Number 10

In UK Lotto under the 6/49 + 1/49 · Nov 1994 – Oct 2015 rules — 2,065 draws, 6 from 1–49 (an earlier era).

258times drawn · chance expected 253 +0.35σ

15draws waiting · a wait this long: 16% for any number

7.9average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

42longest completed wait · 70% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 258 times in 2,065 draws against 252.9 expected, +0.35σ. Each draw is independent: after 15 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 35 times, counted separately.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 258 times in 2,065 draws · average wait 7.9 draws · longest completed wait 42 · waiting 15 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest93 · chance 86.8
2nd smallest103 · chance 111.5
3rd smallest50 · chance 49.6
4th smallest12 · chance 9.4
5th smallest0 · chance 0.7
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 26.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

8 31 47 17 40 22

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 48 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2015-08-15	11	3rd	4 8 10 21 41 49
2015-07-08	2	2nd	3 10 35 38 40 41
2015-07-01	7	2nd	4 10 13 18 29 33
2015-06-06	10	1st

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.

2013-10-26	1	1st	10 14 20 22 45 49
2013-10-23	7	1st	10 18 27 37 41 47
2013-09-28	17	1st	10 12 14 25 46 48
2013-07-31	6	1st	10 16 33 38 40 44
2013-07-10	8	3rd	3 9 10 16 20 22
2013-06-12	2	3rd	2 7 10 15 17 28
2013-06-05	4	1st	10 18 35 38 41 43
2013-05-22	16	1st	10 23 35 39 45 46
2013-03-27	13	2nd	8 10 22 24 37 44
2013-02-09	1	2nd	8 10 27 34 40 41
2013-02-06	2	2nd	9 10 16 18 27 42
2013-01-30	2	2nd	9 10 24 43 47 48
2013-01-23	5	2nd	6 10 14 24 32 41
2013-01-05	16	1st	10 15 17 21 37 47
2012-11-10	5	1st	10 23 24 25 30 37
2012-10-24	1	2nd	1 10 19 36 47 48
2012-10-20	8	2nd	9 10 24 37 39 40
2012-09-22	11	1st	10 13 29 31 36 45
2012-08-15	3	1st	10 14 35 36 37 46
2012-08-04	2	2nd	8 10 15 21 23 45
2012-07-28	9	2nd	7 10 22 29 43 44
2012-06-27	2	1st	10 22 29 39 46 47
2012-06-20	12	2nd	6 10 12 30 36 49
2012-05-09	5	4th	2 7 8 10 22 23
2012-04-21	9	1st	10 23 25 34 41 47
2012-03-21	15	1st	10 14 21 25 39 45
2012-01-28	4	1st	10 12 25 28 31 40
2012-01-14	9	2nd	7 10 12 15 25 42
2011-12-14	2	2nd	3 10 25 28 30 43
2011-12-07	6	1st	10 14 27 31 32 47
2011-11-16	2	1st	10 12 26 27 39 40
2011-11-09	13	3rd	2 8 10 23 27 32
2011-09-24	4	1st	10 16 29 34 37 47
2011-09-10	12	4th	5 7 9 10 22 47
2011-07-30	3	2nd	4 10 29 32 34 40
2011-07-20	5	2nd	6 10 15 32 42 49
2011-07-02	4	1st	10 18 34 35 39 48
2011-06-18	23	3rd	3 8 10 35 38 39
2011-03-30	3	1st	10 16 17 21 39 41
2011-03-19	21	1st	10 26 28 34 35 39
2011-01-05	11	2nd	4 10 35 36 43 46
2010-11-27	16	2nd	4 10 18 41 42 47
2010-10-02	7	1st	10 16 25 26 32 40
2010-09-08	4	2nd	8 10 26 34 48 49
2010-08-25	7	2nd	5 10 12 17 28 30
2010-07-31	25	1st	10 24 30 33 40 45
2010-05-05	4	4th	3 6 8 10 36 47
2010-04-21	1	2nd	2 10 16 19 33 45
2010-04-17	26	2nd	3 10 29 31 36 44
2010-01-16	31	3rd	4 7 10 14 27 42
2009-09-30	12	2nd	2 10 15 28 36 41
2009-08-19	10	1st	10 23 26 30 41 45
2009-07-15	1	3rd	5 8 10 29 39 41
2009-07-11	1	3rd	4 6 10 28 35 39
2009-07-08	4	1st	10 16 21 22 35 49
2009-06-24	2	1st	10 17 20 21 23 31
2009-06-17	8	2nd	8 10 11 14 28 36
2009-05-20	4	2nd	9 10 30 37 45 46
2009-05-06	1	3rd	1 8 10 13 20 34
2009-05-02	7	1st	10 17 25 32 34 40
2009-04-08	29	2nd	8 10 21 23 25 48
2008-12-27	1	2nd	7 10 24 39 40 42
2008-12-24	2	2nd	2 10 24 31 37 47
2008-12-17	3	1st	10 15 17 26 46 49
2008-12-06	2	1st	10 12 20 37 39 48
2008-11-29	9	1st	10 34 35 39 43 47
2008-10-29	3	2nd	6 10 12 15 20 27
2008-10-18	19	2nd	3 10 12 30 39 40
2008-08-13	1	3rd	5 9 10 11 23 26
2008-08-09	21	2nd	9 10 17 29 33 40
2008-05-28	1	1st	10 25 28 36 45 48
2008-05-24	5	3rd	3 6 10 26 30 38
2008-05-07	4	2nd	9 10 12 16 30 31
2008-04-23	2	1st	10 15 23 34 39 41
2008-04-16	25	2nd	4 10 14 29 31 38
2008-01-19	12	2nd	6 10 30 32 43 45
2007-12-08	10	3rd	4 6 10 11 24 33
2007-11-03	2	2nd	3 10 22 25 31 49
2007-10-27	3	3rd	6 8 10 13 22 32
2007-10-17	5	1st	10 12 22 32 45 46
2007-09-29	6	3rd	1 9 10 11 16 49
2007-09-08	8	2nd	4 10 20 24 39 49
2007-08-11	6	2nd	6 10 11 19 22 46
2007-07-21	3	2nd	3 10 21 25 29 49
2007-07-11	3	3rd	3 9 10 12 46 47
2007-06-30	8	1st	10 11 17 34 38 46
2007-06-02	37	2nd	1 10 33 35 38 43
2007-01-24	9	3rd	2 8 10 31 46 48
2006-12-23	1	1st	10 16 24 37 44 49
2006-12-20	3	2nd	4 10 21 22 25 38
2006-12-09	13	3rd	5 8 10 18 20 46
2006-10-25	17	3rd	2 7 10 14 16 22
2006-08-26	14	1st	10 17 24 31 42 49
2006-07-08	7	2nd	6 10 19 29 32 42
2006-06-14	8	3rd	4 7 10 33 35 49
2006-05-17	5	2nd	3 10 19 33 35 38
2006-04-29	10	1st	10 29 31 32 36 47
2006-03-25	2	3rd	2 6 10 17 29 30
2006-03-18	23	2nd	7 10 22 24 34 44
2005-12-28	7	3rd	6 8 10 19 30 42
2005-12-03	4	2nd	2 10 11 28 36 47
2005-11-19	7	3rd	4 9 10 19 24 37
2005-10-26	16	1st	10 14 26 28 33 38
2005-08-31	4	2nd	4 10 14 21 32 49
2005-08-17	4	2nd	3 10 13 22 31 33
2005-08-03	2	2nd	2 10 30 36 37 43
2005-07-27	17	1st	10 12 13 17 31 37
2005-05-28	28	1st	10 16 21 24 34 46
2005-02-19	12	1st	10 16 19 30 35 45
2005-01-08	12	2nd	7 10 17 28 29 33
2004-11-27	4	4th	4 7 9 10 43 46
2004-11-13	7	2nd	4 10 12 13 14 22
2004-10-20	7	1st	10 13 19 25 31 33
2004-09-25	2	2nd	3 10 28 29 42 43
2004-09-18	3	2nd	5 10 13 14 28 42
2004-09-08	1	2nd	1 10 27 35 39 48
2004-09-04	2	3rd	3 5 10 25 43 47
2004-08-28	1	3rd	6 7 10 20 37 44
2004-08-25	6	1st	10 12 13 19 31 46
2004-08-04	2	4th	4 7 8 10 17 22
2004-07-28	6	1st	10 11 14 21 25 42
2004-07-07	14	2nd	5 10 11 16 17 33
2004-05-19	2	1st	10 22 28 33 37 39
2004-05-12	3	1st	10 11 15 18 19 40
2004-05-01	14	3rd	5 6 10 15 27 49
2004-03-13	13	2nd	1 10 11 18 19 46
2004-01-28	24	2nd	8 10 16 17 30 47
2003-11-05	3	1st	10 12 18 20 22 47
2003-10-25	15	2nd	4 10 18 21 43 49
2003-09-03	3	1st	10 11 13 38 39 42
2003-08-23	2	1st	10 15 18 25 42 48
2003-08-16	1	3rd	1 9 10 12 42 45
2003-08-13	7	1st	10 15 16 18 19 28
2003-07-19	4	3rd	3 9 10 17 34 48
2003-07-05	2	2nd	6 10 18 19 22 43
2003-06-28	20	2nd	1 10 17 23 29 35
2003-04-19	7	2nd	8 10 13 31 38 48
2003-03-26	1	1st	10 22 35 37 47 49
2003-03-22	1	3rd	2 8 10 45 47 49
2003-03-19	8	2nd	2 10 15 16 18 39
2003-02-19	12	3rd	1 4 10 17 28 35
2003-01-08	8	1st	10 12 22 34 46 48
2002-12-11	7	1st	10 13 15 16 29 48
2002-11-16	5	1st	10 30 34 42 48 49
2002-10-30	1	1st	10 21 26 31 48 49
2002-10-26	8	2nd	7 10 24 32 33 45
2002-09-28	15	3rd	2 9 10 11 13 16
2002-08-07	5	1st	10 22 23 30 33 42
2002-07-20	1	2nd	7 10 16 34 47 48
2002-07-17	10	1st	10 11 31 41 45 46
2002-06-12	8	3rd	1 2 10 34 47 48
2002-05-15	2	3rd	4 6 10 19 40 49
2002-05-08	2	2nd	8 10 42 44 47 49
2002-05-01	12	1st	10 15 19 22 24 32
2002-03-20	9	1st	10 18 25 28 37 43
2002-02-16	6	1st	10 20 24 36 37 44
2002-01-26	9	1st	10 13 20 25 27 32
2001-12-26	1	1st	10 17 26 29 36 37
2001-12-22	9	3rd	1 9 10 12 23 40
2001-11-21	4	1st	10 25 30 38 44 46
2001-11-07	1	3rd	8 9 10 20 39 40
2001-11-03	20	1st	10 31 34 39 43 44
2001-08-25	35	2nd	1 10 14 30 36 43
2001-04-25	6	1st	10 11 24 35 40 44
2001-04-04	12	1st	10 16 23 24 28 45
2001-02-21	1	2nd	8 10 24 30 40 44
2001-02-17	1	1st	10 14 31 35 40 45
2001-02-14	6	2nd	3 10 23 27 30 32
2001-01-24	2	1st	10 11 28 29 31 39
2001-01-17	2	1st	10 13 24 31 36 47
2001-01-10	10	1st	10 14 15 23 24 27
2000-12-06	16	2nd	6 10 13 19 27 47
2000-10-11	2	2nd	6 10 19 30 34 41
2000-10-04	2	1st	10 14 19 43 46 49
2000-09-27	14	2nd	4 10 24 28 40 47
2000-08-09	12	1st	10 14 32 35 36 43
2000-06-28	2	2nd	8 10 27 38 40 46
2000-06-21	10	2nd	1 10 24 33 37 46
2000-05-17	2	2nd	1 10 11 15 21 48
2000-05-10	10	1st	10 18 29 37 38 46
2000-04-05	10	4th	2 3 7 10 40 48
2000-03-01	8	3rd	4 8 10 12 15 30
2000-02-02	3	1st	10 30 31 32 39 42
2000-01-22	2	3rd	7 9 10 40 41 44
2000-01-15	1	1st	10 12 16 17 31 47
2000-01-12	10	2nd	3 10 14 17 19 27
1999-12-08	3	2nd	7 10 11 26 31 33
1999-11-27	4	2nd	8 10 22 46 47 49
1999-11-13	1	2nd	7 10 21 28 29 39
1999-11-10	1	2nd	2 10 18 19 28 35
1999-11-06	2	2nd	8 10 23 34 36 46
1999-10-30	2	1st	10 15 17 27 44 47
1999-10-23	13	3rd	4 8 10 15 25 39
1999-09-08	1	2nd	8 10 17 22 36 38
1999-09-04	25	4th	3 5 7 10 14 20
1999-06-09	17	2nd	8 10 12 34 46 48
1999-04-10	1	1st	10 18 25 32 35 36
1999-04-07	21	1st	10 15 23 27 29 46
1999-01-23	10	3rd	1 8 10 17 32 47
1998-12-19	23	2nd	9 10 18 25 28 48
1998-09-30	7	1st	10 12 14 28 31 38
1998-09-05	2	2nd	9 10 11 27 42 47
1998-08-29	2	1st	10 12 37 42 44 45
1998-08-22	19	2nd	2 10 11 27 32 38
1998-06-17	1	2nd	2 10 16 17 20 27
1998-06-13	8	3rd	2 7 10 15 27 45
1998-05-16	7	4th	2 4 6 10 34 44
1998-04-22	3	4th	3 7 9 10 12 37
1998-04-11	5	2nd	7 10 31 35 43 44
1998-03-25	10	3rd	1 6 10 25 31 45
1998-02-18	11	3rd	1 5 10 13 25 32
1998-01-10	20	2nd	3 10 11 27 47 49
1997-11-01	2	2nd	9 10 14 16 37 39
1997-10-25	15	1st	10 21 27 38 40 44
1997-09-03	3	1st	10 14 22 30 38 43
1997-08-23	3	2nd	4 10 25 36 44 47
1997-08-13	12	2nd	5 10 17 29 41 43
1997-07-02	5	2nd	6 10 18 22 41 45
1997-06-14	1	3rd	3 8 10 16 43 44
1997-06-11	12	1st	10 31 33 40 42 44
1997-04-30	1	2nd	8 10 16 17 24 40
1997-04-26	7	2nd	6 10 14 25 27 38
1997-04-02	22	2nd	5 10 17 25 40 43
1996-12-28	10	2nd	8 10 20 27 31 39
1996-10-19	5	1st	10 13 31 34 39 48
1996-09-14	9	3rd	2 9 10 11 38 48
1996-07-13	9	2nd	5 10 11 12 41 42
1996-05-11	26	2nd	7 10 12 22 34 48
1995-11-11	5	2nd	7 10 23 28 30 48
1995-10-07	1	1st	10 22 28 30 36 37
1995-09-30	1	1st	10 11 29 32 33 40
1995-09-23	1	2nd	5 10 19 24 34 46
1995-09-16	29	2nd	2 10 14 25 37 41
1995-02-25	—	3rd	5 8 10 18 31 33