In Lotto under the 6/52 + 1/25 · Oct 2012 – Jan 2015 rules — 339 draws, 6 from 1–52 (an earlier era).
42times drawn · chance expected 39 +0.49σ
5draws waiting · a wait this long: 61% for any number
8.1average wait between appearances · chance says 8.7
30longest completed wait · 70% chance of one at least that long
11 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 42 times in 339 draws against 39.1 expected, +0.49σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
11
Number 11, draw by draw
Drawn 42 times in 339 draws · average wait 8.1 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 5 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 1 of the other 51 numbers; chance expects about 0.8 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 52. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 6/52 tonight whatever it did last week.