Number 10

In Ontario 49 under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Nov 2025 rules — 97 draws, 6 from 1–49.

11times drawn · chance expected 12 −0.27σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 88% for any number

8.0average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

19longest completed wait · 63% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 11 times in 97 draws against 11.9 expected, −0.27σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 3 times, counted separately.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 11 times in 97 draws · average wait 8.0 draws · longest completed wait 19 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest3 · chance 3.7
2nd smallest7 · chance 4.8
3rd smallest1 · chance 2.1
4th smallest0 · chance 0.4
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

13 15 16 39 6 8

Never drawn alongside 17 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 15 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-21	4	2nd	8 10 13 25 39 48
2026-10-07	19	2nd	9 10 11 22 24 39
2026-08-01	5	2nd	3 10 23 24 25 33
2026-07-15	15	3rd

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.