Lotto · every number
15
Number 15 In Lotto under the 6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017 rules — 789 draws, 6 from 1–49 (an earlier era).
6/58 + 1/56 · since Sep 2025 6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025 6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017 90 times drawn · chance expected 97 −0.72σ
9 draws waiting · a wait this long: 35% for any number
8.5 average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2
38 longest completed wait · 51% chance of one at least that long
15 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 90 times in 789 draws against 96.6 expected, −0.72σ. Each draw is independent: after 9 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 18 times, counted separately.
15 Number 15, draw by draw Drawn 90 times in 789 draws · average wait 8.5 draws · longest completed wait 38 · waiting 9 draws now
4 draws: 2010-03-27 to 2010-04-10 28 draws: 2010-04-10 to 2010-07-17 5 draws: 2010-07-17 to 2010-08-04 9 draws: 2010-08-04 to 2010-09-04 1 draws: 2010-09-04 to 2010-09-08 19 draws: 2010-09-08 to 2010-11-13 5 draws: 2010-11-13 to 2010-12-01 13 draws: 2010-12-01 to 2011-01-19 13 draws: 2011-01-19 to 2011-03-05 2 draws: 2011-03-05 to 2011-03-12 9 draws: 2011-03-12 to 2011-04-13 8 draws: 2011-04-13 to 2011-05-11 8 draws: 2011-05-11 to 2011-06-08 2 draws: 2011-06-08 to 2011-06-15 24 draws: 2011-06-15 to 2011-09-07 2 draws: 2011-09-07 to 2011-09-14 5 draws: 2011-09-14 to 2011-10-01 1 draws: 2011-10-01 to 2011-10-05 5 draws: 2011-10-05 to 2011-10-22 17 draws: 2011-10-22 to 2011-12-21 14 draws: 2011-12-21 to 2012-02-08 5 draws: 2012-02-08 to 2012-02-25 2 draws: 2012-02-25 to 2012-03-03 2 draws: 2012-03-03 to 2012-03-10 3 draws: 2012-03-10 to 2012-03-21 1 draws: 2012-03-21 to 2012-03-24 5 draws: 2012-03-24 to 2012-04-11 17 draws: 2012-04-11 to 2012-06-09 5 draws: 2012-06-09 to 2012-06-27 1 draws: 2012-06-27 to 2012-06-30 13 draws: 2012-06-30 to 2012-08-15 4 draws: 2012-08-15 to 2012-08-29 4 draws: 2012-08-29 to 2012-09-12 1 draws: 2012-09-12 to 2012-09-15 28 draws: 2012-09-15 to 2012-12-22 4 draws: 2012-12-22 to 2013-01-05 4 draws: 2013-01-05 to 2013-01-19 7 draws: 2013-01-19 to 2013-02-13 2 draws: 2013-02-13 to 2013-02-20 3 draws: 2013-02-20 to 2013-03-02 22 draws: 2013-03-02 to 2013-05-18 2 draws: 2013-05-18 to 2013-05-25 1 draws: 2013-05-25 to 2013-05-29 14 draws: 2013-05-29 to 2013-07-17 9 draws: 2013-07-17 to 2013-08-17 12 draws: 2013-08-17 to 2013-09-28 2 draws: 2013-09-28 to 2013-10-05 17 draws: 2013-10-05 to 2013-12-04 1 draws: 2013-12-04 to 2013-12-07 14 draws: 2013-12-07 to 2014-01-29 7 draws: 2014-01-29 to 2014-02-22 21 draws: 2014-02-22 to 2014-05-07 5 draws: 2014-05-07 to 2014-05-24 2 draws: 2014-05-24 to 2014-05-31 13 draws: 2014-05-31 to 2014-07-16 6 draws: 2014-07-16 to 2014-08-06 6 draws: 2014-08-06 to 2014-08-27 2 draws: 2014-08-27 to 2014-09-03 4 draws: 2014-09-03 to 2014-09-17 5 draws: 2014-09-17 to 2014-10-04 12 draws: 2014-10-04 to 2014-11-15 5 draws: 2014-11-15 to 2014-12-03 7 draws: 2014-12-03 to 2014-12-27 4 draws: 2014-12-27 to 2015-01-10 6 draws: 2015-01-10 to 2015-01-31 2 draws: 2015-01-31 to 2015-02-07 5 draws: 2015-02-07 to 2015-02-25 11 draws: 2015-02-25 to 2015-04-04 32 draws: 2015-04-04 to 2015-07-25 3 draws: 2015-07-25 to 2015-08-05 38 draws: 2015-08-05 to 2015-12-16 1 draws: 2015-12-16 to 2015-12-19 1 draws: 2015-12-19 to 2015-12-23 18 draws: 2015-12-23 to 2016-02-24 3 draws: 2016-02-24 to 2016-03-05 2 draws: 2016-03-05 to 2016-03-12 1 draws: 2016-03-12 to 2016-03-16 27 draws: 2016-03-16 to 2016-06-18 2 draws: 2016-06-18 to 2016-06-25 4 draws: 2016-06-25 to 2016-07-09 12 draws: 2016-07-09 to 2016-08-20 4 draws: 2016-08-20 to 2016-09-03 9 draws: 2016-09-03 to 2016-10-05 19 draws: 2016-10-05 to 2016-12-10 19 draws: 2016-12-10 to 2017-02-15 16 draws: 2017-02-15 to 2017-04-12 19 draws: 2017-04-12 to 2017-06-17 2 draws: 2017-06-17 to 2017-06-24 1 draws: 2017-06-24 to 2017-06-28 Still waiting — at least 9 draws since 2017-06-28 2010-03-27 2010-04-10 2010-07-17 2010-08-04 2010-09-04 2010-09-08 2010-11-13 2010-12-01 2011-01-19 2011-03-05 2011-03-12 2011-04-13 2011-05-11 2011-06-08 2011-06-15 2011-09-07 2011-09-14 2011-10-01 2011-10-05 2011-10-22 2011-12-21 2012-02-08 2012-02-25 2012-03-03 2012-03-10 2012-03-21 2012-03-24 2012-04-11 2012-06-09 2012-06-27 2012-06-30 2012-08-15 2012-08-29 2012-09-12 2012-09-15 2012-12-22 2013-01-05 2013-01-19 2013-02-13 2013-02-20 2013-03-02 2013-05-18 2013-05-25 2013-05-29 2013-07-17 2013-08-17 2013-09-28 2013-10-05 2013-12-04 2013-12-07 2014-01-29 2014-02-22 2014-05-07 2014-05-24 2014-05-31 2014-07-16 2014-08-06 2014-08-27 2014-09-03 2014-09-17 2014-10-04 2014-11-15 2014-12-03 2014-12-27 2015-01-10 2015-01-31 2015-02-07 2015-02-25 2015-04-04 2015-07-25 2015-08-05 2015-12-16 2015-12-19 2015-12-23 2016-02-24 2016-03-05 2016-03-12 2016-03-16 2016-06-18 2016-06-25 2016-07-09 2016-08-20 2016-09-03 2016-10-05 2016-12-10 2017-02-15 2017-04-12 2017-06-17 2017-06-24 2017-06-28 2010-01-02 2017-07-29 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 11 times 2 draws: 14 times 3 draws: 4 times 4 draws: 9 times 5 draws: 11 times 6 draws: 3 times 7 draws: 3 times 8 draws: 2 times 9 draws: 4 times 10 draws: 0 times 11 draws: 1 time 12 draws: 3 times 13 draws: 4 times 14 draws: 3 times 15 draws: 0 times 16 draws: 1 time 17 draws: 3 times 18 draws: 1 time 19 draws: 4 times 20 draws: 0 times 21 draws: 1 time 22 draws: 1 time 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 1 time 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 0 times 27 draws: 1 time 28 draws: 2 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 1 time 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 0 times 38 draws: 1 time 39 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 20 · chance 14.6 2nd smallest 33 · chance 34.1 3rd smallest 23 · chance 28.6 4th smallest 11 · chance 10.7 5th smallest 3 · chance 1.8 6th smallest 0 · chance 0.1 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 48 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 14 Every number number 16 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.