Powerball · every number
15
Number 15 In Powerball under the 5/45 + 1/45 · Apr 1992 – Nov 1997 rules — 578 draws, 5 from 1–45 (an earlier era).
5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015 5/59 + 1/35 · Jan 2012 – Oct 2015 5/59 + 1/39 · Jan 2009 – Jan 2012 5/55 + 1/42 · Aug 2005 – Jan 2009 5/53 + 1/42 · Oct 2002 – Aug 2005 5/49 + 1/42 · Nov 1997 – Oct 2002 5/45 + 1/45 · Apr 1992 – Nov 1997 77 times drawn · chance expected 64 +1.69σ
2 draws waiting · a wait this long: 89% for any number
7.3 average wait between appearances · chance says 9.0
36 longest completed wait · 71% chance of one at least that long
15 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 77 times in 578 draws against 64.2 expected, +1.69σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 9 times, counted separately.
15 Number 15, draw by draw Drawn 77 times in 578 draws · average wait 7.3 draws · longest completed wait 36 · waiting 2 draws now
4 draws: 1992-06-20 to 1992-07-04 6 draws: 1992-07-04 to 1992-07-25 2 draws: 1992-07-25 to 1992-08-01 1 draws: 1992-08-01 to 1992-08-05 25 draws: 1992-08-05 to 1992-10-31 5 draws: 1992-10-31 to 1992-11-18 3 draws: 1992-11-18 to 1992-11-28 16 draws: 1992-11-28 to 1993-01-23 5 draws: 1993-01-23 to 1993-02-10 6 draws: 1993-02-10 to 1993-03-03 1 draws: 1993-03-03 to 1993-03-06 8 draws: 1993-03-06 to 1993-04-03 4 draws: 1993-04-03 to 1993-04-17 2 draws: 1993-04-17 to 1993-04-24 3 draws: 1993-04-24 to 1993-05-05 3 draws: 1993-05-05 to 1993-05-15 11 draws: 1993-05-15 to 1993-06-23 3 draws: 1993-06-23 to 1993-07-03 2 draws: 1993-07-03 to 1993-07-10 21 draws: 1993-07-10 to 1993-09-22 7 draws: 1993-09-22 to 1993-10-16 8 draws: 1993-10-16 to 1993-11-13 6 draws: 1993-11-13 to 1993-12-04 2 draws: 1993-12-04 to 1993-12-11 3 draws: 1993-12-11 to 1993-12-22 6 draws: 1993-12-22 to 1994-01-12 3 draws: 1994-01-12 to 1994-01-22 1 draws: 1994-01-22 to 1994-01-26 19 draws: 1994-01-26 to 1994-04-02 6 draws: 1994-04-02 to 1994-04-23 9 draws: 1994-04-23 to 1994-05-25 3 draws: 1994-05-25 to 1994-06-04 1 draws: 1994-06-04 to 1994-06-08 17 draws: 1994-06-08 to 1994-08-06 18 draws: 1994-08-06 to 1994-10-08 5 draws: 1994-10-08 to 1994-10-26 1 draws: 1994-10-26 to 1994-10-29 4 draws: 1994-10-29 to 1994-11-12 17 draws: 1994-11-12 to 1995-01-11 7 draws: 1995-01-11 to 1995-02-04 2 draws: 1995-02-04 to 1995-02-11 7 draws: 1995-02-11 to 1995-03-08 5 draws: 1995-03-08 to 1995-03-25 9 draws: 1995-03-25 to 1995-04-26 1 draws: 1995-04-26 to 1995-04-29 1 draws: 1995-04-29 to 1995-05-03 13 draws: 1995-05-03 to 1995-06-17 13 draws: 1995-06-17 to 1995-08-02 19 draws: 1995-08-02 to 1995-10-07 16 draws: 1995-10-07 to 1995-12-02 2 draws: 1995-12-02 to 1995-12-09 9 draws: 1995-12-09 to 1996-01-10 9 draws: 1996-01-10 to 1996-02-10 1 draws: 1996-02-10 to 1996-02-14 1 draws: 1996-02-14 to 1996-02-17 7 draws: 1996-02-17 to 1996-03-13 6 draws: 1996-03-13 to 1996-04-03 1 draws: 1996-04-03 to 1996-04-06 13 draws: 1996-04-06 to 1996-05-22 6 draws: 1996-05-22 to 1996-06-12 8 draws: 1996-06-12 to 1996-07-10 1 draws: 1996-07-10 to 1996-07-13 1 draws: 1996-07-13 to 1996-07-17 2 draws: 1996-07-17 to 1996-07-24 4 draws: 1996-07-24 to 1996-08-07 5 draws: 1996-08-07 to 1996-08-24 6 draws: 1996-08-24 to 1996-09-14 6 draws: 1996-09-14 to 1996-10-05 13 draws: 1996-10-05 to 1996-11-20 6 draws: 1996-11-20 to 1996-12-11 10 draws: 1996-12-11 to 1997-01-15 20 draws: 1997-01-15 to 1997-03-26 6 draws: 1997-03-26 to 1997-04-16 36 draws: 1997-04-16 to 1997-08-20 9 draws: 1997-08-20 to 1997-09-20 10 draws: 1997-09-20 to 1997-10-25 Still waiting — at least 2 draws since 1997-10-25 1992-06-20 1992-07-04 1992-07-25 1992-08-01 1992-08-05 1992-10-31 1992-11-18 1992-11-28 1993-01-23 1993-02-10 1993-03-03 1993-03-06 1993-04-03 1993-04-17 1993-04-24 1993-05-05 1993-05-15 1993-06-23 1993-07-03 1993-07-10 1993-09-22 1993-10-16 1993-11-13 1993-12-04 1993-12-11 1993-12-22 1994-01-12 1994-01-22 1994-01-26 1994-04-02 1994-04-23 1994-05-25 1994-06-04 1994-06-08 1994-08-06 1994-10-08 1994-10-26 1994-10-29 1994-11-12 1995-01-11 1995-02-04 1995-02-11 1995-03-08 1995-03-25 1995-04-26 1995-04-29 1995-05-03 1995-06-17 1995-08-02 1995-10-07 1995-12-02 1995-12-09 1996-01-10 1996-02-10 1996-02-14 1996-02-17 1996-03-13 1996-04-03 1996-04-06 1996-05-22 1996-06-12 1996-07-10 1996-07-13 1996-07-17 1996-07-24 1996-08-07 1996-08-24 1996-09-14 1996-10-05 1996-11-20 1996-12-11 1997-01-15 1997-03-26 1997-04-16 1997-08-20 1997-09-20 1997-10-25 1992-04-22 1997-11-01
1 draws: 12 times 2 draws: 7 times 3 draws: 7 times 4 draws: 4 times 5 draws: 5 times 6 draws: 11 times 7 draws: 4 times 8 draws: 3 times 9 draws: 5 times 10 draws: 2 times 11 draws: 1 time 12 draws: 0 times 13 draws: 4 times 14 draws: 0 times 15 draws: 0 times 16 draws: 2 times 17 draws: 2 times 18 draws: 1 time 19 draws: 2 times 20 draws: 1 time 21 draws: 1 time 22 draws: 0 times 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 1 time 26 draws: 0 times 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 1 time 37 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 18 · chance 15.5 2nd smallest 33 · chance 32.2 3rd smallest 23 · chance 22.5 4th smallest 3 · chance 6.2 5th smallest 0 · chance 0.6 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 7.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 14 Every number number 16 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 5/45 tonight whatever it did last week.