Number 10

In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2026 rules — 151 draws, 5 from 1–49.

17times drawn · chance expected 15 +0.43σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

9.2average wait between appearances · chance says 9.8

23longest completed wait · 79% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 17 times in 151 draws against 15.4 expected, +0.43σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 17 times in 151 draws · average wait 9.2 draws · longest completed wait 23 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest5 · chance 7.2
2nd smallest9 · chance 7.2
3rd smallest3 · chance 2.3
4th smallest0 · chance 0.3
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

7 27 31 4 16 21

Never drawn alongside 11 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 12 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-22	5	2nd	4 10 24 37 44
2026-10-17	4	2nd	5 10 27 31 40
2026-10-13	23	1st	10 18 27 28 34
2026-09-20	17	3rd	1 2

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.