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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Eurojackpot · every number

10

Number 10

In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 rules — 133 draws, 5 from 1–50 (an earlier era).

Main numbersStars5/50 + 2/12 · since Mar 20225/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 20225/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014
20times drawn · chance expected 13 +1.94σ
10draws waiting · a wait this long: 39% for any number
6.2average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0
25longest completed wait · 79% chance of one at least that long
10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 20 times in 133 draws against 13.3 expected, +1.94σ. Each draw is independent: after 10 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

10

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 20 times in 133 draws · average wait 6.2 draws · longest completed wait 25 · waiting 10 draws now

1 draws: 2012-04-20 to 2012-04-276 draws: 2012-04-27 to 2012-06-081 draws: 2012-06-08 to 2012-06-153 draws: 2012-06-15 to 2012-07-0610 draws: 2012-07-06 to 2012-09-1425 draws: 2012-09-14 to 2013-03-0810 draws: 2013-03-08 to 2013-05-1714 draws: 2013-05-17 to 2013-08-231 draws: 2013-08-23 to 2013-08-302 draws: 2013-08-30 to 2013-09-132 draws: 2013-09-13 to 2013-09-275 draws: 2013-09-27 to 2013-11-0121 draws: 2013-11-01 to 2014-03-281 draws: 2014-03-28 to 2014-04-043 draws: 2014-04-04 to 2014-04-258 draws: 2014-04-25 to 2014-06-202 draws: 2014-06-20 to 2014-07-041 draws: 2014-07-04 to 2014-07-112 draws: 2014-07-11 to 2014-07-25Still waiting — at least 10 draws since 2014-07-252012-04-202012-04-272012-06-082012-06-152012-07-062012-09-142013-03-082013-05-172013-08-232013-08-302013-09-132013-09-272013-11-012014-03-282014-04-042014-04-252014-06-202014-07-042014-07-112014-07-252012-03-232014-10-03

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 5 times2 draws: 4 times3 draws: 2 times4 draws: 0 times5 draws: 1 time6 draws: 1 time7 draws: 0 times8 draws: 1 time9 draws: 0 times10 draws: 2 times11 draws: 0 times12 draws: 0 times13 draws: 0 times14 draws: 1 time15 draws: 0 times16 draws: 0 times17 draws: 0 times18 draws: 0 times19 draws: 0 times20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 1 time22 draws: 0 times23 draws: 0 times24 draws: 0 times25 draws: 1 time26 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest8 · chance 8.6
  • 2nd smallest9 · chance 8.4
  • 3rd smallest3 · chance 2.7
  • 4th smallest0 · chance 0.3
  • 5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

6313163043

Never drawn alongside 10 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 10 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
  • Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2014-07-2522nd310364347
2014-07-1112nd310163545
2014-07-0422nd310111342
2014-06-2082nd610
← number 9Every numbernumber 11 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.

23
33
41
2014-04-2533rd47103948
2014-04-0411st1016283033
2014-03-28211st1032353845
2013-11-0152nd710132627
2013-09-2722nd610213436
2013-09-1322nd310183143
2013-08-3013rd69101743
2013-08-23142nd410253047
2013-05-17103rd46101332
2013-03-08251st1012143043
2012-09-14101st1014152447
2012-07-0631st1022243338
2012-06-1512nd610171842
2012-06-0861st1015163644
2012-04-2711st1013194045
2012-04-20—1st1016304145