In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2026 rules — 151 draws, 5 from 1–49.
20times drawn · chance expected 15 +1.23σ
6draws waiting · a wait this long: 58% for any number
7.4average wait between appearances · chance says 9.8
25longest completed wait · 78% chance of one at least that long
5 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 20 times in 151 draws against 15.4 expected, +1.23σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
5
Number 5, draw by draw
Drawn 20 times in 151 draws · average wait 7.4 draws · longest completed wait 25 · waiting 6 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 5 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 8 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 5 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 5 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.