Number 10

In Lotto under the 6/42 · since Aug 2020 rules — 645 draws, 6 from 1–42.

107times drawn · chance expected 92 +1.67σ

10draws waiting · a wait this long: 25% for any number

6.0average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0

29longest completed wait · 76% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 107 times in 645 draws against 92.1 expected, +1.67σ. Each draw is independent: after 10 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 107 times in 645 draws · average wait 6.0 draws · longest completed wait 29 · waiting 10 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest25 · chance 28.8
2nd smallest54 · chance 46.2
3rd smallest20 · chance 25.5
4th smallest8 · chance 5.9
5th smallest0 · chance 0.6
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 13.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

8 16 28 11 17 32

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 41 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 42. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-16	6	1st	10 11 27 28 36 40
2026-08-26	20	2nd	4 10 18 19 28 36
2026-06-17	3	3rd	4 7 10 24 39 42
2026-06-06	9	2nd	4

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 6/42 tonight whatever it did last week.

2025-03-15	4	3rd	7 8 10 18 28 31
2025-03-01	2	2nd	4 10 14 15 26 32
2025-02-22	1	2nd	6 10 16 19 37 38
2025-02-19	5	1st	10 19 20 26 38 41
2025-02-01	1	3rd	1 8 10 26 30 32
2025-01-29	9	2nd	9 10 20 22 27 35
2024-12-28	2	2nd	1 10 21 23 34 38
2024-12-18	3	2nd	2 10 17 20 32 42
2024-12-07	1	2nd	8 10 11 24 33 41
2024-12-04	2	1st	10 14 16 23 32 42
2024-11-27	4	1st	10 11 13 21 33 42
2024-11-13	2	3rd	7 8 10 14 30 32
2024-11-06	5	1st	10 22 23 30 31 42
2024-10-19	3	2nd	8 10 16 25 27 38
2024-10-09	1	1st	10 19 22 34 38 40
2024-10-05	6	2nd	2 10 20 25 27 34
2024-09-14	3	2nd	5 10 11 14 17 40
2024-09-04	2	2nd	3 10 16 24 36 38
2024-08-28	1	1st	10 12 13 25 26 29
2024-08-24	2	2nd	1 10 11 19 25 42
2024-08-17	5	2nd	8 10 22 23 24 28
2024-07-31	16	3rd	3 6 10 17 22 37
2024-06-05	7	2nd	5 10 17 30 33 39
2024-05-11	2	3rd	4 8 10 11 12 36
2024-05-04	16	2nd	8 10 14 21 28 35
2024-03-09	6	2nd	3 10 16 19 33 37
2024-02-17	12	4th	5 7 8 10 17 30
2024-01-06	6	2nd	9 10 14 16 34 38
2023-12-16	7	3rd	4 8 10 15 16 36
2023-11-22	3	1st	10 12 14 15 20 36
2023-11-11	1	2nd	8 10 11 29 31 33
2023-11-08	6	1st	10 12 13 27 29 32
2023-10-18	4	2nd	8 10 16 25 28 38
2023-10-04	1	2nd	2 10 17 32 36 38
2023-09-30	19	2nd	7 10 17 20 21 22
2023-07-26	6	1st	10 15 20 27 28 36
2023-07-05	10	3rd	2 3 10 21 23 26
2023-05-31	5	1st	10 12 15 20 33 36
2023-05-13	3	2nd	6 10 13 16 34 41
2023-05-03	1	4th	4 6 8 10 24 28
2023-04-29	4	2nd	5 10 16 18 25 37
2023-04-15	15	2nd	5 10 19 22 24 42
2023-02-22	6	4th	2 5 8 10 19 28
2023-02-01	9	1st	10 11 12 17 33 42
2022-12-31	1	3rd	5 6 10 13 19 26
2022-12-28	4	3rd	2 4 10 26 32 36
2022-12-14	6	1st	10 14 15 16 17 37
2022-11-23	1	3rd	1 3 10 25 28 31
2022-11-19	5	2nd	3 10 15 20 36 42
2022-11-02	5	2nd	5 10 14 16 31 38
2022-10-15	8	2nd	5 10 28 30 34 38
2022-09-17	4	4th	2 5 7 10 13 18
2022-09-03	29	1st	10 14 20 32 35 36
2022-05-25	1	4th	4 7 9 10 35 39
2022-05-21	2	3rd	1 4 10 11 16 26
2022-05-14	2	2nd	8 10 16 21 36 39
2022-05-07	9	3rd	3 9 10 16 24 42
2022-04-06	10	1st	10 13 17 22 34 38
2022-03-02	5	1st	10 14 17 26 28 42
2022-02-12	1	2nd	8 10 11 16 28 37
2022-02-09	10	2nd	3 10 11 12 21 35
2022-01-05	20	2nd	5 10 27 30 34 42
2021-10-23	1	2nd	4 10 19 29 31 32
2021-10-20	4	4th	2 6 7 10 11 12
2021-10-06	8	3rd	2 3 10 16 39 42
2021-09-08	29	2nd	5 10 13 20 32 39
2021-05-29	4	2nd	4 10 20 30 35 36
2021-05-15	12	1st	10 11 19 28 33 40
2021-04-03	3	2nd	8 10 29 32 37 40
2021-03-24	5	2nd	1 10 12 17 28 41
2021-03-06	3	2nd	7 10 12 17 29 31
2021-02-24	17	2nd	8 10 22 32 34 37
2020-12-26	8	4th	1 7 8 10 23 27
2020-11-28	1	3rd	5 7 10 32 37 38
2020-11-25	1	3rd	3 9 10 21 22 34
2020-11-21	2	2nd	6 10 13 15 26 42
2020-11-14	9	1st	10 13 17 19 25 33
2020-10-14	2	1st	10 22 32 33 39 40
2020-10-07	2	4th	5 6 8 10 36 39
2020-09-30	8	2nd	2 10 26 28 32 38
2020-09-02	3	2nd	2 10 12 20 21 25
2020-08-22	1	3rd	2 8 10 24 29 35
2020-08-19	—	1st	10 11 15 22 24 38