In MultiMatch under the 6/43 + 1/0 · Nov 2022 – Sep 2025 rules — 296 draws, 6 from 1–43 (an earlier era).
35times drawn · chance expected 41 −1.06σ
6draws waiting · a wait this long: 47% for any number
8.4average wait between appearances · chance says 7.2
35longest completed wait · 19% chance of one at least that long
4 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 35 times in 296 draws against 41.3 expected, −1.06σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
4
Number 4, draw by draw
Drawn 35 times in 296 draws · average wait 8.4 draws · longest completed wait 35 · waiting 6 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 42 numbers; chance expected about 0.7 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 43. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 6/43 tonight whatever it did last week.