In Powerball under the 5/45 + 1/45 · Apr 1992 – Nov 1997 rules — 578 draws, 5 from 1–45 (an earlier era).
71times drawn · chance expected 64 +0.90σ
15draws waiting · a wait this long: 19% for any number
8.0average wait between appearances · chance says 9.0
32longest completed wait · 84% chance of one at least that long
1 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 71 times in 578 draws against 64.2 expected, +0.90σ. Each draw is independent: after 15 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 16 times, counted separately.
1
Number 1, draw by draw
Drawn 71 times in 578 draws · average wait 8.0 draws · longest completed wait 32 · waiting 15 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 5/45 tonight whatever it did last week.