Number 5

In Ontario 49 under the 6/49 + 1/46 · Sep 2024 – Nov 2025 rules — 120 draws, 6 from 1–49 (an earlier era).

14times drawn · chance expected 15 −0.19σ

10draws waiting · a wait this long: 31% for any number

8.0average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

26longest completed wait · 40% chance of one at least that long

5 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 14 times in 120 draws against 14.7 expected, −0.19σ. Each draw is independent: after 10 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 5, draw by draw

Drawn 14 times in 120 draws · average wait 8.0 draws · longest completed wait 26 · waiting 10 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 5 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest8 · chance 8.9
2nd smallest4 · chance 4.4
3rd smallest2 · chance 0.6
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

27 29 4 23 26 46

Never drawn alongside 8 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 11 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 5 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 5 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2025-10-15	10	1st	5 11 16 40 41 48
2025-09-10	2	1st	5 21 26 31 46 47
2025-09-03	8	1st	5 6 8 10 16 33

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 5 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.