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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Lotto under the 6/58 + 1/56 · since Sep 2025 rules — 110 draws, 6 from 1–58.
Drawn 11 times in 110 draws against 11.4 expected, −0.12σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 11 times in 110 draws · average wait 9.2 draws · longest completed wait 15 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 21 of the other 57 numbers; chance expects about 22 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 58. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 6/58 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-04-30 | 5 | 3rd | 3915323649 |
| 2026-04-11 | 2 | 1st | 154143455758 |
| 2026-04-04 | 9 | 3rd | 111315303948 |
| 2026-02-28 | 8 | 3rd | 2715333848 |
| 2026-01-31 | 15 | 1st | 153236394048 |
| 2025-12-06 | 4 | 4th | 4613152935 |
| 2025-11-22 | — | 4th | 456153950 |