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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Fantasy 5 · every number

27

Number 27

In Fantasy 5 under the 5/39 · Apr 2010 – Mar 2011 rules — 285 draws, 5 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

5/41 · since Mar 20115/39 · Apr 2010 – Mar 2011
29times drawn · chance expected 37 −1.34σ
38draws waiting · a wait this long: 0.6% for any number
8.4average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8
28longest completed wait · 50% chance of one at least that long
27 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 29 times in 285 draws against 36.5 expected, −1.34σ. Each draw is independent: after 38 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

27

Number 27, draw by draw

Drawn 29 times in 285 draws · average wait 8.4 draws · longest completed wait 28 · waiting 38 draws now

3 draws: 2010-04-17 to 2010-04-212 draws: 2010-04-21 to 2010-04-236 draws: 2010-04-23 to 2010-04-3011 draws: 2010-04-30 to 2010-05-136 draws: 2010-05-13 to 2010-05-207 draws: 2010-05-20 to 2010-05-288 draws: 2010-05-28 to 2010-06-074 draws: 2010-06-07 to 2010-06-117 draws: 2010-06-11 to 2010-06-191 draws: 2010-06-19 to 2010-06-211 draws: 2010-06-21 to 2010-06-229 draws: 2010-06-22 to 2010-07-023 draws: 2010-07-02 to 2010-07-0618 draws: 2010-07-06 to 2010-07-2728 draws: 2010-07-27 to 2010-08-283 draws: 2010-08-28 to 2010-09-011 draws: 2010-09-01 to 2010-09-023 draws: 2010-09-02 to 2010-09-0616 draws: 2010-09-06 to 2010-09-244 draws: 2010-09-24 to 2010-09-299 draws: 2010-09-29 to 2010-10-099 draws: 2010-10-09 to 2010-10-2023 draws: 2010-10-20 to 2010-11-1611 draws: 2010-11-16 to 2010-11-2924 draws: 2010-11-29 to 2010-12-2710 draws: 2010-12-27 to 2011-01-076 draws: 2011-01-07 to 2011-01-143 draws: 2011-01-14 to 2011-01-18Still waiting — at least 38 draws since 2011-01-182010-04-172010-04-212010-04-232010-04-302010-05-132010-05-202010-05-282010-06-072010-06-112010-06-192010-06-212010-06-222010-07-022010-07-062010-07-272010-08-282010-09-012010-09-022010-09-062010-09-242010-09-292010-10-092010-10-202010-11-162010-11-292010-12-272011-01-072011-01-142011-01-182010-04-062011-03-03

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 3 times2 draws: 1 time3 draws: 5 times4 draws: 2 times5 draws: 0 times6 draws: 3 times7 draws: 2 times8 draws: 1 time9 draws: 3 times10 draws: 1 time11 draws: 2 times12 draws: 0 times13 draws: 0 times14 draws: 0 times15 draws: 0 times16 draws: 1 time17 draws: 0 times18 draws: 1 time19 draws: 0 times20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 0 times22 draws: 0 times23 draws: 1 time24 draws: 1 time25 draws: 0 times26 draws: 0 times27 draws: 0 times28 draws: 1 time29 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 27 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest0 · chance 0.2
  • 2nd smallest3 · chance 2.2
  • 3rd smallest10 · chance 8.4
  • 4th smallest15 · chance 12.3
  • 5th smallest1 · chance 5.9

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 3.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

39294222432

Never drawn alongside 2 of the other 38 numbers; chance expects about 2 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 27 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 27 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2011-01-1834th15252729
2011-01-1462nd1727293438
2011-01-07103rd718273239
2010-12-27244th1220
← number 26Every numbernumber 28 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 27 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

26
27
39
2010-11-29114th1522262739
2010-11-16233rd515273839
2010-10-2093rd1123272837
2010-10-0994th1418212732
2010-09-2943rd1722272829
2010-09-24164th79172735
2010-09-0634th1318192737
2010-09-0214th422242739
2010-09-0134th36202738
2010-08-28283rd1219272933
2010-07-27184th110252736
2010-07-0634th314192729
2010-07-0293rd214273539
2010-06-2215th1113152527
2010-06-2114th46242732
2010-06-1972nd1227313235
2010-06-1142nd2427343539
2010-06-0784th1122242735
2010-05-2874th36172732
2010-05-2064th14152729
The other 5 appearances
2010-05-13113rd421273036
2010-04-3063rd2122273034
2010-04-2323rd226272937
2010-04-2133rd524273033
2010-04-17—4th47132739