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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Lottario under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 108 draws, 6 from 1–45.
Drawn 14 times in 108 draws against 14.4 expected, −0.11σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 2 times, counted separately.
Drawn 14 times in 108 draws · average wait 7.3 draws · longest completed wait 20 · waiting 6 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 26 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 6 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 26 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 26 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | 1 | 5th | 3620252632 |
| 2026-08-29 | 6 | 4th | 71316263637 |
| 2026-07-18 | 13 | 5th | 2312232635 |
| 2026-04-18 | 20 | 6th | 91116192026 |
| 2025-11-29 | 1 | 4th | 71112263840 |
| 2025-11-22 | 12 | 3rd | 4826273444 |
| 2025-08-30 | 9 | 3rd | 142526313942 |
| 2025-06-28 | 7 | 5th | 5715242644 |
| 2025-05-10 | 1 | 4th | 4813262841 |
| 2025-05-03 | 7 | 4th | 1322263435 |
| 2025-03-15 | 3 | 4th | 1210262735 |
| 2025-02-22 | 6 | 6th | 101222232426 |
| 2025-01-11 | 9 | 2nd | 12632343545 |
| 2024-11-09 | — | 6th | 5718192526 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 26 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.