In Lotto 6aus49 under the 6/49 + 1/9 · since Sep 2024 rules — 216 draws, 6 from 1–49.
25times drawn · chance expected 26 −0.30σ
1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number
8.8average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2
25longest completed wait · 66% chance of one at least that long
40 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 25 times in 216 draws against 26.4 expected, −0.30σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
40
Number 40, draw by draw
Drawn 25 times in 216 draws · average wait 8.8 draws · longest completed wait 25 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 2 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 4 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.