In Big Sky Bonus under the 4/31 + 1/16 · since Oct 2024 rules — 743 draws, 1 from 1–16.
56times drawn · chance expected 46 +1.45σ
65draws waiting · a wait this long: 2% for any number
12.2average wait between appearances · chance says 16.0
49longest completed wait · 92% chance of one at least that long
11 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 56 times in 743 draws against 46.4 expected, +1.45σ. Each draw is independent: after 65 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
11
Number 11, draw by draw
Drawn 56 times in 743 draws · average wait 12.2 draws · longest completed wait 49 · waiting 65 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 15 of the other 15 numbers; chance expects about 15 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 16. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 1/16 tonight whatever it did last week.