Number 15

In Cash 5 under the 5/34 · Apr 2010 – Oct 2020 rules — 2,844 draws, 5 from 1–34 (an earlier era).

416times drawn · chance expected 418 −0.12σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 73% for any number

6.8average wait between appearances · chance says 6.8

52longest completed wait · 12% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 416 times in 2,844 draws against 418.2 expected, −0.12σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 416 times in 2,844 draws · average wait 6.8 draws · longest completed wait 52 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest46 · chance 39.4
2nd smallest127 · chance 137.9
3rd smallest159 · chance 158.2
4th smallest74 · chance 70.3
5th smallest10 · chance 10.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 50.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

25 20 22 21 4 10

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 33 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 34. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2020-10-24	8	3rd	1 14 15 17 25
2020-10-16	2	3rd	6 12 15 17 24
2020-10-14	15	3rd	1 10 15 19 30
2020-09-29	1	1st	15 16 19

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 5/34 tonight whatever it did last week.

2020-05-15	1	3rd	3 9 15 26 31
2020-05-14	1	1st	15 17 20 26 32
2020-05-13	13	2nd	14 15 22 30 34
2020-04-30	4	3rd	1 13 15 22 31
2020-04-26	1	4th	1 3 13 15 26
2020-04-25	5	4th	2 6 7 15 32
2020-04-20	19	2nd	7 15 20 21 26
2020-04-01	8	1st	15 22 26 31 33
2020-03-24	11	4th	1 8 11 15 25
2019-12-21	13	2nd	9 15 20 26 32
2019-12-08	22	2nd	11 15 16 21 25
2019-11-16	4	5th	4 5 6 10 15
2019-11-12	4	4th	5 12 14 15 30
2019-11-08	2	3rd	4 7 15 19 28
2019-11-06	5	1st	15 16 21 24 28
2019-11-01	4	3rd	1 11 15 20 23
2019-10-28	8	2nd	2 15 19 20 23
2019-10-20	8	1st	15 16 18 19 32
2019-10-12	14	3rd	4 12 15 20 29
2019-09-28	10	2nd	8 15 16 31 33
2019-09-18	1	4th	6 12 14 15 23
2019-09-17	3	2nd	12 15 22 23 24
2019-09-14	1	4th	1 3 11 15 29
2019-09-13	1	3rd	4 14 15 16 25
2019-09-12	4	3rd	8 11 15 17 31
2019-09-08	3	4th	6 7 14 15 29
2019-09-05	5	1st	15 20 26 27 33
2019-08-31	1	2nd	10 15 17 27 31
2019-08-30	1	3rd	11 14 15 32 34
2019-08-29	2	4th	4 6 14 15 19
2019-08-27	1	3rd	5 7 15 21 31
2019-08-26	1	1st	15 25 30 31 33
2019-08-25	21	1st	15 21 24 29 32
2019-08-04	3	2nd	6 15 17 19 21
2019-08-01	4	3rd	7 10 15 20 22
2019-07-28	12	2nd	11 15 19 25 34
2019-07-16	3	3rd	9 12 15 31 33
2019-07-13	7	1st	15 19 24 26 30
2019-07-06	11	2nd	5 15 18 26 33
2019-06-25	10	3rd	2 5 15 19 28
2019-06-15	3	3rd	2 12 15 26 34
2019-06-12	1	3rd	2 11 15 21 33
2019-06-11	2	2nd	4 15 20 24 30
2019-06-09	2	2nd	3 15 19 27 33
2019-06-07	1	4th	10 11 14 15 33
2019-06-06	2	4th	7 10 11 15 21
2019-06-04	6	2nd	1 15 18 31 32
2019-05-29	29	3rd	2 12 15 16 27
2019-04-30	3	3rd	3 4 15 22 29
2019-04-27	6	1st	15 18 20 28 34
2018-12-27	23	3rd	4 14 15 25 26
2018-12-04	2	3rd	5 8 15 29 33
2018-12-02	5	3rd	2 9 15 19 30
2018-11-27	4	3rd	6 11 15 26 30
2018-11-23	8	3rd	11 13 15 21 34
2018-11-15	11	4th	3 7 12 15 32
2018-11-04	9	2nd	11 15 22 23 31
2018-10-26	12	4th	7 8 12 15 26
2018-10-14	8	2nd	7 15 26 27 34
2018-10-06	1	2nd	2 15 20 23 25
2018-10-05	3	2nd	1 15 19 21 29
2018-10-02	6	2nd	4 15 23 24 32
2018-09-26	20	2nd	11 15 22 25 29
2018-09-06	4	2nd	9 15 19 32 33
2018-09-02	7	1st	15 18 20 24 28
2018-08-26	8	2nd	13 15 22 26 30
2018-08-18	12	3rd	1 2 15 23 30
2018-08-06	8	2nd	14 15 22 26 30
2018-07-29	2	3rd	7 11 15 25 27
2018-07-27	14	2nd	8 15 20 26 30
2018-07-13	4	1st	15 18 21 25 26
2018-07-09	8	4th	7 11 12 15 28
2018-07-01	3	1st	15 16 19 30 32
2018-06-28	1	4th	3 5 9 15 19
2018-06-27	2	2nd	6 15 16 18 24
2018-06-25	1	3rd	6 12 15 19 29
2018-06-24	1	4th	3 7 10 15 29
2018-06-23	9	3rd	1 11 15 22 23
2018-06-14	4	5th	3 10 13 14 15
2018-06-10	2	3rd	5 12 15 17 27
2018-06-08	1	4th	4 9 10 15 25
2018-06-07	4	4th	6 7 9 15 24
2018-06-03	4	2nd	12 15 22 28 33
2018-05-30	7	3rd	4 14 15 16 29
2018-05-23	13	3rd	8 11 15 16 18
2018-05-10	8	4th	4 10 12 15 18
2018-05-02	3	3rd	3 9 15 18 29
2018-04-29	10	2nd	3 15 18 28 34
2017-12-25	16	2nd	4 15 16 19 22
2017-12-09	1	2nd	8 15 20 21 32
2017-12-08	4	3rd	4 7 15 19 28
2017-12-04	19	4th	4 8 12 15 24
2017-11-15	7	3rd	10 13 15 22 34
2017-11-08	15	3rd	1 13 15 16 17
2017-10-24	10	3rd	10 14 15 18 23
2017-10-14	7	4th	3 8 14 15 24
2017-10-07	7	3rd	2 7 15 19 24
2017-09-30	5	3rd	3 7 15 16 20
2017-09-25	21	2nd	8 15 19 27 31
2017-09-04	3	2nd	7 15 18 25 34
2017-09-01	4	1st	15 17 24 25 31
2017-08-28	5	3rd	12 13 15 24 34
2017-08-23	4	2nd	4 15 21 22 31
2017-08-19	11	3rd	8 12 15 29 32
2017-08-08	6	5th	3 4 13 14 15
2017-08-02	15	2nd	13 15 16 22 32
2017-07-18	1	4th	4 6 10 15 27
2017-07-17	3	1st	15 17 23 25 33
2017-07-14	8	1st	15 17 22 24 27
2017-07-06	3	3rd	2 5 15 30 33
2017-07-03	33	2nd	5 15 17 29 31
2017-05-31	21	1st	15 20 22 31 33
2017-05-10	4	3rd	2 3 15 20 22
2017-05-06	5	3rd	8 10 15 21 22
2017-05-01	11	2nd	4 15 19 21 24
2016-12-26	2	3rd	8 14 15 22 27
2016-12-24	7	2nd	8 15 17 19 32
2016-12-17	16	2nd	7 15 30 31 33
2016-12-01	7	2nd	14 15 17 30 34
2016-11-24	2	2nd	12 15 21 23 24
2016-11-22	4	3rd	9 14 15 20 21
2016-11-18	5	4th	2 5 10 15 23
2016-11-13	9	4th	1 3 4 15 32
2016-11-04	3	2nd	3 15 21 23 30
2016-11-01	3	1st	15 17 20 24 25
2016-10-29	3	2nd	9 15 17 20 33
2016-10-26	4	3rd	1 10 15 19 28
2016-10-22	7	3rd	1 9 15 25 31
2016-10-15	4	2nd	12 15 20 27 28
2016-10-11	11	2nd	2 15 16 22 29
2016-09-30	13	3rd	10 12 15 20 21
2016-09-17	5	3rd	4 13 15 25 31
2016-09-12	1	3rd	3 12 15 21 23
2016-09-11	3	3rd	2 10 15 20 25
2016-09-08	4	3rd	10 11 15 30 33
2016-09-04	12	3rd	3 6 15 22 26
2016-08-23	5	2nd	4 15 19 24 30
2016-08-18	4	3rd	5 11 15 25 27
2016-08-14	4	2nd	3 15 17 26 33
2016-08-10	4	3rd	2 10 15 21 29
2016-08-06	11	2nd	1 15 21 22 33
2016-07-26	3	2nd	5 15 20 26 34
2016-07-23	4	1st	15 16 26 30 32
2016-07-19	4	2nd	10 15 18 25 28
2016-07-15	7	3rd	6 13 15 33 34
2016-07-08	3	1st	15 16 19 20 27
2016-07-05	5	4th	8 9 11 15 29
2016-06-30	9	2nd	1 15 16 26 30
2016-06-21	4	4th	2 5 6 15 20
2016-06-17	9	1st	15 16 26 33 34
2016-06-08	5	4th	8 13 14 15 25
2016-06-03	1	2nd	10 15 19 29 33
2016-06-02	1	2nd	3 15 17 24 32
2016-06-01	10	4th	6 12 13 15 20
2016-05-22	13	2nd	4 15 18 20 32
2016-05-09	6	4th	8 11 13 15 17
2016-05-03	17	4th	11 13 14 15 20
2015-12-22	5	4th	4 5 9 15 17
2015-12-17	8	3rd	4 9 15 25 28
2015-12-09	1	2nd	13 15 20 25 29
2015-12-08	1	3rd	5 9 15 28 31
2015-12-07	17	2nd	14 15 16 23 34
2015-11-20	2	2nd	6 15 17 19 21
2015-11-18	6	3rd	5 10 15 17 18
2015-11-12	1	3rd	7 13 15 22 29
2015-11-11	14	4th	2 8 12 15 19
2015-10-28	12	3rd	1 8 15 33 34
2015-10-16	3	3rd	8 10 15 30 33
2015-10-13	13	2nd	3 15 22 25 26
2015-09-30	2	3rd	3 12 15 17 23
2015-09-28	9	1st	15 16 21 31 34
2015-09-19	8	4th	3 5 9 15 30
2015-09-11	2	1st	15 18 27 32 34
2015-09-09	9	2nd	6 15 17 19 30
2015-08-31	11	4th	4 6 13 15 34
2015-08-20	1	2nd	6 15 16 22 27
2015-08-19	3	2nd	1 15 16 27 32
2015-08-16	6	3rd	2 9 15 25 34
2015-08-10	2	4th	6 9 12 15 27
2015-08-08	5	1st	15 20 24 33 34
2015-08-03	17	5th	1 7 8 14 15
2015-07-17	6	4th	6 9 12 15 31
2015-07-11	8	2nd	6 15 22 24 26
2015-07-03	36	4th	4 12 14 15 31
2015-05-28	5	3rd	1 5 15 20 21
2015-05-23	2	5th	1 3 5 14 15
2015-05-21	4	2nd	9 15 23 33 34
2015-05-17	9	3rd	10 14 15 16 28
2015-05-08	8	5th	1 2 4 11 15
2015-04-29	9	2nd	11 15 23 28 30
2014-12-27	2	4th	7 10 12 15 26
2014-12-25	2	3rd	3 14 15 23 31
2014-12-23	5	2nd	9 15 22 30 31
2014-12-18	2	2nd	8 15 18 21 33
2014-12-16	9	3rd	3 8 15 19 21
2014-12-07	17	3rd	4 5 15 19 33
2014-11-20	30	2nd	12 15 18 27 28
2014-10-21	4	2nd	6 15 18 24 33
2014-10-17	9	3rd	4 5 15 20 22
2014-10-08	2	3rd	3 6 15 17 24
2014-10-06	24	5th	8 11 13 14 15
2014-09-12	11	3rd	5 10 15 24 25
2014-09-01	13	3rd	7 8 15 20 29
2014-08-19	1	1st	15 16 18 29 31
2014-08-18	19	3rd	2 3 15 26 33
2014-07-30	13	3rd	3 14 15 25 33
2014-07-17	9	2nd	2 15 25 31 34
2014-07-08	4	3rd	4 12 15 23 32
2014-07-04	12	3rd	13 14 15 23 30
2014-06-22	1	2nd	10 15 23 26 31
2014-06-21	4	2nd	1 15 17 26 31
2014-06-17	4	3rd	3 7 15 28 31
2014-06-13	2	2nd	14 15 22 29 30
2014-06-11	36	4th	3 12 13 15 29
2014-05-06	3	2nd	13 15 25 29 34
2014-05-03	8	2nd	6 15 18 24 33
2013-12-31	1	2nd	3 15 22 25 34
2013-12-30	2	2nd	12 15 31 32 33
2013-12-28	4	3rd	6 7 15 16 19
2013-12-24	1	3rd	2 13 15 24 34
2013-12-23	14	2nd	1 15 20 30 34
2013-12-09	3	3rd	7 14 15 21 32
2013-12-06	3	1st	15 19 23 25 27
2013-12-03	7	2nd	14 15 21 22 27
2013-11-26	3	3rd	8 11 15 16 21
2013-11-23	7	4th	1 3 8 15 17
2013-11-16	15	2nd	10 15 20 25 29
2013-11-01	11	2nd	4 15 19 25 32
2013-10-20	1	3rd	6 9 15 19 25
2013-10-19	5	3rd	7 12 15 26 31
2013-10-14	8	3rd	9 10 15 19 20
2013-10-06	4	4th	10 13 14 15 30
2013-10-02	2	1st	15 20 21 24 25
2013-09-30	5	3rd	2 10 15 16 28
2013-09-25	6	1st	15 22 25 28 31
2013-09-19	1	3rd	3 4 15 23 25
2013-09-18	2	3rd	10 14 15 23 26
2013-09-16	3	1st	15 20 21 22 28
2013-09-13	15	2nd	6 15 22 29 32
2013-08-29	4	4th	1 3 12 15 22
2013-08-25	3	3rd	9 13 15 22 25
2013-08-22	4	3rd	9 13 15 20 31
2013-08-18	52	4th	1 2 13 15 25
2013-06-27	10	4th	1 4 13 15 32
2013-06-17	2	3rd	3 11 15 19 27
2013-06-15	2	1st	15 24 27 29 33
2013-06-13	1	2nd	5 15 17 21 31
2013-06-12	2	4th	4 6 7 15 23
2013-06-10	10	3rd	2 10 15 23 28
2013-05-31	2	2nd	11 15 17 23 30
2013-05-29	2	4th	4 5 13 15 20
2013-05-27	17	4th	1 2 8 15 29
2013-05-10	7	2nd	6 15 20 25 31
2013-05-03	1	3rd	8 14 15 25 26
2013-05-02	2	2nd	6 15 18 23 32
2013-04-30	2	4th	5 6 14 15 28
2013-04-28	13	3rd	3 8 15 21 27
2012-12-22	9	3rd	5 6 15 23 30
2012-12-13	3	4th	7 9 12 15 23
2012-12-10	3	4th	4 10 12 15 20
2012-12-07	6	3rd	9 11 15 27 33
2012-12-01	3	2nd	8 15 21 30 33
2012-11-28	1	1st	15 23 24 25 29
2012-11-27	1	3rd	8 12 15 21 26
2012-11-26	7	3rd	2 9 15 24 30
2012-11-19	1	3rd	2 6 15 27 34
2012-11-18	1	2nd	4 15 19 22 28
2012-11-17	2	3rd	10 14 15 23 29
2012-11-15	2	4th	2 3 9 15 24
2012-11-13	15	5th	1 3 10 12 15
2012-10-29	18	4th	1 3 14 15 25
2012-10-11	6	4th	3 5 9 15 26
2012-10-05	32	3rd	5 14 15 29 30
2012-09-03	5	3rd	8 11 15 17 22
2012-08-29	3	4th	1 5 12 15 23
2012-08-26	3	1st	15 21 28 29 31
2012-08-23	7	2nd	11 15 19 22 32
2012-08-16	4	3rd	1 3 15 16 30
2012-08-12	7	3rd	4 10 15 20 33
2012-08-05	15	2nd	5 15 24 29 34
2012-07-21	3	4th	8 9 10 15 23
2012-07-18	11	3rd	2 13 15 17 24
2012-07-07	3	3rd	2 5 15 18 22
2012-07-04	1	3rd	10 12 15 29 34
2012-07-03	4	2nd	11 15 19 26 27
2012-06-28	19	2nd	9 15 17 21 23
2012-06-09	3	2nd	10 15 17 20 33
2012-06-06	3	3rd	1 14 15 24 33
2012-06-03	15	2nd	13 15 17 20 23
2012-05-19	4	2nd	3 15 18 26 30
2012-05-15	2	4th	7 13 14 15 20
2012-05-10	15	1st	15 17 24 28 30
2012-04-25	7	3rd	1 9 15 24 34
2011-12-27	2	2nd	9 15 25 31 34
2011-12-25	17	3rd	5 12 15 23 30
2011-12-08	7	2nd	1 15 19 23 32
2011-12-01	2	2nd	4 15 17 20 21
2011-11-29	4	3rd	1 9 15 18 20
2011-11-25	2	4th	8 11 13 15 33
2011-11-23	5	2nd	9 15 23 29 30
2011-11-18	9	1st	15 16 20 25 29
2011-11-09	23	2nd	3 15 20 27 31
2011-10-17	2	2nd	11 15 17 27 29
2011-10-13	2	4th	1 4 9 15 28
2011-10-11	2	3rd	2 14 15 25 34
2011-10-09	1	2nd	7 15 19 25 32
2011-10-08	3	4th	6 8 10 15 17
2011-10-05	2	3rd	5 9 15 31 33
2011-10-03	5	3rd	2 8 15 27 31
2011-09-28	1	3rd	8 11 15 24 26
2011-09-27	5	1st	15 16 20 23 28
2011-09-22	1	2nd	5 15 20 28 30
2011-09-21	2	3rd	7 10 15 19 22
2011-09-19	14	3rd	10 11 15 18 28
2011-09-05	4	3rd	3 11 15 17 22
2011-09-01	12	2nd	7 15 20 23 26
2011-08-19	18	4th	2 6 12 15 22
2011-07-30	5	1st	15 21 23 31 32
2011-07-25	5	2nd	1 15 20 27 31
2011-07-20	4	1st	15 20 30 33 34
2011-07-16	2	3rd	5 7 15 17 32
2011-07-14	2	2nd	9 15 22 23 29
2011-07-12	6	3rd	13 14 15 25 32
2011-07-06	1	2nd	11 15 22 23 30
2011-07-05	1	3rd	2 5 15 21 34
2011-07-04	1	3rd	9 12 15 27 29
2011-07-03	2	3rd	2 3 15 16 25
2011-07-01	1	4th	6 7 12 15 22
2011-06-30	3	4th	4 8 14 15 24
2011-06-27	6	4th	2 4 8 15 18
2011-06-21	1	3rd	3 4 15 25 32
2011-06-20	6	1st	15 21 29 30 31
2011-06-14	3	3rd	4 14 15 22 24
2011-06-11	7	2nd	11 15 21 22 24
2011-06-04	1	4th	6 7 11 15 23
2011-06-03	5	3rd	12 13 15 25 28
2011-05-29	1	2nd	11 15 22 27 30
2011-05-28	4	3rd	2 14 15 25 28
2011-05-24	8	3rd	5 7 15 20 34
2011-05-16	1	4th	1 8 9 15 28
2011-05-15	18	3rd	3 4 15 27 34
2011-04-27	3	3rd	9 11 15 17 32
2011-04-24	3	4th	1 9 14 15 26
2011-04-21	7	2nd	9 15 21 26 28
2011-04-13	3	4th	1 2 7 15 29
2011-04-10	5	3rd	12 13 15 16 24
2011-04-05	3	3rd	4 9 15 21 27
2011-04-02	16	1st	15 24 25 31 34
2011-03-17	3	3rd	6 10 15 25 34
2011-03-14	1	4th	2 6 8 15 30
2011-03-13	4	3rd	10 13 15 26 34
2011-03-09	12	2nd	13 15 26 30 32
2011-02-25	19	4th	1 4 9 15 25
2011-02-06	2	2nd	1 15 21 30 32
2011-02-04	8	4th	4 9 12 15 24
2011-01-27	12	3rd	10 12 15 16 18
2011-01-15	10	5th	5 6 11 12 15
2011-01-05	1	3rd	11 13 15 30 34
2011-01-04	1	3rd	5 8 15 29 34
2011-01-03	17	5th	6 7 12 13 15
2010-12-17	7	3rd	4 11 15 24 30
2010-12-10	4	3rd	10 12 15 26 31
2010-12-06	19	3rd	9 13 15 28 34
2010-11-17	11	3rd	11 12 15 26 32
2010-11-06	1	3rd	4 14 15 24 25
2010-11-05	1	3rd	2 13 15 23 28
2010-11-04	14	2nd	12 15 16 29 30
2010-10-21	13	3rd	1 2 15 32 34
2010-10-08	6	2nd	11 15 18 27 33
2010-10-02	15	1st	15 17 21 23 29
2010-09-17	1	2nd	13 15 21 25 34
2010-09-16	5	3rd	4 6 15 31 33
2010-09-11	6	2nd	8 15 20 21 22
2010-09-05	18	3rd	4 6 15 28 29
2010-08-18	4	3rd	1 9 15 17 30
2010-08-14	9	4th	2 5 10 15 28
2010-08-05	2	2nd	9 15 18 26 34
2010-08-03	7	1st	15 22 24 25 32
2010-07-27	3	2nd	14 15 21 24 29
2010-07-24	5	3rd	9 10 15 26 29
2010-07-19	7	4th	9 11 13 15 20
2010-07-12	3	3rd	4 11 15 21 23
2010-07-09	4	3rd	3 14 15 19 28
2010-07-05	13	2nd	12 15 17 21 26
2010-06-22	10	3rd	2 13 15 26 27
2010-06-12	15	4th	4 10 11 15 21
2010-05-28	21	3rd	10 11 15 21 24
2010-05-07	5	3rd	3 7 15 23 25
2010-05-02	6	2nd	7 15 17 19 28
2010-04-26	14	2nd	14 15 16 30 32
2010-04-12	4	2nd	8 15 16 26 27
2010-04-08	—	2nd	2 15 17 24 28