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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lightning Lotto · every number
In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2026 rules — 151 draws, 5 from 1–49.
Drawn 12 times in 151 draws against 15.4 expected, −0.92σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 12 times in 151 draws · average wait 12.8 draws · longest completed wait 34 · waiting 4 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 15 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 18 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-08-17 | 4 | 1st | 28323842 |
| 2026-08-13 | 10 | 1st | 24131733 |
| 2026-08-03 | 10 | 1st | 217334649 |
| 2026-07-23 | 19 | 2nd | 12173738 |
| 2026-07-04 | 3 | 1st | 213233942 |
| 2026-07-01 | 27 | 1st | 211162147 |
| 2026-06-04 | 5 | 1st | 224303645 |
| 2026-05-30 | — | 1st | 29131527 |