In Powerball under the 5/59 + 1/39 · Jan 2009 – Jan 2012 rules — 316 draws, 5 from 1–59 (an earlier era).
31times drawn · chance expected 27 +0.85σ
5draws waiting · a wait this long: 70% for any number
9.8average wait between appearances · chance says 11.8
47longest completed wait · 40% chance of one at least that long
16 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 31 times in 316 draws against 26.8 expected, +0.85σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
16
Number 16, draw by draw
Drawn 31 times in 316 draws · average wait 9.8 draws · longest completed wait 47 · waiting 5 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 16 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 58 numbers; chance expects about 7 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 16 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 59. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 16 is drawn with probability 5/59 tonight whatever it did last week.