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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Ontario 49 under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Nov 2025 rules — 95 draws, 6 from 1–49.
Drawn 16 times in 95 draws against 11.6 expected, +1.37σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 2 times, counted separately.
Drawn 16 times in 95 draws · average wait 6.0 draws · longest completed wait 12 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 6 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 7 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 6 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | 5 | 2nd | 5622273145 |
| 2026-09-30 | 2 | 1st | 61315182935 |
| 2026-09-23 | 12 | 1st | 61316173546 |
| 2026-08-12 | 8 | 2nd | 36792748 |
| 2026-07-15 | 8 | 1st | 6910131632 |
| 2026-06-17 | 1 | 1st | 6811283640 |
| 2026-06-13 | 1 | 1st | 61224283547 |
| 2026-06-10 | 12 | 2nd | 1622324344 |
| 2026-04-29 | 10 | 1st | 61618192133 |
| 2026-03-25 | 1 | 1st | 6928304648 |
| 2026-03-21 | 7 | 1st | 62931404548 |
| 2026-02-25 | 7 | 1st | 61836424349 |
| 2026-01-31 | 1 | 1st | 61013394245 |
| 2026-01-28 | 7 | 1st | 61120313345 |
| 2026-01-03 | 8 | 2nd | 2617193637 |
| 2025-12-06 | — | 2nd | 5621222738 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 6 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.