In EuroDreams under the 6/40 + 1/5 · since Nov 2023 rules — 310 draws, 6 from 1–40.
58times drawn · chance expected 47 +1.83σ
1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number
5.3average wait between appearances · chance says 6.7
33longest completed wait · 27% chance of one at least that long
23 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 58 times in 310 draws against 46.5 expected, +1.83σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
23
Number 23, draw by draw
Drawn 58 times in 310 draws · average wait 5.3 draws · longest completed wait 33 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 23 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 23 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 23 is drawn with probability 6/40 tonight whatever it did last week.