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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Ontario 49 under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Nov 2025 rules — 95 draws, 6 from 1–49.
Drawn 17 times in 95 draws against 11.6 expected, +1.68σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 3 times, counted separately.
Drawn 17 times in 95 draws · average wait 5.3 draws · longest completed wait 15 · waiting 5 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 29 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 7 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 8 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 29 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 29 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | 1 | 4th | 121519294247 |
| 2026-09-30 | 7 | 5th | 61315182935 |
| 2026-09-05 | 5 | 5th | 111213152942 |
| 2026-08-19 | 4 | 3rd | 21629343849 |
| 2026-08-05 | 4 | 6th | 148262829 |
| 2026-07-22 | 1 | 6th | 192122242729 |
| 2026-07-18 | 15 | 3rd | 142329313346 |
| 2026-05-27 | 2 | 3rd | 12629323445 |
| 2026-05-20 | 4 | 4th | 92328293541 |
| 2026-05-06 | 3 | 5th | 71319212942 |
| 2026-04-25 | 10 | 3rd | 272829383945 |
| 2026-03-21 | 5 | 2nd | 62931404548 |
| 2026-03-04 | 8 | 5th | 81925272931 |
| 2026-02-04 | 10 | 4th | 7814293945 |
| 2025-12-31 | 2 | 3rd | 111829333945 |
| 2025-12-24 | 3 | 4th | 11722294142 |
| 2025-12-13 | — | 3rd | 141929363746 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 29 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.