Number 15

In UK Lotto under the 6/49 + 1/49 · Nov 1994 – Oct 2015 rules — 2,065 draws, 6 from 1–49 (an earlier era).

238times drawn · chance expected 253 −1.00σ

16draws waiting · a wait this long: 14% for any number

8.6average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

66longest completed wait · 5% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 238 times in 2,065 draws against 252.9 expected, −1.00σ. Each draw is independent: after 16 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 48 times, counted separately.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 238 times in 2,065 draws · average wait 8.6 draws · longest completed wait 66 · waiting 16 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest41 · chance 38.7
2nd smallest98 · chance 90.2
3rd smallest69 · chance 75.7
4th smallest28 · chance 28.4
5th smallest2 · chance 4.7
6th smallest0 · chance 0.3

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 24.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

23 35 17 40 18 42

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 48 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2015-08-12	5	2nd	6 15 17 20 24 25
2015-07-25	2	4th	2 4 5 15 20 48
2015-07-18	9	2nd	8 15 17 33 41 47
2015-06-17	9	4th

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.

2013-11-13	8	3rd	4 6 15 23 36 44
2013-10-16	3	2nd	12 15 24 26 31 35
2013-10-05	4	2nd	5 15 17 19 20 47
2013-09-21	6	2nd	11 15 36 37 38 45
2013-08-31	4	3rd	4 14 15 17 21 31
2013-08-17	2	1st	15 25 26 33 34 41
2013-08-10	8	2nd	14 15 17 26 35 46
2013-07-13	3	2nd	12 15 24 36 45 49
2013-07-03	6	1st	15 27 31 40 41 49
2013-06-12	10	4th	2 7 10 15 17 28
2013-05-08	11	2nd	12 15 20 31 33 40
2013-03-30	24	2nd	8 15 24 40 43 45
2013-01-05	7	2nd	10 15 17 21 37 47
2012-12-12	8	2nd	9 15 18 33 38 44
2012-11-14	10	2nd	14 15 17 29 30 33
2012-10-10	9	1st	15 19 23 29 30 46
2012-09-08	2	2nd	8 15 21 26 28 32
2012-09-01	8	1st	15 30 36 39 41 49
2012-08-04	3	3rd	8 10 15 21 23 45
2012-07-25	17	3rd	8 14 15 22 41 48
2012-05-26	12	4th	2 6 7 15 25 44
2012-04-14	9	3rd	1 5 15 22 26 42
2012-03-14	6	2nd	14 15 18 26 31 36
2012-02-22	11	3rd	7 12 15 35 43 49
2012-01-14	2	4th	7 10 12 15 25 42
2012-01-07	4	3rd	8 14 15 17 20 47
2011-12-24	23	2nd	1 15 23 32 36 43
2011-10-05	1	2nd	9 15 17 29 30 39
2011-10-01	1	2nd	4 15 17 26 37 41
2011-09-28	2	1st	15 19 25 36 44 45
2011-09-21	18	2nd	11 15 32 33 37 39
2011-07-20	1	3rd	6 10 15 32 42 49
2011-07-16	1	4th	4 9 13 15 18 40
2011-07-13	5	3rd	7 11 15 18 19 49
2011-06-25	11	3rd	5 9 15 30 32 39
2011-05-18	6	2nd	6 15 20 36 38 42
2011-04-27	12	2nd	6 15 27 32 37 44
2011-03-16	6	2nd	2 15 16 18 47 48
2011-02-23	2	3rd	1 8 15 21 31 39
2011-02-16	15	3rd	5 11 15 26 29 32
2010-12-25	4	2nd	13 15 22 25 33 34
2010-12-11	2	2nd	11 15 24 33 43 49
2010-12-04	7	2nd	4 15 19 44 45 49
2010-11-10	23	1st	15 26 30 35 40 41
2010-08-21	10	2nd	8 15 19 26 33 36
2010-07-17	1	1st	15 28 32 43 44 45
2010-07-14	16	2nd	1 15 25 26 40 43
2010-05-19	5	1st	15 23 24 34 36 47
2010-05-01	10	2nd	6 15 28 29 30 47
2010-03-27	13	3rd	6 11 15 32 38 42
2010-02-10	1	3rd	5 7 15 37 42 44
2010-02-06	13	3rd	3 12 15 17 22 29
2009-12-23	24	1st	15 18 26 32 36 37
2009-09-30	44	3rd	2 10 15 28 36 41
2009-04-29	25	2nd	1 15 35 42 45 48
2009-01-31	6	4th	1 4 13 15 35 38
2009-01-10	3	4th	5 8 11 15 38 45
2008-12-31	4	3rd	3 11 15 33 36 45
2008-12-17	11	2nd	10 15 17 26 46 49
2008-11-08	3	1st	15 24 26 27 33 34
2008-10-29	4	4th	6 10 12 15 20 27
2008-10-15	7	3rd	1 8 15 18 34 38
2008-09-20	3	2nd	5 15 20 22 24 47
2008-09-10	11	2nd	7 15 16 19 22 48
2008-08-02	3	2nd	8 15 23 32 35 49
2008-07-23	4	1st	15 17 33 35 39 40
2008-07-09	11	4th	2 3 9 15 26 29
2008-05-31	8	1st	15 20 22 34 37 39
2008-05-03	1	2nd	2 15 17 32 36 42
2008-04-30	2	1st	15 31 33 35 41 44
2008-04-23	13	2nd	10 15 23 34 39 41
2008-03-08	9	2nd	4 15 18 30 31 47
2008-02-06	4	4th	2 5 12 15 30 48
2008-01-23	3	4th	4 12 13 15 30 36
2008-01-12	3	3rd	6 11 15 18 34 45
2008-01-02	10	2nd	13 15 25 31 37 39
2007-11-28	11	2nd	11 15 25 33 44 45
2007-10-20	8	2nd	4 15 25 27 33 40
2007-09-22	11	3rd	3 12 15 18 30 31
2007-08-15	4	3rd	2 5 15 34 35 43
2007-08-01	5	3rd	3 6 15 23 28 42
2007-07-14	14	1st	15 27 35 37 38 39
2007-05-26	19	2nd	3 15 19 24 28 34
2007-03-21	6	1st	15 19 29 35 44 45
2007-02-28	9	2nd	4 15 34 40 44 46
2007-01-27	6	2nd	4 15 21 23 24 38
2007-01-06	10	1st	15 25 29 35 39 40
2006-12-02	3	3rd	9 11 15 31 42 46
2006-11-22	9	2nd	14 15 24 31 45 49
2006-10-21	2	1st	15 18 23 31 37 49
2006-10-14	9	2nd	8 15 24 31 37 42
2006-09-13	1	2nd	8 15 17 40 43 48
2006-09-09	34	2nd	2 15 21 37 43 46
2006-05-13	8	2nd	3 15 21 22 36 47
2006-04-15	13	2nd	7 15 19 23 37 48
2006-03-01	5	1st	15 16 19 28 38 42
2006-02-11	5	3rd	4 9 15 25 30 40
2006-01-25	11	3rd	9 14 15 18 26 46
2005-12-17	11	3rd	7 11 15 21 35 47
2005-11-09	8	2nd	1 15 23 30 45 49
2005-10-12	8	4th	5 7 13 15 19 45
2005-09-14	10	1st	15 20 22 25 35 39
2005-08-10	13	2nd	8 15 30 31 34 43
2005-06-25	6	1st	15 23 27 38 44 49
2005-06-04	11	4th	6 8 13 15 21 40
2005-04-27	16	2nd	2 15 20 24 32 47
2005-03-02	11	3rd	3 6 15 16 33 48
2005-01-22	1	2nd	5 15 23 30 34 42
2005-01-19	4	1st	15 24 28 33 34 47
2005-01-05	1	3rd	5 8 15 20 42 48
2005-01-01	2	5th	4 6 9 12 15 40
2004-12-24	9	1st	15 19 24 36 37 49
2004-11-24	36	3rd	6 9 15 23 38 48
2004-07-21	6	4th	6 9 13 15 40 43
2004-06-30	10	3rd	11 12 15 29 37 43
2004-05-26	4	2nd	11 15 18 24 34 44
2004-05-12	3	3rd	10 11 15 18 19 40
2004-05-01	22	4th	5 6 10 15 27 49
2004-02-14	30	2nd	14 15 17 31 39 45
2003-11-01	12	3rd	9 11 15 24 38 46
2003-09-20	1	3rd	1 2 15 23 31 48
2003-09-17	7	3rd	3 9 15 16 21 29
2003-08-23	3	2nd	10 15 18 25 42 48
2003-08-13	8	2nd	10 15 16 18 19 28
2003-07-16	1	2nd	2 15 16 17 26 42
2003-07-12	13	4th	9 12 13 15 21 33
2003-05-28	3	3rd	1 7 15 25 27 32
2003-05-17	13	3rd	8 12 15 22 36 48
2003-04-02	1	3rd	8 11 15 21 37 39
2003-03-29	3	2nd	5 15 21 33 35 42
2003-03-19	28	3rd	2 10 15 16 18 39
2002-12-11	19	3rd	10 13 15 16 29 48
2002-10-05	1	1st	15 16 18 36 37 49
2002-10-02	6	4th	2 3 14 15 21 48
2002-09-11	12	1st	15 20 28 37 40 44
2002-07-31	5	3rd	9 13 15 23 26 45
2002-07-13	10	1st	15 21 23 24 31 32
2002-06-08	4	1st	15 16 18 28 36 47
2002-05-25	7	3rd	7 14 15 25 27 40
2002-05-01	14	2nd	10 15 19 22 24 32
2002-03-13	9	3rd	1 7 15 23 27 34
2002-02-09	7	2nd	7 15 20 28 40 48
2002-01-16	32	1st	15 16 23 27 32 44
2001-09-26	3	3rd	3 14 15 17 19 47
2001-09-15	3	3rd	2 9 15 17 40 48
2001-09-05	9	1st	15 23 24 27 43 48
2001-08-04	1	4th	4 7 11 15 28 47
2001-08-01	9	2nd	11 15 20 27 33 40
2001-06-30	2	2nd	9 15 22 43 46 48
2001-06-23	7	2nd	7 15 16 24 25 46
2001-05-30	1	2nd	7 15 23 35 39 44
2001-05-26	20	2nd	3 15 22 29 35 49
2001-03-17	12	3rd	1 3 15 26 45 46
2001-02-03	2	2nd	2 15 16 17 25 26
2001-01-27	5	3rd	4 12 15 39 45 47
2001-01-10	23	3rd	10 14 15 23 24 27
2000-10-21	6	3rd	8 14 15 18 24 44
2000-09-30	32	2nd	12 15 27 32 40 44
2000-06-10	7	3rd	1 14 15 35 44 47
2000-05-17	5	4th	1 10 11 15 21 48
2000-04-29	10	1st	15 16 19 27 29 42
2000-03-25	2	1st	15 22 23 27 32 37
2000-03-18	5	3rd	5 8 15 16 22 39
2000-03-01	29	5th	4 8 10 12 15 30
1999-11-20	6	3rd	7 9 15 20 29 34
1999-10-30	2	2nd	10 15 17 27 44 47
1999-10-23	4	4th	4 8 10 15 25 39
1999-10-09	6	2nd	8 15 26 29 38 46
1999-09-18	6	3rd	5 11 15 18 23 33
1999-08-28	2	3rd	6 14 15 17 27 47
1999-08-21	3	2nd	12 15 16 17 42 48
1999-08-11	7	2nd	1 15 22 38 39 48
1999-07-17	1	2nd	3 15 23 42 45 48
1999-07-14	1	2nd	1 15 21 37 41 42
1999-07-10	21	3rd	5 7 15 26 35 40
1999-04-28	6	1st	15 23 24 36 43 49
1999-04-07	1	2nd	10 15 23 27 29 46
1999-04-03	6	4th	3 7 9 15 40 43
1999-03-13	4	3rd	1 2 15 17 24 44
1999-02-27	14	4th	1 7 13 15 38 43
1999-01-09	22	2nd	1 15 23 34 37 40
1998-10-24	1	3rd	6 8 15 23 26 41
1998-10-21	2	3rd	3 11 15 41 42 48
1998-10-14	5	4th	1 2 5 15 41 45
1998-09-26	4	2nd	6 15 18 29 35 40
1998-09-12	8	2nd	3 15 23 25 28 33
1998-08-15	9	3rd	3 5 15 22 31 35
1998-07-15	3	2nd	1 15 23 31 35 39
1998-07-04	6	2nd	9 15 25 29 32 49
1998-06-13	2	4th	2 7 10 15 27 45
1998-06-06	3	2nd	1 15 23 31 42 48
1998-05-27	2	3rd	8 13 15 26 39 42
1998-05-20	6	2nd	11 15 31 35 36 42
1998-04-29	11	2nd	12 15 28 34 36 40
1998-03-21	2	2nd	2 15 23 26 41 43
1998-03-14	4	2nd	2 15 18 26 36 38
1998-02-28	9	3rd	1 7 15 18 30 31
1998-01-28	31	3rd	4 12 15 31 32 47
1997-10-11	4	1st	15 17 18 27 34 40
1997-09-27	18	1st	15 21 29 32 33 40
1997-07-26	66	2nd	9 15 20 27 30 41
1996-10-12	5	1st	15 16 25 30 39 45
1996-09-07	13	3rd	5 13 15 18 32 44
1996-06-08	16	2nd	11 15 17 25 32 46
1996-02-17	1	3rd	4 14 15 16 18 22
1996-02-10	10	4th	4 11 14 15 28 42
1995-12-02	13	1st	15 16 19 26 35 46
1995-09-02	10	2nd	1 15 22 28 40 49
1995-06-24	2	2nd	5 15 21 42 43 45
1995-06-10	3	2nd	12 15 26 44 46 49
1995-05-20	3	1st	15 16 17 28 32 46
1995-04-29	11	2nd	9 15 22 31 34 48
1995-02-11	11	1st	15 18 29 35 38 48
1994-11-26	—	3rd	6 12 15 16 31 44