Number 4

In Lotto under the 6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025 rules — 847 draws, 6 from 1–52 (an earlier era).

89times drawn · chance expected 98 −0.94σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

9.5average wait between appearances · chance says 8.7

80longest completed wait · 0.5% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 89 times in 847 draws against 97.7 expected, −0.94σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 20 times, counted separately.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 89 times in 847 draws · average wait 9.5 draws · longest completed wait 80 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest69 · chance 64.9
2nd smallest18 · chance 22.1
3rd smallest1 · chance 2.0
4th smallest1 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 8.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

46 38 41 14 11 12

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 51 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 52. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2025-09-20	11	1st	4 5 14 21 34 52
2025-08-13	1	2nd	2 4 19 34 38 50
2025-08-09	28	1st	4 15 38 39 41 51
2025-05-03	20	1st

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 6/52 tonight whatever it did last week.

2023-06-17	4	2nd	3 4 11 33 44 48
2023-06-03	7	1st	4 15 22 29 38 41
2023-05-10	8	1st	4 5 11 25 41 50
2023-04-12	4	1st	4 38 46 47 50 52
2023-03-29	2	1st	4 15 21 22 30 33
2023-03-22	5	1st	4 10 27 34 43 44
2023-03-04	5	1st	4 9 13 38 42 45
2023-02-15	10	1st	4 7 14 30 37 46
2023-01-11	1	1st	4 10 21 25 37 46
2023-01-07	6	2nd	3 4 19 25 27 32
2022-12-17	9	1st	4 6 18 20 36 40
2022-11-16	3	2nd	2 4 12 23 42 46
2022-11-05	3	1st	4 18 27 32 38 45
2022-10-26	4	1st	4 14 18 23 42 50
2022-10-12	8	1st	4 15 16 26 44 45
2022-09-14	5	1st	4 17 29 31 46 48
2022-08-27	16	1st	4 10 14 24 31 37
2022-07-02	13	1st	4 17 22 37 38 46
2022-05-18	6	1st	4 9 15 16 23 29
2022-04-27	19	1st	4 14 17 24 32 49
2022-02-19	1	1st	4 11 12 20 38 48
2022-02-16	3	1st	4 11 24 25 27 41
2022-02-05	11	1st	4 21 31 33 36 38
2021-12-29	2	2nd	2 4 17 39 43 46
2021-12-18	26	1st	4 12 17 22 23 26
2021-09-18	3	1st	4 11 12 32 34 47
2021-09-08	1	2nd	2 4 18 19 20 28
2021-09-04	14	1st	4 6 27 30 39 41
2021-07-17	4	1st	4 11 18 20 35 41
2021-07-03	31	1st	4 12 20 34 46 49
2021-03-17	20	1st	4 11 25 31 37 47
2021-01-06	15	1st	4 10 20 41 50 52
2020-11-14	2	1st	4 13 15 28 31 47
2020-11-07	6	2nd	2 4 14 15 28 46
2020-10-17	8	2nd	2 4 7 28 41 48
2020-09-19	17	1st	4 9 10 23 24 32
2020-07-22	2	1st	4 7 12 13 19 52
2020-07-15	13	1st	4 11 15 19 27 38
2020-05-30	10	1st	4 13 20 23 31 46
2020-04-25	6	1st	4 24 36 39 44 48
2020-04-04	7	2nd	3 4 10 21 24 43
2020-03-11	20	1st	4 17 22 34 38 46
2020-01-01	1	1st	4 5 24 40 42 47
2019-12-28	7	1st	4 8 11 16 29 42
2019-11-30	8	1st	4 8 17 18 34 43
2019-11-02	14	2nd	2 4 13 20 33 46
2019-09-14	19	1st	4 25 27 28 37 47
2019-07-10	6	1st	4 6 20 28 46 49
2019-06-19	1	1st	4 9 16 18 19 22
2019-06-15	4	2nd	2 4 9 13 32 39
2019-06-01	2	1st	4 12 27 30 46 50
2019-05-25	8	1st	4 6 12 17 32 34
2019-04-27	1	1st	4 19 21 43 44 51
2019-04-24	29	2nd	1 4 8 28 50 52
2019-01-12	3	1st	4 11 16 18 21 46
2019-01-02	10	1st	4 8 12 14 27 40
2018-11-28	19	2nd	2 4 20 38 40 45
2018-09-22	2	1st	4 30 36 43 44 52
2018-09-15	1	1st	4 9 16 26 41 43
2018-09-12	17	1st	4 9 13 18 33 39
2018-07-14	5	1st	4 8 13 18 30 42
2018-06-27	2	2nd	2 4 6 37 39 40
2018-06-20	80	1st	4 14 22 27 30 46
2017-09-13	3	1st	4 10 19 21 31 49
2017-09-02	—	3rd	1 3 4 21 25 30