws: 0 times57 draws: 0 times58 draws: 1 time59 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest13 · chance 12.1
  • 2nd smallest12 · chance 11.8
  • 3rd smallest3 · chance 3.7
  • 4th smallest0 · chance 0.4
  • 5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 2.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

25323519435

Never drawn alongside 6 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 5 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
  • Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2022-02-1812nd510252932
2022-02-11322nd510263742
2021-07-02243rd45102531
2021-01-1531st1019
← number 9Every numbernumber 11 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.

32
36
46
2020-12-25582nd710192642
2019-11-15111st1019243039
2019-08-30131st1018323546
2019-05-3141st1012353643
2019-05-03173rd39101942
2019-01-04382nd310253243
2018-04-13112nd310212534
2018-01-26141st1023262935
2017-10-2042nd110254649
2017-09-22241st1017323647
2017-04-07201st1027434546
2016-11-1852nd710163240
2016-10-1412nd710253942
2016-10-07192nd110204344
2016-05-2742nd410263348
2016-04-2951st1014202440
2016-03-2512nd910192035
2016-03-1811st1020354750
2016-03-1111st1016313740
2016-03-0423rd25101328
The other 4 appearances
2016-02-1921st1012282949
2016-02-05471st1025353743
2015-03-13122nd110253944
2014-12-19—1st1011253249