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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Ontario 49 under the 6/49 + 1/46 · Sep 2024 – Nov 2025 rules — 120 draws, 6 from 1–49 (an earlier era).
Drawn 13 times in 120 draws against 14.7 expected, −0.47σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 13 times in 120 draws · average wait 8.7 draws · longest completed wait 24 · waiting 7 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 11 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 12 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 10 |
| 1st |
| 21012233949 |
| 2025-05-28 | 1 | 1st | 237121549 |
| 2025-05-24 | 3 | 1st | 21520254249 |
| 2025-05-14 | 2 | 1st | 2618212438 |
| 2025-05-07 | 16 | 1st | 22324263643 |
| 2025-03-12 | 2 | 1st | 21626293137 |
| 2025-03-05 | 24 | 1st | 21224263943 |
| 2024-12-11 | 7 | 2nd | 124183249 |
| 2024-11-16 | 6 | 1st | 245142027 |
| 2024-10-26 | — | 1st | 2619253233 |