Number 8

In Wild Money under the 5/35 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2016 rules — 1,034 draws, 5 from 1–35 (an earlier era).

128times drawn · chance expected 148 −1.75σ

18draws waiting · a wait this long: 7% for any number

7.9average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0

51longest completed wait · 6% chance of one at least that long

8 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 128 times in 1,034 draws against 147.7 expected, −1.75σ. Each draw is independent: after 18 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 8, draw by draw

Drawn 128 times in 1,034 draws · average wait 7.9 draws · longest completed wait 51 · waiting 18 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 8 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest38 · chance 48.4
2nd smallest62 · chance 56.5
3rd smallest25 · chance 20.3
4th smallest3 · chance 2.6
5th smallest0 · chance 0.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 15.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

2 7 25 32 5 9

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 8 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Culturally lucky numbers 3, 8, 9 ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 8 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2016-10-04	13	2nd	3 8 15 28 30
2016-09-03	3	3rd	6 7 8 17 19
2016-08-27	51	2nd	3 8 12 24 29
2016-04-30	17	4th	4 5

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 8 is drawn with probability 5/35 tonight whatever it did last week.

2015-06-25	20	1st	8 12 13 25 34
2015-05-09	15	3rd	5 6 8 11 29
2015-04-04	2	1st	8 14 15 19 23
2015-03-31	1	2nd	5 8 14 31 35
2015-03-28	6	2nd	7 8 12 17 34
2015-03-14	11	3rd	3 6 8 28 31
2015-02-17	11	2nd	7 8 23 25 30
2015-01-22	5	1st	8 13 16 17 23
2015-01-10	10	2nd	6 8 12 25 29
2014-12-18	4	2nd	1 8 12 18 22
2014-12-09	5	2nd	2 8 29 33 35
2014-11-27	9	2nd	7 8 20 24 31
2014-11-06	7	2nd	4 8 10 15 18
2014-10-21	11	2nd	3 8 20 27 34
2014-09-25	3	2nd	6 8 19 31 35
2014-09-18	13	1st	8 12 13 18 27
2014-08-19	6	2nd	7 8 12 15 30
2014-08-05	24	3rd	5 6 8 23 34
2014-06-10	5	2nd	2 8 20 23 35
2014-05-29	1	1st	8 13 21 28 31
2014-05-27	18	2nd	3 8 18 21 22
2014-04-15	3	1st	8 9 21 30 33
2014-04-08	4	2nd	5 8 12 20 32
2014-03-29	21	2nd	4 8 11 29 32
2014-02-08	8	2nd	1 8 13 28 30
2014-01-21	5	2nd	2 8 18 26 30
2014-01-09	1	2nd	2 8 14 22 32
2014-01-07	5	1st	8 10 20 28 32
2013-12-26	11	2nd	4 8 11 14 26
2013-11-30	5	2nd	4 8 11 21 35
2013-11-19	6	1st	8 12 13 21 35
2013-11-05	15	1st	8 17 25 26 35
2013-10-01	18	2nd	3 8 16 17 30
2013-08-20	1	2nd	7 8 11 19 32
2013-08-17	17	1st	8 10 12 20 33
2013-07-09	3	2nd	6 8 10 18 28
2013-07-02	4	2nd	1 8 21 25 32
2013-06-22	3	2nd	5 8 20 22 35
2013-06-15	19	2nd	5 8 9 23 26
2013-05-02	4	2nd	6 8 15 18 35
2013-04-23	12	1st	8 13 19 20 33
2013-03-26	7	3rd	2 4 8 15 25
2013-03-09	1	2nd	1 8 10 14 31
2013-03-07	12	1st	8 13 18 20 27
2013-02-07	10	2nd	7 8 15 26 32
2013-01-15	1	3rd	2 5 8 25 27
2013-01-12	5	2nd	7 8 18 32 35
2013-01-01	10	1st	8 11 13 19 28
2012-12-08	8	1st	8 9 11 15 26
2012-11-20	2	3rd	3 4 8 16 35
2012-11-15	3	3rd	4 7 8 24 34
2012-11-08	33	2nd	5 8 9 28 34
2012-08-23	6	1st	8 12 23 27 28
2012-08-07	9	3rd	2 6 8 25 27
2012-07-17	3	2nd	7 8 9 15 16
2012-07-10	17	2nd	2 8 14 18 35
2012-05-31	1	2nd	3 8 9 21 34
2012-05-29	5	2nd	2 8 10 22 25
2012-05-17	16	2nd	3 8 19 22 26
2012-04-10	6	2nd	2 8 10 12 19
2012-03-27	3	1st	8 9 24 26 33
2012-03-20	23	1st	8 18 28 32 34
2012-01-26	5	1st	8 18 24 25 35
2012-01-14	6	1st	8 12 15 30 32
2011-12-31	4	2nd	3 8 9 22 28
2011-12-22	1	1st	8 9 29 32 34
2011-12-20	1	3rd	3 6 8 18 19
2011-12-17	3	1st	8 20 23 28 32
2011-12-10	10	1st	8 9 10 27 30
2011-11-17	9	1st	8 11 17 20 30
2011-10-27	6	2nd	7 8 9 14 35
2011-10-13	1	1st	8 9 19 23 27
2011-10-11	3	4th	1 5 7 8 26
2011-10-04	2	1st	8 11 14 16 29
2011-09-29	7	2nd	1 8 9 26 34
2011-09-13	11	3rd	2 3 8 11 34
2011-08-18	3	1st	8 12 14 20 31
2011-08-11	6	2nd	6 8 19 21 28
2011-07-28	6	2nd	1 8 11 13 34
2011-07-14	10	3rd	3 5 8 19 21
2011-06-21	3	1st	8 11 19 27 35
2011-06-14	1	2nd	6 8 9 17 23
2011-06-11	3	1st	8 10 15 21 28
2011-06-04	10	2nd	2 8 16 30 33
2011-05-12	7	2nd	2 8 18 25 29
2011-04-26	18	1st	8 19 26 29 32
2011-03-15	23	2nd	7 8 11 19 21
2011-01-20	2	1st	8 11 20 28 32
2011-01-15	5	3rd	5 7 8 9 17
2011-01-04	4	1st	8 12 16 25 28
2010-12-25	16	2nd	7 8 14 23 33
2010-11-18	11	1st	8 11 19 26 34
2010-10-23	7	2nd	7 8 17 20 21
2010-10-07	13	2nd	1 8 9 27 34
2010-09-07	7	3rd	2 5 8 26 29
2010-08-21	11	1st	8 14 16 23 32
2010-07-27	11	2nd	5 8 9 18 26
2010-07-01	7	1st	8 13 20 21 30
2010-06-15	2	3rd	5 7 8 32 35
2010-06-10	1	3rd	4 7 8 25 35
2010-06-08	6	3rd	2 4 8 10 24
2010-05-25	7	2nd	4 8 18 21 29
2010-05-08	7	3rd	3 6 8 25 32
2010-04-22	—	2nd	3 8 9 11 21