Number 15

In Cash 5 under the 5/39 · Apr 2010 – May 2016 rules — 2,219 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

283times drawn · chance expected 284 −0.09σ

11draws waiting · a wait this long: 25% for any number

7.8average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

41longest completed wait · 69% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 283 times in 2,219 draws against 284.5 expected, −0.09σ. Each draw is independent: after 11 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 283 times in 2,219 draws · average wait 7.8 draws · longest completed wait 41 · waiting 11 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest48 · chance 40.7
2nd smallest107 · chance 108.6
3rd smallest88 · chance 96.3
4th smallest35 · chance 33.5
5th smallest5 · chance 3.8

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 29.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

37 2 38 39 5 35

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2016-05-05	12	1st	15 19 26 31 35
2016-04-23	9	1st	15 20 30 32 35
2016-04-14	1	3rd	1 8 15 27 34
2016-04-13	7	3rd	10 14 15

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

2015-11-27	37	2nd	5 15 19 37 38
2015-10-21	6	1st	15 16 18 21 31
2015-10-15	4	1st	15 18 19 24 39
2015-10-11	4	3rd	8 10 15 31 39
2015-10-07	11	3rd	12 13 15 20 33
2015-09-26	8	1st	15 20 21 24 34
2015-09-18	5	3rd	4 13 15 35 37
2015-09-13	1	3rd	1 8 15 18 20
2015-09-12	2	2nd	12 15 22 23 34
2015-09-10	1	3rd	1 7 15 22 24
2015-09-09	3	2nd	9 15 16 18 38
2015-09-06	22	4th	2 7 10 15 34
2015-08-15	1	4th	5 11 12 15 37
2015-08-14	3	2nd	2 15 16 17 20
2015-08-11	12	1st	15 17 27 31 38
2015-07-30	1	2nd	13 15 20 25 38
2015-07-29	13	1st	15 22 30 34 39
2015-07-16	10	4th	3 7 11 15 34
2015-07-06	11	1st	15 16 20 26 38
2015-06-25	2	3rd	2 8 15 33 34
2015-06-23	5	3rd	2 6 15 34 35
2015-06-18	1	2nd	11 15 21 28 39
2015-06-17	11	1st	15 16 17 32 33
2015-06-06	15	3rd	4 13 15 23 26
2015-05-22	19	2nd	11 15 24 32 36
2015-05-02	6	5th	4 7 9 12 15
2015-04-26	2	2nd	14 15 17 24 27
2015-04-24	2	2nd	5 15 17 31 35
2015-04-22	10	4th	9 12 13 15 38
2015-04-12	32	1st	15 23 34 35 36
2015-03-11	16	1st	15 32 35 36 37
2015-02-23	15	4th	1 4 7 15 26
2015-02-08	30	1st	15 31 34 36 38
2015-01-09	1	1st	15 19 22 23 37
2015-01-08	10	3rd	9 12 15 20 25
2014-12-29	17	2nd	8 15 31 38 39
2014-12-12	9	1st	15 19 26 28 32
2014-12-03	9	2nd	8 15 21 24 34
2014-11-24	11	2nd	6 15 18 28 35
2014-11-13	6	4th	5 9 12 15 25
2014-11-07	4	4th	4 10 14 15 22
2014-11-03	4	3rd	13 14 15 19 20
2014-10-30	13	2nd	13 15 21 25 27
2014-10-17	2	1st	15 22 29 33 39
2014-10-15	4	2nd	8 15 18 30 33
2014-10-11	6	2nd	5 15 25 30 37
2014-10-05	8	2nd	8 15 20 23 29
2014-09-27	1	2nd	8 15 25 27 37
2014-09-26	7	3rd	5 8 15 26 31
2014-09-19	13	3rd	8 11 15 18 32
2014-09-06	32	3rd	5 13 15 21 27
2014-08-05	2	2nd	9 15 17 30 33
2014-08-03	1	2nd	7 15 19 26 39
2014-08-02	2	3rd	3 9 15 17 33
2014-07-31	2	2nd	8 15 34 36 37
2014-07-29	1	3rd	2 13 15 25 36
2014-07-28	10	2nd	2 15 28 35 39
2014-07-18	1	1st	15 18 27 35 38
2014-07-17	5	4th	3 4 5 15 38
2014-07-12	7	2nd	7 15 27 32 34
2014-07-05	2	1st	15 21 22 24 36
2014-07-03	1	3rd	2 6 15 16 36
2014-07-02	9	3rd	2 3 15 33 38
2014-06-23	16	1st	15 16 25 29 37
2014-06-07	3	1st	15 20 24 35 39
2014-06-04	13	4th	4 6 8 15 32
2014-05-22	3	3rd	8 13 15 32 37
2014-05-19	1	1st	15 22 30 31 37
2014-05-18	6	4th	3 4 12 15 38
2014-05-12	2	3rd	5 12 15 31 33
2014-05-10	4	3rd	5 8 15 20 29
2014-05-06	1	2nd	12 15 32 33 35
2014-05-05	12	2nd	6 15 19 26 28
2014-04-23	1	3rd	9 13 15 33 34
2014-04-22	2	3rd	6 7 15 28 32
2014-04-20	2	3rd	3 7 15 25 29
2014-04-18	11	4th	2 7 13 15 34
2014-04-07	1	3rd	1 5 15 22 23
2014-04-06	4	1st	15 16 19 27 35
2014-04-02	4	3rd	3 9 15 16 23
2014-03-29	2	2nd	10 15 26 29 35
2014-03-27	12	2nd	3 15 26 35 37
2014-03-15	17	2nd	12 15 16 21 33
2014-02-26	10	2nd	9 15 28 37 39
2014-02-16	4	1st	15 17 18 27 36
2014-02-12	5	2nd	7 15 17 18 33
2014-02-07	10	2nd	9 15 17 21 24
2014-01-28	1	3rd	6 11 15 16 38
2014-01-27	9	3rd	6 9 15 17 20
2014-01-18	7	1st	15 16 21 22 29
2014-01-11	8	1st	15 17 22 35 37
2014-01-03	7	3rd	8 9 15 26 34
2013-12-27	20	2nd	7 15 29 32 38
2013-12-07	3	2nd	12 15 16 27 31
2013-12-04	10	2nd	12 15 24 35 38
2013-11-24	7	2nd	11 15 16 34 39
2013-11-17	6	3rd	7 10 15 21 23
2013-11-11	4	2nd	14 15 19 24 36
2013-11-07	3	3rd	3 11 15 24 29
2013-11-04	10	3rd	2 7 15 16 19
2013-10-24	3	4th	2 10 12 15 16
2013-10-21	1	2nd	2 15 19 31 34
2013-10-20	5	1st	15 26 28 30 32
2013-10-15	15	2nd	4 15 19 28 33
2013-09-30	1	2nd	13 15 19 28 36
2013-09-29	5	1st	15 22 26 30 37
2013-09-24	3	3rd	8 9 15 37 38
2013-09-21	5	4th	4 9 12 15 27
2013-09-16	3	3rd	3 8 15 26 38
2013-09-13	5	4th	2 3 12 15 22
2013-09-08	1	2nd	11 15 21 34 37
2013-09-07	6	4th	1 3 7 15 30
2013-09-01	17	2nd	1 15 31 35 37
2013-08-15	1	4th	2 3 10 15 37
2013-08-14	24	2nd	9 15 32 33 36
2013-07-21	7	4th	2 5 10 15 39
2013-07-14	15	3rd	1 13 15 25 36
2013-06-29	3	3rd	5 8 15 18 28
2013-06-26	1	1st	15 26 27 30 33
2013-06-25	4	2nd	3 15 22 38 39
2013-06-21	7	3rd	11 12 15 25 31
2013-06-14	19	3rd	2 5 15 21 35
2013-05-26	32	4th	3 8 12 15 23
2013-04-24	8	1st	15 16 18 36 38
2013-04-16	2	4th	4 5 10 15 20
2013-04-14	1	2nd	3 15 29 34 37
2013-04-13	19	2nd	4 15 21 26 37
2013-03-25	2	3rd	4 11 15 31 33
2013-03-23	22	2nd	4 15 22 28 35
2013-03-01	12	5th	1 2 9 13 15
2013-02-17	4	3rd	2 5 15 20 38
2013-02-13	2	2nd	10 15 21 25 39
2013-02-11	10	2nd	10 15 22 23 24
2013-02-01	11	3rd	11 14 15 25 37
2013-01-21	9	4th	6 9 14 15 27
2013-01-12	8	4th	3 11 14 15 39
2013-01-04	1	2nd	6 15 19 20 29
2013-01-03	2	3rd	2 13 15 16 24
2013-01-01	34	4th	3 5 10 15 17
2012-11-28	1	1st	15 19 26 27 38
2012-11-27	2	2nd	5 15 25 26 37
2012-11-25	4	1st	15 23 26 32 34
2012-11-21	3	4th	3 4 14 15 28
2012-11-18	1	3rd	8 11 15 27 35
2012-11-17	2	2nd	14 15 23 35 36
2012-11-15	8	1st	15 18 24 30 31
2012-11-07	4	3rd	11 13 15 24 39
2012-11-03	3	3rd	9 12 15 19 33
2012-10-31	5	3rd	7 13 15 19 32
2012-10-26	7	2nd	6 15 31 32 34
2012-10-19	7	3rd	1 9 15 16 26
2012-10-12	2	1st	15 16 27 38 39
2012-10-10	9	1st	15 22 24 25 37
2012-10-01	11	3rd	10 13 15 28 34
2012-09-20	9	1st	15 17 19 27 35
2012-09-11	2	3rd	2 13 15 21 30
2012-09-09	16	3rd	1 14 15 32 36
2012-08-24	35	3rd	8 14 15 16 32
2012-07-20	1	2nd	2 15 16 38 39
2012-07-19	2	3rd	1 8 15 33 36
2012-07-17	6	2nd	7 15 22 31 39
2012-07-11	8	3rd	6 14 15 19 39
2012-07-03	4	1st	15 20 24 33 37
2012-06-28	14	1st	15 21 24 26 39
2012-06-14	8	3rd	3 14 15 22 27
2012-06-06	3	3rd	8 14 15 29 34
2012-06-03	1	2nd	9 15 28 29 35
2012-06-02	14	1st	15 19 26 31 35
2012-05-19	1	2nd	14 15 16 20 21
2012-05-18	17	2nd	9 15 26 28 38
2012-04-28	1	2nd	6 15 20 27 29
2012-04-27	3	3rd	10 11 15 21 38
2012-04-24	5	3rd	5 12 15 20 35
2012-04-19	10	4th	2 3 4 15 26
2012-04-09	2	2nd	7 15 18 28 39
2012-04-07	9	2nd	10 15 17 24 36
2012-03-29	20	2nd	2 15 17 21 29
2012-03-09	10	3rd	4 12 15 21 31
2012-02-28	5	1st	15 21 30 31 32
2012-02-23	8	3rd	12 14 15 22 32
2012-02-15	6	3rd	8 11 15 34 39
2012-02-09	11	3rd	4 10 15 37 39
2012-01-29	7	3rd	3 6 15 26 39
2012-01-22	7	3rd	2 10 15 28 37
2012-01-15	4	3rd	1 5 15 28 30
2012-01-11	15	3rd	4 14 15 25 34
2011-12-27	22	1st	15 19 28 36 38
2011-12-05	10	4th	5 9 11 15 19
2011-11-25	8	2nd	5 15 34 36 37
2011-11-17	5	1st	15 20 27 31 38
2011-11-12	3	2nd	1 15 29 32 35
2011-11-09	8	3rd	4 10 15 30 39
2011-11-01	3	2nd	8 15 19 27 31
2011-10-29	1	2nd	8 15 24 28 30
2011-10-28	1	2nd	5 15 28 34 39
2011-10-27	22	4th	5 6 12 15 39
2011-10-03	1	2nd	2 15 19 33 35
2011-10-02	7	2nd	13 15 24 36 37
2011-09-25	9	2nd	3 15 20 22 34
2011-09-16	6	5th	2 5 10 11 15
2011-09-10	9	2nd	11 15 24 27 31
2011-09-01	29	1st	15 20 25 28 37
2011-07-31	1	2nd	11 15 21 24 39
2011-07-30	9	2nd	8 15 18 25 28
2011-07-21	11	1st	15 19 28 30 37
2011-07-10	14	2nd	14 15 30 34 35
2011-06-26	38	1st	15 19 27 28 31
2011-05-19	1	4th	2 3 6 15 19
2011-05-18	9	3rd	1 6 15 18 30
2011-05-09	3	2nd	11 15 24 29 35
2011-05-06	8	4th	4 12 13 15 36
2011-04-28	8	4th	1 6 12 15 25
2011-04-20	4	1st	15 22 28 35 38
2011-04-15	2	4th	1 2 12 15 18
2011-04-13	5	3rd	4 9 15 16 21
2011-04-08	25	2nd	1 15 23 28 39
2011-03-14	4	2nd	6 15 16 21 36
2011-03-10	13	2nd	9 15 16 27 32
2011-02-25	3	3rd	10 11 15 19 39
2011-02-22	2	2nd	11 15 21 34 35
2011-02-20	17	2nd	9 15 17 26 37
2011-02-03	3	2nd	12 15 19 20 33
2011-01-30	16	3rd	3 9 15 20 24
2011-01-14	4	2nd	8 15 18 27 28
2011-01-10	6	2nd	11 15 16 24 25
2011-01-04	41	2nd	11 15 21 22 29
2010-11-24	6	2nd	12 15 20 27 31
2010-11-18	5	2nd	11 15 20 24 39
2010-11-13	3	2nd	4 15 18 22 28
2010-11-10	10	2nd	6 15 18 20 31
2010-10-31	17	3rd	2 5 15 24 30
2010-10-14	3	2nd	6 15 16 17 38
2010-10-11	1	3rd	6 8 15 25 39
2010-10-10	2	3rd	9 10 15 21 22
2010-10-08	6	1st	15 17 25 32 36
2010-10-02	9	5th	2 4 7 13 15
2010-09-23	2	3rd	6 7 15 30 36
2010-09-21	10	3rd	9 13 15 33 37
2010-09-11	5	1st	15 17 26 29 39
2010-09-06	9	2nd	6 15 29 30 34
2010-08-28	6	3rd	2 6 15 38 39
2010-08-22	10	2nd	5 15 23 29 37
2010-08-12	10	2nd	2 15 17 24 25
2010-08-02	18	5th	3 5 7 13 15
2010-07-15	11	2nd	7 15 25 27 37
2010-07-04	1	2nd	9 15 18 20 38
2010-07-03	11	3rd	2 11 15 33 36
2010-06-22	11	4th	2 6 10 15 37
2010-06-11	1	3rd	3 11 15 32 33
2010-06-10	10	2nd	7 15 20 23 38
2010-05-31	7	1st	15 17 23 24 35
2010-05-24	2	2nd	7 15 21 36 37
2010-05-22	2	2nd	1 15 23 24 32
2010-05-20	3	3rd	7 12 15 28 33
2010-05-17	17	2nd	2 15 26 33 39
2010-04-30	2	3rd	7 11 15 18 25
2010-04-28	18	2nd	9 15 17 32 36
2010-04-10	2	4th	4 5 12 15 38
2010-04-08	—	2nd	5 15 26 27 37