Cash 5 · every number
14
Number 14 In Cash 5 under the 5/39 · Nov 2012 – Apr 2014 rules — 527 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).
5/45 · since Jun 2017 5/41 · Apr 2014 – Jun 2017 5/39 · Nov 2012 – Apr 2014 70 times drawn · chance expected 68 +0.32σ
4 draws waiting · a wait this long: 66% for any number
7.6 average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8
60 longest completed wait · 2% chance of one at least that long
14 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 70 times in 527 draws against 67.6 expected, +0.32σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
14 Number 14, draw by draw Drawn 70 times in 527 draws · average wait 7.6 draws · longest completed wait 60 · waiting 4 draws now
3 draws: 2012-11-04 to 2012-11-07 2 draws: 2012-11-07 to 2012-11-09 7 draws: 2012-11-09 to 2012-11-16 3 draws: 2012-11-16 to 2012-11-19 7 draws: 2012-11-19 to 2012-11-26 4 draws: 2012-11-26 to 2012-11-30 7 draws: 2012-11-30 to 2012-12-07 13 draws: 2012-12-07 to 2012-12-20 14 draws: 2012-12-20 to 2013-01-03 4 draws: 2013-01-03 to 2013-01-07 1 draws: 2013-01-07 to 2013-01-08 10 draws: 2013-01-08 to 2013-01-18 5 draws: 2013-01-18 to 2013-01-23 3 draws: 2013-01-23 to 2013-01-26 5 draws: 2013-01-26 to 2013-01-31 6 draws: 2013-01-31 to 2013-02-06 4 draws: 2013-02-06 to 2013-02-10 8 draws: 2013-02-10 to 2013-02-18 1 draws: 2013-02-18 to 2013-02-19 16 draws: 2013-02-19 to 2013-03-07 4 draws: 2013-03-07 to 2013-03-11 6 draws: 2013-03-11 to 2013-03-17 13 draws: 2013-03-17 to 2013-03-30 17 draws: 2013-03-30 to 2013-04-16 4 draws: 2013-04-16 to 2013-04-20 5 draws: 2013-04-20 to 2013-04-25 2 draws: 2013-04-25 to 2013-04-27 15 draws: 2013-04-27 to 2013-05-12 3 draws: 2013-05-12 to 2013-05-15 6 draws: 2013-05-15 to 2013-05-21 11 draws: 2013-05-21 to 2013-06-01 8 draws: 2013-06-01 to 2013-06-09 13 draws: 2013-06-09 to 2013-06-22 24 draws: 2013-06-22 to 2013-07-16 5 draws: 2013-07-16 to 2013-07-21 3 draws: 2013-07-21 to 2013-07-24 3 draws: 2013-07-24 to 2013-07-27 12 draws: 2013-07-27 to 2013-08-08 1 draws: 2013-08-08 to 2013-08-09 7 draws: 2013-08-09 to 2013-08-16 8 draws: 2013-08-16 to 2013-08-24 4 draws: 2013-08-24 to 2013-08-28 9 draws: 2013-08-28 to 2013-09-06 3 draws: 2013-09-06 to 2013-09-09 7 draws: 2013-09-09 to 2013-09-16 3 draws: 2013-09-16 to 2013-09-19 3 draws: 2013-09-19 to 2013-09-22 1 draws: 2013-09-22 to 2013-09-23 7 draws: 2013-09-23 to 2013-09-30 1 draws: 2013-09-30 to 2013-10-01 6 draws: 2013-10-01 to 2013-10-07 60 draws: 2013-10-07 to 2013-12-07 10 draws: 2013-12-07 to 2013-12-17 2 draws: 2013-12-17 to 2013-12-19 3 draws: 2013-12-19 to 2013-12-22 13 draws: 2013-12-22 to 2014-01-04 1 draws: 2014-01-04 to 2014-01-05 1 draws: 2014-01-05 to 2014-01-06 1 draws: 2014-01-06 to 2014-01-07 8 draws: 2014-01-07 to 2014-01-15 8 draws: 2014-01-15 to 2014-01-23 9 draws: 2014-01-23 to 2014-02-01 24 draws: 2014-02-01 to 2014-02-25 2 draws: 2014-02-25 to 2014-02-27 1 draws: 2014-02-27 to 2014-02-28 18 draws: 2014-02-28 to 2014-03-18 12 draws: 2014-03-18 to 2014-03-30 8 draws: 2014-03-30 to 2014-04-07 4 draws: 2014-04-07 to 2014-04-11 Still waiting — at least 4 draws since 2014-04-11 2012-11-04 2012-11-07 2012-11-09 2012-11-16 2012-11-19 2012-11-26 2012-11-30 2012-12-07 2012-12-20 2013-01-03 2013-01-07 2013-01-08 2013-01-18 2013-01-23 2013-01-26 2013-01-31 2013-02-06 2013-02-10 2013-02-18 2013-02-19 2013-03-07 2013-03-11 2013-03-17 2013-03-30 2013-04-16 2013-04-20 2013-04-25 2013-04-27 2013-05-12 2013-05-15 2013-05-21 2013-06-01 2013-06-09 2013-06-22 2013-07-16 2013-07-21 2013-07-24 2013-07-27 2013-08-08 2013-08-09 2013-08-16 2013-08-24 2013-08-28 2013-09-06 2013-09-09 2013-09-16 2013-09-19 2013-09-22 2013-09-23 2013-09-30 2013-10-01 2013-10-07 2013-12-07 2013-12-17 2013-12-19 2013-12-22 2014-01-04 2014-01-05 2014-01-06 2014-01-07 2014-01-15 2014-01-23 2014-02-01 2014-02-25 2014-02-27 2014-02-28 2014-03-18 2014-03-30 2014-04-07 2014-04-11 2012-11-04 2014-04-15 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 9 times 2 draws: 4 times 3 draws: 10 times 4 draws: 7 times 5 draws: 4 times 6 draws: 4 times 7 draws: 6 times 8 draws: 6 times 9 draws: 2 times 10 draws: 2 times 11 draws: 1 time 12 draws: 2 times 13 draws: 4 times 14 draws: 1 time 15 draws: 1 time 16 draws: 1 time 17 draws: 1 time 18 draws: 1 time 19 draws: 0 times 20 draws: 0 times 21 draws: 0 times 22 draws: 0 times 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 2 times 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 0 times 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 0 times 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 0 times 41 draws: 0 times 42 draws: 0 times 43 draws: 0 times 44 draws: 0 times 45 draws: 0 times 46 draws: 0 times 47 draws: 0 times 48 draws: 0 times 49 draws: 0 times 50 draws: 0 times 51 draws: 0 times 52 draws: 0 times 53 draws: 0 times 54 draws: 0 times 55 draws: 0 times 56 draws: 0 times 57 draws: 0 times 58 draws: 0 times 59 draws: 0 times 60 draws: 1 time 61 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 14 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 5 · chance 12.0 2nd smallest 36 · chance 28.4 3rd smallest 23 · chance 22.2 4th smallest 6 · chance 6.8 5th smallest 0 · chance 0.7 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 7.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 14 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 14 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 13 Every number number 15 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 14 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.