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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Lottario under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 108 draws, 6 from 1–45.
Drawn 12 times in 108 draws against 14.4 expected, −0.68σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 6 times, counted separately.
Drawn 12 times in 108 draws · average wait 9.5 draws · longest completed wait 27 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 11 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 11 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 40 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | 1 | 5th | 112528294043 |
| 2026-10-03 | 6 | 6th | 2713273940 |
| 2026-08-22 | 11 | 6th | 2815213640 |
| 2026-06-06 | 27 | 5th | 2611174042 |
| 2025-11-29 | 4 | 6th | 71112263840 |
| 2025-11-01 | 5 | 6th | 142031343840 |
| 2025-09-27 | 23 | 5th | 82130394045 |
| 2025-04-19 | 9 | 6th | 151618353840 |
| 2025-02-15 | 3 | 5th | 91618274041 |
| 2025-01-25 | 3 | 5th | 91213284045 |
| 2025-01-04 | 12 | 5th | 131627284044 |
| 2024-10-12 | — | 6th | 2813313340 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.