Number 40

In UK Lotto under the 6/49 + 1/49 · Nov 1994 – Oct 2015 rules — 2,065 draws, 6 from 1–49 (an earlier era).

279times drawn · chance expected 253 +1.76σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 88% for any number

7.4average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

35longest completed wait · 96% chance of one at least that long

40 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 279 times in 2,065 draws against 252.9 expected, +1.76σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 35 times, counted separately.

Number 40, draw by draw

Drawn 279 times in 2,065 draws · average wait 7.4 draws · longest completed wait 35 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest1 · chance 0.8
3rd smallest9 · chance 10.1
4th smallest45 · chance 53.6
5th smallest113 · chance 120.6
6th smallest111 · chance 93.8

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 29.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

33 17 31 9 24 28

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 48 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 40 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2015-09-30	5	5th	5 8 11 17 40 45
2015-09-12	2	5th	14 20 28 31 40 46
2015-09-05	1	4th	24 29 33 40 43 49
2015-09-02	3	6th

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.

2014-03-01	4	6th	4 9 10 13 29 40
2014-02-15	16	6th	15 17 19 22 33 40
2013-12-21	1	6th	12 18 25 28 33 40
2013-12-18	28	5th	2 7 25 35 40 42
2013-09-11	5	5th	7 24 27 31 40 41
2013-08-24	7	4th	5 20 26 40 42 48
2013-07-31	2	5th	10 16 33 38 40 44
2013-07-24	6	4th	22 26 30 40 42 47
2013-07-03	2	4th	15 27 31 40 41 49
2013-06-26	9	5th	8 11 29 34 40 41
2013-05-25	5	6th	5 6 26 30 33 40
2013-05-08	1	6th	12 15 20 31 33 40
2013-05-04	10	5th	11 12 22 27 40 44
2013-03-30	14	4th	8 15 24 40 43 45
2013-02-09	12	5th	8 10 27 34 40 41
2012-12-29	11	5th	6 8 31 37 40 48
2012-11-21	4	6th	4 12 19 22 36 40
2012-11-07	2	5th	14 19 35 36 40 45
2012-10-31	3	5th	7 30 32 36 40 41
2012-10-20	7	6th	9 10 24 37 39 40
2012-09-26	19	5th	6 8 11 39 40 43
2012-07-21	1	4th	5 14 20 40 41 42
2012-07-18	9	5th	11 26 34 38 40 46
2012-06-16	8	5th	3 19 21 37 40 49
2012-05-19	4	4th	1 19 39 40 42 46
2012-05-05	3	6th	4 13 17 26 27 40
2012-04-25	6	5th	8 13 18 21 40 44
2012-04-04	1	5th	9 23 26 33 40 44
2012-03-31	4	4th	2 5 18 40 47 49
2012-03-17	4	6th	1 3 16 20 37 40
2012-03-03	5	6th	7 20 23 28 31 40
2012-02-15	3	5th	9 28 30 33 40 44
2012-02-04	2	3rd	4 7 40 41 45 48
2012-01-28	5	6th	10 12 25 28 31 40
2012-01-11	16	6th	2 9 27 33 39 40
2011-11-16	10	6th	10 12 26 27 39 40
2011-10-12	16	6th	13 24 25 26 37 40
2011-08-17	4	4th	3 19 32 40 47 48
2011-08-03	1	5th	18 19 26 39 40 47
2011-07-30	4	6th	4 10 29 32 34 40
2011-07-16	10	6th	4 9 13 15 18 40
2011-06-11	1	5th	9 11 35 37 40 45
2011-06-08	3	4th	3 19 36 40 43 48
2011-05-28	12	5th	2 3 17 23 40 43
2011-04-16	11	3rd	4 34 40 41 44 49
2011-03-09	9	4th	9 11 37 40 41 49
2011-02-05	15	4th	33 34 37 40 41 47
2010-12-15	10	5th	6 9 31 33 40 45
2010-11-10	11	5th	15 26 30 35 40 41
2010-10-02	5	6th	10 16 25 26 32 40
2010-09-15	1	4th	2 20 33 40 43 46
2010-09-11	7	6th	4 20 21 35 39 40
2010-08-18	5	6th	2 13 16 24 25 40
2010-07-31	5	5th	10 24 30 33 40 45
2010-07-14	8	5th	1 15 25 26 40 43
2010-06-16	10	5th	4 8 32 34 40 47
2010-05-12	5	4th	11 17 19 40 44 45
2010-04-24	4	6th	1 4 12 23 33 40
2010-04-10	20	5th	6 9 11 21 40 48
2010-01-30	12	6th	2 3 4 19 23 40
2009-12-19	1	5th	1 20 28 33 40 45
2009-12-16	2	5th	2 20 34 35 40 44
2009-12-09	5	5th	5 13 31 36 40 41
2009-11-21	6	6th	9 24 30 32 36 40
2009-10-31	6	5th	12 18 26 35 40 44
2009-10-10	4	4th	17 36 37 40 43 45
2009-09-26	13	5th	3 5 17 32 40 43
2009-08-12	3	6th	9 20 21 27 39 40
2009-08-01	2	5th	2 6 27 28 40 49
2009-07-25	1	6th	8 17 30 32 38 40
2009-07-22	9	6th	2 22 23 31 35 40
2009-06-20	14	6th	3 4 17 24 29 40
2009-05-02	9	6th	10 17 25 32 34 40
2009-04-01	16	6th	3 5 14 19 24 40
2009-02-04	2	6th	4 24 31 33 36 40
2009-01-28	1	5th	4 29 37 39 40 43
2009-01-24	8	6th	24 25 26 38 39 40
2008-12-27	19	5th	7 10 24 39 40 42
2008-10-22	1	6th	1 12 29 35 37 40
2008-10-18	4	6th	3 10 12 30 39 40
2008-10-04	2	6th	17 18 28 29 32 40
2008-09-27	4	5th	11 21 27 38 40 44
2008-09-13	10	5th	5 21 28 29 40 44
2008-08-09	5	6th	9 10 17 29 33 40
2008-07-23	10	6th	15 17 33 35 39 40
2008-06-18	11	5th	12 26 34 39 40 45
2008-05-10	4	6th	4 14 18 24 32 40
2008-04-26	8	6th	1 4 16 37 39 40
2008-03-29	4	5th	11 17 28 31 40 43
2008-03-15	10	4th	2 23 37 40 48 49
2008-02-09	3	6th	2 14 26 29 31 40
2008-01-30	29	5th	7 8 27 37 40 46
2007-10-20	13	6th	4 15 25 27 33 40
2007-09-05	3	6th	11 24 26 35 39 40
2007-08-25	1	5th	7 13 17 33 40 42
2007-08-22	16	5th	18 31 35 39 40 42
2007-06-27	4	4th	7 13 23 40 41 48
2007-06-13	1	5th	13 19 24 30 40 48
2007-06-09	1	5th	2 3 23 33 40 46
2007-06-06	4	6th	7 21 22 28 37 40
2007-05-23	3	6th	3 19 31 32 36 40
2007-05-12	21	5th	3 6 9 12 40 43
2007-02-28	3	4th	4 15 34 40 44 46
2007-02-17	12	3rd	6 18 40 43 47 49
2007-01-06	11	6th	15 25 29 35 39 40
2006-11-29	4	4th	17 20 31 40 42 46
2006-11-15	3	5th	2 3 17 22 40 42
2006-11-04	15	4th	17 30 33 40 42 43
2006-09-13	3	4th	8 15 17 40 43 48
2006-09-02	4	6th	3 8 20 22 34 40
2006-08-19	18	5th	6 29 31 34 40 48
2006-06-17	13	4th	25 26 33 40 41 47
2006-05-03	3	5th	9 11 22 39 40 42
2006-04-22	4	4th	9 24 30 40 42 48
2006-04-08	5	6th	5 6 7 18 28 40
2006-03-22	5	6th	4 8 16 19 34 40
2006-03-04	4	6th	1 16 22 32 33 40
2006-02-18	2	6th	9 23 32 35 36 40
2006-02-11	17	6th	4 9 15 25 30 40
2005-12-14	24	6th	7 9 17 22 27 40
2005-09-21	1	5th	2 23 33 35 40 42
2005-09-17	7	5th	9 21 23 31 40 46
2005-08-24	15	2nd	1 40 43 44 48 49
2005-07-02	8	6th	8 25 33 35 38 40
2005-06-04	14	6th	6 8 13 15 21 40
2005-04-16	1	5th	25 26 32 39 40 42
2005-04-13	5	4th	14 23 36 40 41 48
2005-03-26	5	5th	5 21 23 28 40 48
2005-03-09	3	5th	14 21 25 39 40 47
2005-02-26	9	4th	8 14 25 40 43 48
2005-01-26	7	6th	3 12 14 22 33 40
2005-01-01	15	6th	4 6 9 12 15 40
2004-11-10	1	4th	13 27 37 40 43 49
2004-11-06	3	6th	2 26 29 36 39 40
2004-10-27	1	5th	9 11 21 39 40 46
2004-10-23	9	6th	22 27 33 37 38 40
2004-09-22	15	3rd	12 19 40 42 46 49
2004-07-31	3	5th	3 13 17 29 40 48
2004-07-21	3	5th	6 9 13 15 40 43
2004-07-10	11	5th	6 9 31 32 40 47
2004-06-02	1	4th	5 22 26 40 42 43
2004-05-29	5	6th	1 4 6 18 19 40
2004-05-12	9	6th	10 11 15 18 19 40
2004-04-10	3	5th	25 30 34 39 40 47
2004-03-31	8	6th	4 7 8 11 24 40
2004-03-03	6	3rd	24 38 40 44 47 48
2004-02-11	8	4th	22 23 38 40 43 47
2004-01-14	3	5th	2 5 19 21 40 46
2004-01-03	11	5th	17 18 22 23 40 49
2003-11-26	11	5th	16 32 34 35 40 48
2003-10-18	35	5th	5 11 17 23 40 45
2003-06-18	4	6th	16 18 26 32 38 40
2003-06-04	24	4th	7 20 27 40 43 49
2003-03-12	4	5th	6 16 33 37 40 41
2003-02-26	15	5th	5 18 34 38 40 45
2003-01-04	5	5th	19 32 33 36 40 45
2002-12-18	4	5th	11 17 21 22 40 42
2002-12-04	24	6th	2 4 23 26 28 40
2002-09-11	7	5th	15 20 28 37 40 44
2002-08-17	23	6th	19 20 31 32 35 40
2002-05-29	1	5th	19 26 30 34 40 44
2002-05-25	3	6th	7 14 15 25 27 40
2002-05-15	9	5th	4 6 10 19 40 49
2002-04-13	6	4th	3 19 22 40 41 44
2002-03-23	12	6th	9 24 28 30 31 40
2002-02-09	1	5th	7 15 20 28 40 48
2002-02-06	13	6th	2 13 20 36 37 40
2001-12-22	2	6th	1 9 10 12 23 40
2001-12-15	11	6th	5 7 13 24 35 40
2001-11-07	4	6th	8 9 10 20 39 40
2001-10-24	2	4th	8 38 39 40 43 44
2001-10-17	1	6th	5 20 26 31 32 40
2001-10-13	8	4th	8 33 38 40 48 49
2001-09-15	10	5th	2 9 15 17 40 48
2001-08-11	3	6th	18 19 25 36 38 40
2001-08-01	8	6th	11 15 20 27 33 40
2001-07-04	19	5th	13 28 32 38 40 47
2001-04-28	1	4th	2 25 33 40 44 47
2001-04-25	14	5th	10 11 24 35 40 44
2001-03-07	4	5th	3 12 30 33 40 49
2001-02-21	1	5th	8 10 24 30 40 44
2001-02-17	3	5th	10 14 31 35 40 45
2001-02-07	7	5th	2 5 33 37 40 45
2001-01-13	2	6th	12 23 28 34 36 40
2001-01-06	24	6th	6 16 23 34 35 40
2000-10-14	4	6th	7 22 31 37 38 40
2000-09-30	1	5th	12 15 27 32 40 44
2000-09-27	7	5th	4 10 24 28 40 47
2000-09-02	1	6th	11 12 21 31 36 40
2000-08-30	10	5th	13 21 24 38 40 41
2000-07-26	8	4th	2 28 29 40 43 47
2000-06-28	3	5th	8 10 27 38 40 46
2000-06-17	21	5th	4 22 24 25 40 43
2000-04-05	4	5th	2 3 7 10 40 48
2000-03-22	2	6th	6 18 20 33 36 40
2000-03-15	11	6th	7 12 25 28 30 40
2000-02-05	4	3rd	21 38 40 46 47 49
2000-01-22	28	4th	7 9 10 40 41 44
1999-10-16	28	5th	11 25 27 31 40 41
1999-07-10	4	6th	5 7 15 26 35 40
1999-06-26	12	6th	2 17 18 23 30 40
1999-05-15	4	6th	4 14 18 24 27 40
1999-05-01	8	6th	7 20 24 31 33 40
1999-04-03	9	5th	3 7 9 15 40 43
1999-03-03	3	6th	20 22 24 25 36 40
1999-02-20	1	6th	3 9 17 23 29 40
1999-02-17	3	5th	2 22 31 32 40 42
1999-02-06	2	5th	2 17 23 38 40 49
1999-01-30	3	5th	7 19 32 37 40 44
1999-01-20	3	6th	4 8 14 19 28 40
1999-01-09	7	6th	1 15 23 34 37 40
1998-12-16	2	6th	11 19 20 24 29 40
1998-12-09	21	4th	1 7 39 40 45 49
1998-09-26	2	6th	6 15 18 29 35 40
1998-09-19	1	6th	24 26 27 28 34 40
1998-09-16	12	5th	18 25 28 36 40 45
1998-08-05	10	4th	13 35 38 40 42 47
1998-07-01	9	4th	17 18 28 40 44 46
1998-05-30	6	6th	2 3 14 29 38 40
1998-05-09	3	6th	2 9 25 26 35 40
1998-04-29	25	6th	12 15 28 34 36 40
1998-01-31	10	4th	17 22 30 40 46 48
1997-12-27	14	5th	14 21 28 31 40 46
1997-11-08	4	5th	5 24 34 37 40 48
1997-10-25	4	5th	10 21 27 38 40 44
1997-10-11	2	6th	15 17 18 27 34 40
1997-10-04	2	5th	12 19 28 36 40 46
1997-09-27	2	6th	15 21 29 32 33 40
1997-09-20	1	4th	9 30 38 40 43 44
1997-09-17	1	5th	7 20 21 22 40 44
1997-09-13	2	6th	1 2 5 31 32 40
1997-09-07	21	5th	20 22 26 36 40 41
1997-06-25	4	6th	12 17 27 28 38 40
1997-06-11	1	4th	10 31 33 40 42 44
1997-06-07	10	6th	12 14 21 25 30 40
1997-05-03	1	6th	6 20 29 31 35 40
1997-04-30	8	6th	8 10 16 17 24 40
1997-04-02	1	5th	5 10 17 25 40 43
1997-03-29	2	6th	17 19 31 36 39 40
1997-03-22	1	4th	14 27 39 40 41 43
1997-03-19	1	5th	13 16 17 29 40 48
1997-03-15	16	5th	7 24 37 39 40 43
1997-01-04	28	5th	11 13 14 27 40 41
1996-06-22	5	6th	3 4 7 11 17 40
1996-05-18	4	5th	4 12 13 33 40 46
1996-04-20	1	5th	9 28 29 31 40 48
1996-04-13	16	3rd	23 38 40 44 47 49
1995-12-23	12	4th	6 11 34 40 47 49
1995-09-30	4	6th	10 11 29 32 33 40
1995-09-02	6	5th	1 15 22 28 40 49
1995-07-22	2	6th	2 3 21 22 23 40
1995-07-08	3	6th	1 3 11 14 20 40
1995-06-17	2	5th	27 30 33 38 40 48
1995-06-03	26	6th	1 21 29 31 32 40
1994-12-03	—	6th	11 17 21 29 30 40