Number 15

In Ontario 49 under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Nov 2025 rules — 95 draws, 6 from 1–49.

11times drawn · chance expected 12 −0.20σ

5draws waiting · a wait this long: 59% for any number

8.0average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

34longest completed wait · 13% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 11 times in 95 draws against 11.6 expected, −0.20σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 0 times, counted separately.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 11 times in 95 draws · average wait 8.0 draws · longest completed wait 34 · waiting 5 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest1 · chance 1.8
2nd smallest6 · chance 4.2
3rd smallest2 · chance 3.5
4th smallest2 · chance 1.3
5th smallest0 · chance 0.2
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

19 10 12 13 27 29

Never drawn alongside 15 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 15 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-03	1	2nd	12 15 19 29 42 47
2026-09-30	3	3rd	6 13 15 18 29 35
2026-09-19	2	2nd	1 15 20 23 36 40
2026-09-12	2	3rd

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.