In Cash 5 under the 5/39 · Nov 2012 – Apr 2014 rules — 527 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).
69times drawn · chance expected 68 +0.19σ
7draws waiting · a wait this long: 44% for any number
7.4average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8
36longest completed wait · 43% chance of one at least that long
1 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 69 times in 527 draws against 67.6 expected, +0.19σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
1
Number 1, draw by draw
Drawn 69 times in 527 draws · average wait 7.4 draws · longest completed wait 36 · waiting 7 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.