Lotto · every number
4
Number 4 In Lotto under the 6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017 rules — 789 draws, 6 from 1–49 (an earlier era).
6/58 + 1/56 · since Sep 2025 6/52 + 1/52 · Aug 2017 – Sep 2025 6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017 97 times drawn · chance expected 97 +0.04σ
14 draws waiting · a wait this long: 18% for any number
8.0 average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2
30 longest completed wait · 89% chance of one at least that long
4 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 97 times in 789 draws against 96.6 expected, +0.04σ. Each draw is independent: after 14 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 12 times, counted separately.
4 Number 4, draw by draw Drawn 97 times in 789 draws · average wait 8.0 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 14 draws now
1 draws: 2010-01-09 to 2010-01-13 2 draws: 2010-01-13 to 2010-01-20 11 draws: 2010-01-20 to 2010-02-27 4 draws: 2010-02-27 to 2010-03-13 8 draws: 2010-03-13 to 2010-04-10 4 draws: 2010-04-10 to 2010-04-24 2 draws: 2010-04-24 to 2010-05-01 8 draws: 2010-05-01 to 2010-05-29 3 draws: 2010-05-29 to 2010-06-09 9 draws: 2010-06-09 to 2010-07-10 13 draws: 2010-07-10 to 2010-08-25 10 draws: 2010-08-25 to 2010-09-29 4 draws: 2010-09-29 to 2010-10-13 1 draws: 2010-10-13 to 2010-10-16 22 draws: 2010-10-16 to 2011-01-05 20 draws: 2011-01-05 to 2011-03-16 6 draws: 2011-03-16 to 2011-04-06 15 draws: 2011-04-06 to 2011-05-28 5 draws: 2011-05-28 to 2011-06-15 9 draws: 2011-06-15 to 2011-07-16 4 draws: 2011-07-16 to 2011-07-30 14 draws: 2011-07-30 to 2011-09-17 23 draws: 2011-09-17 to 2011-12-07 2 draws: 2011-12-07 to 2011-12-14 8 draws: 2011-12-14 to 2012-01-11 5 draws: 2012-01-11 to 2012-01-28 3 draws: 2012-01-28 to 2012-02-08 1 draws: 2012-02-08 to 2012-02-11 13 draws: 2012-02-11 to 2012-03-28 5 draws: 2012-03-28 to 2012-04-14 1 draws: 2012-04-14 to 2012-04-18 13 draws: 2012-04-18 to 2012-06-02 11 draws: 2012-06-02 to 2012-07-11 16 draws: 2012-07-11 to 2012-09-05 5 draws: 2012-09-05 to 2012-09-22 16 draws: 2012-09-22 to 2012-11-17 10 draws: 2012-11-17 to 2012-12-22 10 draws: 2012-12-22 to 2013-01-26 1 draws: 2013-01-26 to 2013-01-30 7 draws: 2013-01-30 to 2013-02-23 17 draws: 2013-02-23 to 2013-04-24 1 draws: 2013-04-24 to 2013-04-27 30 draws: 2013-04-27 to 2013-08-10 29 draws: 2013-08-10 to 2013-11-20 1 draws: 2013-11-20 to 2013-11-23 2 draws: 2013-11-23 to 2013-11-30 5 draws: 2013-11-30 to 2013-12-18 6 draws: 2013-12-18 to 2014-01-11 15 draws: 2014-01-11 to 2014-03-05 21 draws: 2014-03-05 to 2014-05-17 11 draws: 2014-05-17 to 2014-06-25 3 draws: 2014-06-25 to 2014-07-05 10 draws: 2014-07-05 to 2014-08-09 1 draws: 2014-08-09 to 2014-08-13 2 draws: 2014-08-13 to 2014-08-20 6 draws: 2014-08-20 to 2014-09-10 11 draws: 2014-09-10 to 2014-10-18 14 draws: 2014-10-18 to 2014-12-06 2 draws: 2014-12-06 to 2014-12-13 7 draws: 2014-12-13 to 2015-01-07 3 draws: 2015-01-07 to 2015-01-17 6 draws: 2015-01-17 to 2015-02-07 3 draws: 2015-02-07 to 2015-02-18 6 draws: 2015-02-18 to 2015-03-11 13 draws: 2015-03-11 to 2015-04-25 12 draws: 2015-04-25 to 2015-06-06 4 draws: 2015-06-06 to 2015-06-20 3 draws: 2015-06-20 to 2015-07-01 15 draws: 2015-07-01 to 2015-08-22 3 draws: 2015-08-22 to 2015-09-02 8 draws: 2015-09-02 to 2015-09-30 11 draws: 2015-09-30 to 2015-11-07 2 draws: 2015-11-07 to 2015-11-14 2 draws: 2015-11-14 to 2015-11-21 2 draws: 2015-11-21 to 2015-11-28 3 draws: 2015-11-28 to 2015-12-09 19 draws: 2015-12-09 to 2016-02-13 3 draws: 2016-02-13 to 2016-02-24 5 draws: 2016-02-24 to 2016-03-12 11 draws: 2016-03-12 to 2016-04-20 8 draws: 2016-04-20 to 2016-05-18 2 draws: 2016-05-18 to 2016-05-25 4 draws: 2016-05-25 to 2016-06-08 5 draws: 2016-06-08 to 2016-06-25 2 draws: 2016-06-25 to 2016-07-02 3 draws: 2016-07-02 to 2016-07-13 1 draws: 2016-07-13 to 2016-07-16 8 draws: 2016-07-16 to 2016-08-13 14 draws: 2016-08-13 to 2016-10-01 9 draws: 2016-10-01 to 2016-11-02 3 draws: 2016-11-02 to 2016-11-12 13 draws: 2016-11-12 to 2016-12-28 6 draws: 2016-12-28 to 2017-01-18 12 draws: 2017-01-18 to 2017-03-01 19 draws: 2017-03-01 to 2017-05-06 10 draws: 2017-05-06 to 2017-06-10 Still waiting — at least 14 draws since 2017-06-10 2010-01-09 2010-01-13 2010-01-20 2010-02-27 2010-03-13 2010-04-10 2010-04-24 2010-05-01 2010-05-29 2010-06-09 2010-07-10 2010-08-25 2010-09-29 2010-10-13 2010-10-16 2011-01-05 2011-03-16 2011-04-06 2011-05-28 2011-06-15 2011-07-16 2011-07-30 2011-09-17 2011-12-07 2011-12-14 2012-01-11 2012-01-28 2012-02-08 2012-02-11 2012-03-28 2012-04-14 2012-04-18 2012-06-02 2012-07-11 2012-09-05 2012-09-22 2012-11-17 2012-12-22 2013-01-26 2013-01-30 2013-02-23 2013-04-24 2013-04-27 2013-08-10 2013-11-20 2013-11-23 2013-11-30 2013-12-18 2014-01-11 2014-03-05 2014-05-17 2014-06-25 2014-07-05 2014-08-09 2014-08-13 2014-08-20 2014-09-10 2014-10-18 2014-12-06 2014-12-13 2015-01-07 2015-01-17 2015-02-07 2015-02-18 2015-03-11 2015-04-25 2015-06-06 2015-06-20 2015-07-01 2015-08-22 2015-09-02 2015-09-30 2015-11-07 2015-11-14 2015-11-21 2015-11-28 2015-12-09 2016-02-13 2016-02-24 2016-03-12 2016-04-20 2016-05-18 2016-05-25 2016-06-08 2016-06-25 2016-07-02 2016-07-13 2016-07-16 2016-08-13 2016-10-01 2016-11-02 2016-11-12 2016-12-28 2017-01-18 2017-03-01 2017-05-06 2017-06-10 2010-01-02 2017-07-29 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 9 times 2 draws: 11 times 3 draws: 11 times 4 draws: 6 times 5 draws: 7 times 6 draws: 6 times 7 draws: 2 times 8 draws: 6 times 9 draws: 3 times 10 draws: 5 times 11 draws: 6 times 12 draws: 2 times 13 draws: 5 times 14 draws: 3 times 15 draws: 3 times 16 draws: 2 times 17 draws: 1 time 18 draws: 0 times 19 draws: 2 times 20 draws: 1 time 21 draws: 1 time 22 draws: 1 time 23 draws: 1 time 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 0 times 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 1 time 30 draws: 1 time 31 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 65 · chance 69.2 2nd smallest 27 · chance 25.3 3rd smallest 5 · chance 2.4 4th smallest 0 · chance 0.1 5th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 6th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 10.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 48 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 3 Every number number 5 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.