Number 4

In Lottario Early Bird under the 4/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 108 draws, 4 from 1–45.

11times drawn · chance expected 10 +0.47σ

28draws waiting · a wait this long: 8% for any number

7.7average wait between appearances · chance says 11.3

16longest completed wait · 94% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 11 times in 108 draws against 9.6 expected, +0.47σ. Each draw is independent: after 28 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 11 times in 108 draws · average wait 7.7 draws · longest completed wait 16 · waiting 28 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest8 · chance 8.9
2nd smallest3 · chance 2.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.1
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

8 1 9 12 14 15

Never drawn alongside 23 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 21 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-04-04	9	2nd	1 4 8 13
2026-01-31	16	1st	4 26 40 41
2025-10-11	2	1st	4 12 14 19
2025-09-27	6	1st	4 15 30 40

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 4/45 tonight whatever it did last week.