Set for Life · every number · star deck
5
Star 5 In Set for Life under the 5/47 + 1/10 · since Mar 2019 rules — 795 draws, 1 from 1–10.
Main numbers Stars 81 times drawn · chance expected 80 +0.18σ
9 draws waiting · a wait this long: 43% for any number
9.7 average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0
35 longest completed wait · 90% chance of one at least that long
5 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 81 times in 795 draws against 79.5 expected, +0.18σ. Each draw is independent: after 9 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
5 Number 5, draw by draw Drawn 81 times in 795 draws · average wait 9.7 draws · longest completed wait 35 · waiting 9 draws now
13 draws: 2019-04-18 to 2019-06-03 4 draws: 2019-06-03 to 2019-06-17 8 draws: 2019-06-17 to 2019-07-15 6 draws: 2019-07-15 to 2019-08-05 2 draws: 2019-08-05 to 2019-08-12 2 draws: 2019-08-12 to 2019-08-19 1 draws: 2019-08-19 to 2019-08-22 26 draws: 2019-08-22 to 2019-11-21 4 draws: 2019-11-21 to 2019-12-05 14 draws: 2019-12-05 to 2020-01-23 1 draws: 2020-01-23 to 2020-01-27 18 draws: 2020-01-27 to 2020-03-30 14 draws: 2020-03-30 to 2020-05-18 3 draws: 2020-05-18 to 2020-05-28 3 draws: 2020-05-28 to 2020-06-08 7 draws: 2020-06-08 to 2020-07-02 5 draws: 2020-07-02 to 2020-07-20 7 draws: 2020-07-20 to 2020-08-13 8 draws: 2020-08-13 to 2020-09-10 4 draws: 2020-09-10 to 2020-09-24 22 draws: 2020-09-24 to 2020-12-10 20 draws: 2020-12-10 to 2021-02-18 19 draws: 2021-02-18 to 2021-04-26 16 draws: 2021-04-26 to 2021-06-21 1 draws: 2021-06-21 to 2021-06-24 6 draws: 2021-06-24 to 2021-07-15 12 draws: 2021-07-15 to 2021-08-26 15 draws: 2021-08-26 to 2021-10-18 9 draws: 2021-10-18 to 2021-11-18 3 draws: 2021-11-18 to 2021-11-29 6 draws: 2021-11-29 to 2021-12-20 13 draws: 2021-12-20 to 2022-02-03 12 draws: 2022-02-03 to 2022-03-17 19 draws: 2022-03-17 to 2022-05-23 30 draws: 2022-05-23 to 2022-09-05 12 draws: 2022-09-05 to 2022-10-17 6 draws: 2022-10-17 to 2022-11-07 11 draws: 2022-11-07 to 2022-12-15 1 draws: 2022-12-15 to 2022-12-19 35 draws: 2022-12-19 to 2023-04-20 20 draws: 2023-04-20 to 2023-06-29 22 draws: 2023-06-29 to 2023-09-14 7 draws: 2023-09-14 to 2023-10-09 3 draws: 2023-10-09 to 2023-10-19 9 draws: 2023-10-19 to 2023-11-20 16 draws: 2023-11-20 to 2024-01-15 1 draws: 2024-01-15 to 2024-01-18 6 draws: 2024-01-18 to 2024-02-08 4 draws: 2024-02-08 to 2024-02-22 16 draws: 2024-02-22 to 2024-04-18 18 draws: 2024-04-18 to 2024-06-20 2 draws: 2024-06-20 to 2024-06-27 24 draws: 2024-06-27 to 2024-09-19 7 draws: 2024-09-19 to 2024-10-14 4 draws: 2024-10-14 to 2024-10-28 2 draws: 2024-10-28 to 2024-11-04 3 draws: 2024-11-04 to 2024-11-14 8 draws: 2024-11-14 to 2024-12-12 2 draws: 2024-12-12 to 2024-12-19 25 draws: 2024-12-19 to 2025-03-17 3 draws: 2025-03-17 to 2025-03-27 4 draws: 2025-03-27 to 2025-04-10 7 draws: 2025-04-10 to 2025-05-05 2 draws: 2025-05-05 to 2025-05-12 5 draws: 2025-05-12 to 2025-05-29 5 draws: 2025-05-29 to 2025-06-16 2 draws: 2025-06-16 to 2025-06-23 9 draws: 2025-06-23 to 2025-07-24 5 draws: 2025-07-24 to 2025-08-11 3 draws: 2025-08-11 to 2025-08-21 8 draws: 2025-08-21 to 2025-09-18 25 draws: 2025-09-18 to 2025-12-15 14 draws: 2025-12-15 to 2026-02-02 22 draws: 2026-02-02 to 2026-04-20 11 draws: 2026-04-20 to 2026-05-28 6 draws: 2026-05-28 to 2026-06-18 1 draws: 2026-06-18 to 2026-06-22 11 draws: 2026-06-22 to 2026-07-30 11 draws: 2026-07-30 to 2026-09-07 5 draws: 2026-09-07 to 2026-09-24 Still waiting — at least 9 draws since 2026-09-24 2019-04-18 2019-06-03 2019-06-17 2019-07-15 2019-08-05 2019-08-12 2019-08-19 2019-08-22 2019-11-21 2019-12-05 2020-01-23 2020-01-27 2020-03-30 2020-05-18 2020-05-28 2020-06-08 2020-07-02 2020-07-20 2020-08-13 2020-09-10 2020-09-24 2020-12-10 2021-02-18 2021-04-26 2021-06-21 2021-06-24 2021-07-15 2021-08-26 2021-10-18 2021-11-18 2021-11-29 2021-12-20 2022-02-03 2022-03-17 2022-05-23 2022-09-05 2022-10-17 2022-11-07 2022-12-15 2022-12-19 2023-04-20 2023-06-29 2023-09-14 2023-10-09 2023-10-19 2023-11-20 2024-01-15 2024-01-18 2024-02-08 2024-02-22 2024-04-18 2024-06-20 2024-06-27 2024-09-19 2024-10-14 2024-10-28 2024-11-04 2024-11-14 2024-12-12 2024-12-19 2025-03-17 2025-03-27 2025-04-10 2025-05-05 2025-05-12 2025-05-29 2025-06-16 2025-06-23 2025-07-24 2025-08-11 2025-08-21 2025-09-18 2025-12-15 2026-02-02 2026-04-20 2026-05-28 2026-06-18 2026-06-22 2026-07-30 2026-09-07 2026-09-24 2019-03-18 2026-10-26 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 6 times 2 draws: 7 times 3 draws: 7 times 4 draws: 6 times 5 draws: 5 times 6 draws: 6 times 7 draws: 5 times 8 draws: 4 times 9 draws: 3 times 10 draws: 0 times 11 draws: 4 times 12 draws: 3 times 13 draws: 2 times 14 draws: 3 times 15 draws: 1 time 16 draws: 3 times 17 draws: 0 times 18 draws: 2 times 19 draws: 2 times 20 draws: 2 times 21 draws: 0 times 22 draws: 3 times 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 1 time 25 draws: 2 times 26 draws: 1 time 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 1 time 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 1 time 36 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 5 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 81 · chance 81.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 9 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 5 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 10. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 5 →
Every draw it appeared in ← star 4 Every number star 6 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 5 is drawn with probability 1/10 tonight whatever it did last week.