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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

Every number

Ontario 49 numbers

How often each number has come up, next to how often chance says it should. Any number opens its own page. Back to Ontario 49

Treat this as provisional

Only 95 draws in this format era, so each number is expected just 11.6 times. That is too few to tell a real pattern from noise; about 245 draws are needed.

This game’s pool size was inferred, not declared

No source told us how many balls this draw uses, so we took the highest number we have actually seen drawn (49). If a ball has never come up, the real pool is larger and every expected frequency below is slightly overstated. Treat the comparison as indicative.

Draws counted
95
Expected per number
11.6
Largest deviation
3.24σ
Beyond chance
0
No number is drawn more often than chance explains

Across 95 draws, each number is expected about 12 times. 1 number looks unusual on its own — but testing all 49 numbers at once means about 0.5 should look that way by luck alone, so the threshold tightens to 2.0e-4. Nothing survives it: these draws behave exactly as random draws should.

Every number

NumberDrawnExpectedDeviationσLast seenDraws since
282211.6
+3.242026-10-103
272011.6
+2.622026-10-171
191911.6
+2.312026-10-035
221811.6
+1.992026-10-171
291711.6
+1.682026-10-035
61611.6
+1.372026-10-171
321611.6
+1.372026-10-142
461511.6
+1.052026-09-238
481511.6
+1.052026-10-210
71411.6
+0.742026-09-0912
131411.6
+0.742026-10-210
351411.6
+0.742026-09-306
411411.6
+0.742026-08-2915
11311.6
+0.432026-10-142
311311.6
+0.432026-10-171
421311.6
+0.432026-10-035
451311.6
+0.432026-10-171
111211.6
+0.112026-10-074
121211.6
+0.112026-10-103
171211.6
+0.112026-09-267
331211.6
+0.112026-09-0912
361211.6
+0.112026-10-103
41111.6
-0.202026-08-1519
81111.6
-0.202026-10-210
101111.6
-0.202026-10-210
151111.6
-0.202026-10-035
181111.6
-0.202026-10-142
371111.6
-0.202026-08-2616
391111.6
-0.202026-10-210
341011.6
-0.512026-09-267
441011.6
-0.512026-09-1610
491011.6
-0.512026-10-142
2911.6
-0.822026-09-0214
5911.6
-0.822026-10-171
9911.6
-0.822026-10-074
21911.6
-0.822026-07-2226
24911.6
-0.822026-10-074
40911.6
-0.822026-09-199
43911.6
-0.822026-07-2525
3811.6
-1.142026-08-1519
14811.6
-1.142026-09-0912
16811.6
-1.142026-09-238
25811.6
-1.142026-10-210
26811.6
-1.142026-08-0821
23711.6
-1.452026-09-199
30711.6
-1.452026-09-1610
38711.6
-1.452026-09-1610
47711.6
-1.452026-10-142
20611.6
-1.762026-09-199

The bonus ball

One more ball from the same 49 — its own tally, because it decides a different prize.

NumberDrawnExpectedDeviationσLast seenDraws since
2051.9
+2.222026-07-0431
3551.9
+2.222026-09-0912
3041.9
+1.502026-07-0132
3941.9
+1.502026-09-306
431.9
+0.772026-07-2226
531.9
+0.772026-04-1853
731.9
+0.772026-10-03
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. Each draw is independent: a number absent for fifty draws is exactly as likely to appear tonight as one drawn yesterday. The point of comparing against expectation is to show when a difference is ordinary — which, in a fair draw, it almost always is.

5
831.9
+0.772026-09-1211
1031.9
+0.772026-10-142
1431.9
+0.772026-10-210
1831.9
+0.772026-06-0340
2331.9
+0.772026-10-103
2431.9
+0.772026-05-1346
2931.9
+0.772026-04-0856
3231.9
+0.772026-03-0765
3331.9
+0.772026-09-199
4131.9
+0.772026-08-2616
321.9
+0.042026-05-0947
621.9
+0.042026-09-0214
1321.9
+0.042026-06-1736
2521.9
+0.042026-06-1337
2621.9
+0.042026-08-2217
3121.9
+0.042026-08-1220
3421.9
+0.042026-09-0513
4021.9
+0.042026-05-2742
4221.9
+0.042026-05-1645
4521.9
+0.042026-09-238
4821.9
+0.042026-03-1164
4921.9
+0.042026-04-2551
111.9
-0.682026-05-2343
211.9
-0.682026-01-1480
1111.9
-0.682026-06-2733
1211.9
-0.682026-08-2915
1611.9
-0.682026-04-0457
1711.9
-0.682026-05-2044
1911.9
-0.682026-05-3041
2711.9
-0.682025-12-2486
3611.9
-0.682025-12-1788
3711.9
-0.682026-10-171
4311.9
-0.682026-06-0639
4411.9
-0.682026-06-2434
4611.9
-0.682026-05-0249
4711.9
-0.682026-07-1129
LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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