Number 18

In Ontario 49 under the 6/49 + 1/46 · Sep 2024 – Nov 2025 rules — 120 draws, 6 from 1–49 (an earlier era).

12times drawn · chance expected 15 −0.75σ

26draws waiting · a wait this long: 4% for any number

7.5average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

16longest completed wait · 81% chance of one at least that long

18 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 12 times in 120 draws against 14.7 expected, −0.75σ. Each draw is independent: after 26 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 18, draw by draw

Drawn 12 times in 120 draws · average wait 7.5 draws · longest completed wait 16 · waiting 26 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 18 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 1.2
2nd smallest2 · chance 3.7
3rd smallest5 · chance 4.3
4th smallest3 · chance 2.2
5th smallest2 · chance 0.5
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

4 1 14 2 25 32

Never drawn alongside 18 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 18 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 18 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2025-08-20	7	4th	4 14 17 18 21 43
2025-07-26	3	2nd	2 18 29 30 46 48
2025-07-16	3	3rd	9 16 18 25 37 41

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 18 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.