In MultiMatch under the 6/43 + 1/0 · Nov 2022 – Sep 2025 rules — 296 draws, 6 from 1–43 (an earlier era).
47times drawn · chance expected 41 +0.96σ
11draws waiting · a wait this long: 22% for any number
6.1average wait between appearances · chance says 7.2
25longest completed wait · 72% chance of one at least that long
15 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 47 times in 296 draws against 41.3 expected, +0.96σ. Each draw is independent: after 11 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
15
Number 15, draw by draw
Drawn 47 times in 296 draws · average wait 6.1 draws · longest completed wait 25 · waiting 11 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 42 numbers; chance expected about 0.2 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 43. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 6/43 tonight whatever it did last week.