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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Ontario 49 under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Nov 2025 rules — 95 draws, 6 from 1–49.
Drawn 18 times in 95 draws against 11.6 expected, +1.99σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 0 times, counted separately.
Drawn 18 times in 95 draws · average wait 5.3 draws · longest completed wait 22 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 22 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 6 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 7 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 22 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 22 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | 3 | 3rd | 5622273145 |
| 2026-10-07 | 22 | 4th | 91011222439 |
| 2026-07-22 | 6 | 3rd | 192122242729 |
| 2026-07-01 | 6 | 2nd | 52224253449 |
| 2026-06-10 | 11 | 3rd | 1622324344 |
| 2026-05-02 | 9 | 4th | 3419223848 |
| 2026-04-01 | 4 | 2nd | 42226283448 |
| 2026-03-18 | 1 | 3rd | 101522273849 |
| 2026-03-14 | 2 | 2nd | 172225262833 |
| 2026-03-07 | 4 | 3rd | 52022273640 |
| 2026-02-21 | 1 | 2nd | 182240424546 |
| 2026-02-18 | 1 | 4th | 1912223543 |
| 2026-02-14 | 10 | 3rd | 3722284448 |
| 2026-01-10 | 1 | 5th | 41314172235 |
| 2026-01-07 | 4 | 3rd | 51222242830 |
| 2025-12-24 | 1 | 3rd | 11722294142 |
| 2025-12-20 | 4 | 2nd | 122225313238 |
| 2025-12-06 | — | 4th | 5621222738 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 22 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.