In Lotto under the 6/52 + 1/25 · Oct 2012 – Jan 2015 rules — 339 draws, 6 from 1–52 (an earlier era).
35times drawn · chance expected 39 −0.70σ
0draws waiting — it came up last time
9.9average wait between appearances · chance says 8.7
31longest completed wait · 58% chance of one at least that long
46 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 35 times in 339 draws against 39.1 expected, −0.70σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
46
Number 46, draw by draw
Drawn 35 times in 339 draws · average wait 9.9 draws · longest completed wait 31 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 46 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 51 numbers; chance expected about 2 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 46 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 52. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 46 is drawn with probability 6/52 tonight whatever it did last week.