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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Lotto 6aus49 under the 6/49 + 1/9 · since Sep 2024 rules — 216 draws, 6 from 1–49.
Drawn 29 times in 216 draws against 26.4 expected, +0.53σ. Each draw is independent: after 14 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 29 times in 216 draws · average wait 7.0 draws · longest completed wait 19 · waiting 14 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 8 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 3.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 1 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 2 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 8 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | 7 | 1st | 81923324445 |
| 2026-08-08 | 14 | 2nd | 2822303843 |
| 2026-06-20 | 4 | 2nd | 2813152735 |
| 2026-06-06 | 4 | 1st | 81617233032 |
| 2026-05-23 | 15 | 3rd | 268111439 |
| 2026-04-01 | 11 | 1st | 81011142248 |
| 2026-02-21 | 3 | 2nd | 289293944 |
| 2026-02-11 | 3 | 1st | 8918203740 |
| 2026-01-31 | 8 | 1st | 81930373849 |
| 2026-01-03 | 3 | 2nd | 3811121646 |
| 2025-12-24 | 13 | 2nd | 7825323739 |
| 2025-11-05 | 11 | 1st | 82028333749 |
| 2025-09-27 | 4 | 1st | 81114203638 |
| 2025-09-13 | 3 | 2nd | 2815232543 |
| 2025-09-03 | 2 | 2nd | 7830353944 |
| 2025-08-27 | 5 | 1st | 82235414348 |
| 2025-08-09 | 10 | 3rd | 168202246 |
| 2025-07-05 | 11 | 2nd | 1829374244 |
| 2025-05-28 | 8 | 1st | 81920253749 |
| 2025-04-30 | 19 | 1st | 81819363842 |
| 2025-02-22 | 1 | 2nd | 6812262834 |
| 2025-02-19 | 5 | 2nd | 4810252844 |
| 2025-02-01 | 12 | 1st | 8911222527 |
| 2024-12-21 | 8 | 3rd | 368343944 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 8 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2024-10-09 | — | 1st | 81524343846 |