In MultiMatch under the 6/43 + 1/0 · Nov 2022 – Sep 2025 rules — 296 draws, 6 from 1–43 (an earlier era).
44times drawn · chance expected 41 +0.45σ
6draws waiting · a wait this long: 47% for any number
6.5average wait between appearances · chance says 7.2
23longest completed wait · 80% chance of one at least that long
10 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 44 times in 296 draws against 41.3 expected, +0.45σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
10
Number 10, draw by draw
Drawn 44 times in 296 draws · average wait 6.5 draws · longest completed wait 23 · waiting 6 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 42 numbers; chance expected about 0.2 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 43. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 6/43 tonight whatever it did last week.