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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Lottario under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 108 draws, 6 from 1–45.
Drawn 17 times in 108 draws against 14.4 expected, +0.74σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 3 times, counted separately.
Drawn 17 times in 108 draws · average wait 6.3 draws · longest completed wait 22 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 12 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 6 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 6 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 12 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 12 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | 3 | 2nd | 81218223033 |
| 2026-09-26 | 1 | 2nd | 21214162841 |
| 2026-09-19 | 7 | 2nd | 111213293739 |
| 2026-08-01 | 2 | 1st | 121628313741 |
| 2026-07-18 | 5 | 3rd | 2312232635 |
| 2026-06-13 | 3 | 4th | 5611122137 |
| 2026-05-23 | 12 | 2nd | 61215222830 |
| 2026-02-28 | 5 | 4th | 258123435 |
| 2026-01-24 | 8 | 1st | 121524293041 |
| 2025-11-29 | 14 | 3rd | 71112263840 |
| 2025-08-23 | 1 | 1st | 121521323542 |
| 2025-08-16 | 3 | 2nd | 41228293044 |
| 2025-07-26 | 22 | 2nd | 111218283044 |
| 2025-02-22 | 4 | 2nd | 101222232426 |
| 2025-01-25 | 4 | 2nd | 91213284045 |
| 2024-12-28 | 6 | 2nd | 21222283234 |
| 2024-11-16 | — | 2nd | 21221273637 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 12 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.