In Lotto 6aus49 under the 6/49 + 1/9 · since Sep 2024 rules — 216 draws, 6 from 1–49.
36times drawn · chance expected 26 +1.98σ
1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number
6.1average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2
27longest completed wait · 70% chance of one at least that long
30 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 36 times in 216 draws against 26.4 expected, +1.98σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
30
Number 30, draw by draw
Drawn 36 times in 216 draws · average wait 6.1 draws · longest completed wait 27 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 30 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 1 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 1 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 30 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 30 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.