Number 30

In La Primitiva under the 6/49 + 1/49 · Oct 1985 – Jan 2013 rules — 2,558 draws, 6 from 1–49 (an earlier era).

320times drawn · chance expected 313 +0.41σ

8draws waiting · a wait this long: 40% for any number

8.0average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

39longest completed wait · 89% chance of one at least that long

30 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 320 times in 2,558 draws against 313.2 expected, +0.41σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 52 times, counted separately.

Number 30, draw by draw

Drawn 320 times in 2,558 draws · average wait 8.0 draws · longest completed wait 39 · waiting 8 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 30 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest4 · chance 2.2
2nd smallest24 · chance 21.0
3rd smallest69 · chance 73.5
4th smallest129 · chance 116.8
5th smallest73 · chance 84.3
6th smallest21 · chance 22.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 33.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

37 40 48 34 10 14

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 48 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 30 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 30 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2012-12-01	4	5th	6 19 22 24 30 31
2012-11-17	7	4th	1 6 10 30 42 49
2012-10-25	24	5th	7 14 20 26 30 44
2012-08-02

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 30 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.

2011-07-23	1	5th	3 12 13 24 30 34
2011-07-21	3	3rd	5 21 30 33 39 47
2011-07-09	5	5th	4 6 15 22 30 40
2011-06-23	13	5th	8 16 28 29 30 33
2011-05-07	5	4th	2 23 24 30 31 37
2011-04-21	11	5th	3 14 20 24 30 34
2011-03-12	4	3rd	2 14 30 33 38 45
2011-02-26	6	3rd	5 6 30 32 44 45
2011-02-05	2	6th	2 11 13 20 27 30
2011-01-29	1	4th	2 17 29 30 37 40
2011-01-27	2	4th	5 7 29 30 33 48
2011-01-20	17	5th	12 18 19 29 30 40
2010-11-20	8	5th	2 7 8 26 30 40
2010-10-23	12	5th	7 8 10 20 30 40
2010-09-11	10	5th	2 8 18 25 30 41
2010-08-07	7	6th	10 13 15 20 28 30
2010-07-15	4	4th	2 14 18 30 31 36
2010-07-01	4	4th	14 15 29 30 32 43
2010-06-17	30	5th	4 14 21 28 30 46
2010-03-04	4	4th	4 23 24 30 33 48
2010-02-18	1	2nd	26 30 34 38 39 41
2010-02-13	10	6th	6 15 17 19 20 30
2010-01-09	3	4th	13 26 29 30 31 43
2009-12-31	2	4th	17 19 20 30 34 37
2009-12-24	8	3rd	8 27 30 38 42 43
2009-11-26	2	1st	30 40 46 47 48 49
2009-11-19	1	3rd	14 22 30 31 34 46
2009-11-14	2	3rd	6 21 30 31 36 47
2009-11-07	5	2nd	15 30 33 40 47 48
2009-10-22	27	3rd	15 17 30 33 42 44
2009-07-18	3	5th	5 14 22 28 30 38
2009-07-09	18	6th	2 7 13 20 27 30
2009-05-07	20	4th	7 17 21 30 34 40
2009-02-26	8	3rd	6 14 30 40 45 46
2009-01-29	7	4th	1 9 16 30 42 44
2009-01-03	6	4th	9 11 21 30 31 44
2008-12-13	8	5th	7 8 10 20 30 36
2008-11-15	15	5th	4 8 17 27 30 48
2008-09-25	6	3rd	20 25 30 37 39 40
2008-09-04	1	5th	4 13 15 28 30 39
2008-08-30	3	4th	7 21 22 30 40 47
2008-08-21	5	5th	1 4 7 18 30 31
2008-08-02	9	5th	10 20 24 25 30 48
2008-07-03	3	3rd	1 10 30 31 36 37
2008-06-21	3	6th	2 9 12 13 27 30
2008-06-12	29	5th	11 13 21 22 30 48
2008-03-01	4	6th	2 5 17 25 28 30
2008-02-16	4	4th	8 14 22 30 36 43
2008-02-02	17	3rd	15 19 30 36 42 45
2007-12-06	7	4th	5 23 27 30 32 35
2007-11-10	9	4th	4 8 9 30 33 38
2007-10-11	4	2nd	2 30 36 42 44 45
2007-09-27	3	2nd	6 30 32 33 46 48
2007-09-15	23	5th	1 19 26 27 30 35
2007-06-28	8	3rd	20 25 30 34 42 43
2007-05-31	5	5th	1 7 8 17 30 47
2007-05-12	23	4th	4 19 24 30 31 42
2007-02-22	7	5th	3 20 21 23 30 46
2007-01-27	2	3rd	6 22 30 36 44 49
2007-01-20	1	3rd	6 28 30 35 40 42
2007-01-18	3	4th	1 2 11 30 36 48
2007-01-06	19	4th	15 18 19 30 38 39
2006-11-02	14	4th	2 9 12 30 31 44
2006-09-14	27	2nd	23 30 34 37 39 40
2006-06-10	7	5th	2 3 10 21 30 46
2006-05-18	8	2nd	16 30 36 41 45 46
2006-04-20	4	3rd	2 17 30 34 37 38
2006-04-06	3	4th	1 3 12 30 31 38
2006-03-25	9	4th	13 18 28 30 40 48
2006-02-23	1	2nd	9 30 37 39 40 44
2006-02-18	14	2nd	3 30 37 42 43 49
2005-12-31	16	3rd	6 14 30 33 38 45
2005-11-05	4	6th	4 8 18 19 23 30
2005-10-22	3	6th	3 10 14 15 25 30
2005-10-13	4	5th	11 13 26 29 30 37
2005-09-29	1	3rd	9 28 30 32 34 48
2005-09-24	2	4th	3 11 21 30 41 49
2005-09-17	2	4th	16 22 26 30 44 49
2005-09-10	6	3rd	16 25 30 36 38 44
2005-08-20	3	5th	18 22 23 29 30 35
2005-08-11	15	4th	2 19 20 30 33 46
2005-06-18	11	4th	15 16 20 30 32 42
2005-05-12	19	4th	10 14 15 30 36 39
2005-03-05	2	4th	2 12 27 30 34 37
2005-02-26	14	2nd	29 30 34 37 43 48
2005-01-08	17	4th	9 11 21 30 34 40
2004-11-11	39	3rd	13 28 30 33 41 47
2004-06-26	1	4th	5 23 29 30 36 43
2004-06-24	9	4th	10 22 24 30 31 45
2004-05-22	10	2nd	29 30 31 40 47 48
2004-04-17	2	4th	19 25 26 30 32 34
2004-04-10	7	5th	3 13 16 28 30 39
2004-03-18	11	4th	1 17 23 30 38 46
2004-02-07	4	4th	7 19 23 30 36 42
2004-01-24	18	4th	21 22 25 30 31 44
2003-11-22	28	4th	6 21 24 30 31 36
2003-08-16	1	3rd	3 19 30 32 33 44
2003-08-14	5	5th	4 8 13 17 30 46
2003-07-26	24	6th	2 5 12 13 22 30
2003-05-03	4	6th	1 5 12 16 22 30
2003-04-19	6	3rd	15 28 30 34 46 47
2003-03-29	2	5th	7 8 23 25 30 47
2003-03-22	11	4th	5 10 17 30 39 42
2003-02-13	6	4th	1 12 18 30 48 49
2003-01-23	5	4th	13 14 19 30 42 43
2003-01-04	1	2nd	24 30 35 38 43 45
2003-01-02	7	2nd	14 30 37 39 40 47
2002-12-07	7	4th	18 19 27 30 38 44
2002-11-14	5	2nd	11 30 35 37 44 47
2002-10-26	1	3rd	10 24 30 32 35 41
2002-10-24	16	5th	2 16 22 29 30 40
2002-08-29	18	4th	11 17 24 30 32 48
2002-06-27	12	4th	8 19 23 30 38 46
2002-05-16	3	4th	3 23 26 30 32 33
2002-05-04	2	5th	15 22 24 26 30 40
2002-04-27	15	5th	3 10 11 27 30 37
2002-03-07	2	4th	4 18 21 30 35 38
2002-02-28	8	6th	2 6 17 22 27 30
2002-01-31	6	3rd	3 10 30 36 37 42
2002-01-10	11	6th	14 15 16 25 26 30
2001-12-01	15	5th	7 10 13 21 30 42
2001-10-11	6	3rd	8 24 30 31 37 49
2001-09-20	2	5th	4 14 19 26 30 47
2001-09-13	9	3rd	10 23 30 35 44 47
2001-08-11	13	5th	6 8 12 19 30 34
2001-06-28	3	4th	15 18 23 30 34 41
2001-06-16	3	4th	10 11 15 30 31 48
2001-06-07	27	5th	7 13 23 29 30 33
2001-03-03	1	4th	14 27 28 30 36 47
2001-03-01	6	3rd	17 28 30 34 37 48
2001-02-08	1	5th	9 26 27 29 30 41
2001-02-03	1	6th	1 17 20 27 28 30
2001-02-01	2	3rd	11 19 30 31 39 44
2001-01-25	1	4th	10 15 20 30 37 45
2001-01-20	17	5th	2 6 25 27 30 37
2000-11-23	9	4th	7 11 27 30 37 47
2000-10-21	5	4th	9 14 17 30 39 43
2000-10-05	8	4th	8 10 16 30 32 44
2000-09-07	5	4th	6 9 11 30 41 46
2000-08-19	11	4th	20 22 25 30 37 48
2000-07-13	9	5th	9 10 11 17 30 39
2000-06-10	4	2nd	24 30 34 44 46 49
2000-05-27	3	3rd	9 12 30 31 34 38
2000-05-18	12	5th	2 14 19 29 30 33
2000-04-06	15	6th	4 10 13 15 22 30
2000-02-12	5	5th	1 11 16 17 30 45
2000-01-27	3	4th	11 25 26 30 34 39
2000-01-15	10	4th	5 7 10 30 37 47
1999-12-11	2	5th	15 16 18 23 30 48
1999-12-04	2	4th	6 12 23 30 38 41
1999-11-27	5	5th	2 6 14 17 30 41
1999-11-11	10	3rd	18 23 30 31 42 48
1999-10-07	1	4th	3 21 26 30 34 39
1999-10-02	8	4th	10 16 29 30 32 41
1999-09-04	1	3rd	6 21 30 39 44 48
1999-09-02	4	6th	12 13 14 27 29 30
1999-08-19	5	5th	6 9 14 29 30 34
1999-07-31	7	3rd	16 23 30 32 36 42
1999-07-08	3	4th	9 10 15 30 36 38
1999-06-26	6	4th	1 4 16 30 47 48
1999-06-05	2	3rd	2 7 30 32 45 46
1999-05-29	15	3rd	6 15 30 33 42 46
1999-04-08	23	2nd	22 30 32 34 38 39
1999-01-16	3	3rd	26 28 30 33 37 49
1999-01-07	9	5th	7 8 11 24 30 35
1998-12-05	32	5th	9 11 24 29 30 40
1998-08-15	10	4th	7 11 28 30 35 45
1998-07-11	1	4th	1 6 28 30 44 45
1998-07-09	3	2nd	27 30 41 43 44 49
1998-06-27	3	4th	2 16 22 30 34 48
1998-06-18	11	3rd	18 21 30 31 40 41
1998-05-09	10	4th	5 17 27 30 35 47
1998-04-04	1	4th	7 13 14 30 32 34
1998-04-02	5	4th	12 25 26 30 33 35
1998-03-14	14	3rd	11 12 30 36 39 41
1998-01-24	7	4th	7 14 15 30 31 38
1998-01-01	2	3rd	2 11 30 39 44 48
1997-12-25	4	4th	3 15 26 30 34 47
1997-12-11	3	4th	5 6 15 30 40 48
1997-11-29	2	3rd	6 19 30 35 38 40
1997-11-22	5	5th	1 7 23 25 30 49
1997-11-06	4	5th	5 12 13 18 30 45
1997-10-23	5	4th	17 23 25 30 41 45
1997-10-04	7	4th	13 14 19 30 39 47
1997-09-11	3	4th	3 14 18 30 37 40
1997-08-30	6	3rd	10 14 30 36 39 40
1997-08-09	10	2nd	27 30 34 38 45 47
1997-07-05	8	3rd	5 27 30 37 38 48
1997-06-07	9	5th	11 13 17 21 30 37
1997-05-08	2	4th	10 13 27 30 34 38
1997-05-01	3	4th	13 15 25 30 37 43
1997-04-19	9	3rd	6 19 30 32 42 49
1997-03-20	19	6th	8 13 19 23 27 30
1997-01-11	1	3rd	2 27 30 32 40 45
1997-01-09	34	4th	12 24 29 30 31 48
1996-09-12	13	4th	3 14 15 30 38 48
1996-07-27	4	4th	6 16 18 30 37 40
1996-07-13	12	4th	8 10 12 30 35 46
1996-06-01	4	4th	6 14 18 30 46 48
1996-05-18	2	5th	7 16 17 29 30 48
1996-05-11	5	4th	6 14 28 30 45 49
1996-04-25	7	4th	1 15 21 30 40 47
1996-03-30	16	4th	1 2 21 30 41 46
1996-02-03	3	2nd	1 30 32 37 40 45
1996-01-25	16	4th	2 5 10 30 34 35
1995-11-30	21	4th	3 7 10 30 31 37
1995-09-16	7	4th	19 22 26 30 37 41
1995-08-24	8	4th	8 9 19 30 34 48
1995-07-27	5	3rd	1 21 30 31 41 48
1995-07-08	38	5th	5 10 14 22 30 47
1995-02-25	9	5th	7 8 11 28 30 32
1995-01-26	17	3rd	1 11 30 35 45 47
1994-11-26	3	5th	4 17 25 26 30 49
1994-11-17	10	5th	1 6 17 26 30 32
1994-10-13	1	5th	3 10 12 26 30 38
1994-10-08	5	4th	1 4 23 30 31 32
1994-09-22	11	3rd	12 14 30 40 42 49
1994-08-13	3	4th	7 8 27 30 37 45
1994-08-04	3	1st	30 33 42 44 46 47
1994-07-23	21	2nd	16 30 38 39 42 44
1994-05-12	22	5th	8 20 22 28 30 41
1994-02-24	2	3rd	11 26 30 31 34 45
1994-02-17	14	3rd	3 26 30 43 46 47
1993-12-30	1	4th	4 5 18 30 31 44
1993-12-25	7	4th	2 6 13 30 42 44
1993-12-02	6	4th	1 9 17 30 37 40
1993-11-11	15	4th	2 7 18 30 39 40
1993-09-18	13	5th	18 21 22 26 30 44
1993-08-05	2	6th	6 8 21 25 29 30
1993-07-29	2	5th	4 7 12 15 30 39
1993-07-22	16	4th	13 20 23 30 39 47
1993-05-27	12	3rd	7 9 30 35 36 46
1993-04-15	5	1st	30 36 37 40 41 49
1993-03-27	8	4th	3 16 17 30 47 48
1993-02-27	29	3rd	14 18 30 40 45 49
1992-11-19	6	4th	10 16 18 30 46 49
1992-10-29	2	3rd	3 9 30 34 38 40
1992-10-22	3	2nd	11 30 34 37 41 44
1992-10-10	12	5th	3 16 17 24 30 39
1992-08-29	2	3rd	17 23 30 40 46 47
1992-08-22	4	4th	7 19 26 30 43 49
1992-08-08	7	4th	8 12 28 30 31 49
1992-07-16	7	4th	15 19 21 30 31 44
1992-06-20	17	4th	13 24 29 30 37 42
1992-04-23	15	4th	12 16 28 30 40 49
1992-02-29	5	4th	5 9 15 30 31 37
1992-02-13	4	3rd	2 6 30 33 36 43
1992-01-30	3	5th	13 15 18 29 30 36
1992-01-18	4	4th	4 22 25 30 37 39
1992-01-04	3	4th	12 16 17 30 43 44
1991-12-26	1	4th	14 18 29 30 32 37
1991-12-21	9	5th	4 10 19 29 30 38
1991-11-21	5	4th	8 18 27 30 33 35
1991-11-02	15	4th	6 12 23 30 35 37
1991-09-12	1	3rd	1 22 30 39 46 47
1991-09-07	13	2nd	11 30 33 39 45 49
1991-07-25	2	5th	3 20 26 29 30 37
1991-07-18	12	5th	8 13 14 24 30 32
1991-05-30	25	5th	18 21 25 29 30 45
1990-12-06	8	4th	5 14 29 30 41 45
1990-10-11	5	2nd	27 30 33 39 40 43
1990-09-06	13	3rd	11 12 30 39 44 45
1990-07-19	1	4th	15 18 22 30 37 40
1990-07-14	15	4th	17 24 27 30 31 41
1990-05-24	4	4th	2 11 17 30 40 45
1990-05-03	11	3rd	16 28 30 36 40 47
1990-02-15	4	6th	11 12 17 22 23 30
1990-01-18	3	3rd	6 22 30 32 45 47
1989-12-28	3	4th	7 20 21 30 31 44
1989-12-07	2	3rd	13 26 30 39 41 47
1989-11-23	8	4th	1 19 24 30 33 34
1989-09-28	5	4th	16 21 23 30 35 45
1989-08-24	5	6th	11 18 19 22 25 30
1989-07-20	13	3rd	22 23 30 35 37 41
1989-04-20	24	4th	4 8 9 30 37 48
1988-11-03	6	4th	9 17 20 30 35 39
1988-09-22	7	4th	12 14 24 30 39 46
1988-08-04	33	5th	4 7 12 13 30 40
1987-12-17	4	2nd	18 30 35 40 46 49
1987-11-19	4	3rd	2 21 30 33 35 41
1987-10-22	2	3rd	3 15 30 35 40 43
1987-10-08	2	4th	4 7 10 30 41 46
1987-09-24	27	3rd	5 11 30 39 41 47
1987-03-19	16	5th	4 6 8 14 30 49
1986-11-20	1	6th	3 4 10 19 23 30
1986-11-13	3	4th	1 6 26 30 41 43
1986-10-23	6	4th	2 12 21 30 35 48
1986-09-11	3	5th	2 3 20 24 30 43
1986-08-21	1	4th	15 21 22 30 34 37
1986-08-14	5	1st	30 34 38 43 47 48
1986-07-10	5	3rd	1 29 30 34 38 48
1986-06-05	3	5th	2 5 18 21 30 31
1986-05-15	18	4th	5 10 15 30 36 37
1986-01-09	2	5th	2 6 8 10 30 48
1985-12-19	2	3rd	5 28 30 34 39 44
1985-12-05	—	5th	4 14 23 27 30 40