Number 40

In La Primitiva under the 6/49 + 1/49 · Oct 1985 – Jan 2013 rules — 2,558 draws, 6 from 1–49 (an earlier era).

314times drawn · chance expected 313 +0.05σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 88% for any number

8.1average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

44longest completed wait · 68% chance of one at least that long

40 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 314 times in 2,558 draws against 313.2 expected, +0.05σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 48 times, counted separately.

Number 40, draw by draw

Drawn 314 times in 2,558 draws · average wait 8.1 draws · longest completed wait 44 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest1 · chance 0.9
3rd smallest13 · chance 11.4
4th smallest61 · chance 60.3
5th smallest128 · chance 135.7
6th smallest111 · chance 105.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 32.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

30 11 37 5 6 23

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 48 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 40 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2012-12-22	21	6th	2 27 29 34 35 40
2012-10-11	8	6th	9 15 16 23 31 40
2012-09-13	3	6th	7 9 11 12 33 40
2012-09-01

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.

2011-10-08	7	3rd	17 23 40 42 47 49
2011-09-15	19	6th	11 17 20 36 38 40
2011-07-09	6	6th	4 6 15 22 30 40
2011-06-18	2	5th	4 11 21 22 40 41
2011-06-11	3	3rd	2 35 40 42 43 45
2011-06-02	5	4th	15 27 31 40 47 49
2011-05-14	15	6th	4 11 27 36 39 40
2011-03-24	10	6th	2 25 26 36 37 40
2011-02-17	4	5th	11 16 25 39 40 47
2011-02-03	1	6th	11 21 22 26 37 40
2011-01-29	3	6th	2 17 29 30 37 40
2011-01-20	10	6th	12 18 19 29 30 40
2010-12-16	2	5th	1 29 33 39 40 45
2010-12-09	4	4th	4 12 14 40 41 44
2010-11-25	1	6th	12 19 21 35 37 40
2010-11-20	1	6th	2 7 8 26 30 40
2010-11-18	7	5th	11 19 22 32 40 44
2010-10-23	7	6th	7 8 10 20 30 40
2010-09-30	2	5th	11 24 26 33 40 44
2010-09-23	4	4th	3 12 34 40 41 43
2010-09-09	3	4th	2 26 39 40 45 47
2010-08-28	4	5th	14 18 32 38 40 44
2010-08-14	7	5th	14 22 28 37 40 41
2010-07-22	24	5th	3 16 32 36 40 43
2010-04-29	8	6th	1 4 10 28 29 40
2010-04-01	4	5th	2 5 8 20 40 43
2010-03-18	13	6th	8 11 14 37 39 40
2010-01-30	2	5th	1 5 8 26 40 48
2010-01-23	17	6th	9 11 13 28 33 40
2009-11-26	5	2nd	30 40 46 47 48 49
2009-11-07	3	4th	15 30 33 40 47 48
2009-10-29	15	6th	1 14 28 33 38 40
2009-09-05	3	6th	8 9 11 29 37 40
2009-08-27	22	3rd	3 25 40 44 45 49
2009-06-11	8	5th	17 32 33 39 40 41
2009-05-14	2	5th	9 14 23 29 40 43
2009-05-07	4	6th	7 17 21 30 34 40
2009-04-23	5	6th	13 21 23 24 34 40
2009-04-04	2	6th	2 19 28 31 37 40
2009-03-28	8	5th	12 14 23 36 40 49
2009-02-28	1	3rd	12 19 40 42 48 49
2009-02-26	34	4th	6 14 30 40 45 46
2008-10-30	10	6th	1 6 11 15 38 40
2008-09-25	7	6th	20 25 30 37 39 40
2008-08-30	2	5th	7 21 22 30 40 47
2008-08-23	11	5th	12 17 28 32 40 46
2008-07-17	11	4th	23 27 33 40 43 47
2008-06-07	5	6th	4 7 10 33 38 40
2008-05-22	1	4th	21 26 29 40 41 44
2008-05-17	1	6th	10 11 23 28 29 40
2008-05-15	6	5th	13 19 23 28 40 44
2008-04-24	5	5th	7 24 29 34 40 49
2008-04-05	8	6th	3 7 15 29 36 40
2008-03-08	22	6th	1 3 22 29 33 40
2007-12-22	13	6th	5 11 13 34 35 40
2007-11-08	5	5th	9 16 25 38 40 48
2007-10-20	19	5th	24 27 28 29 40 44
2007-08-16	4	6th	1 6 25 32 38 40
2007-08-02	14	6th	1 19 20 34 38 40
2007-06-14	3	3rd	17 19 40 41 44 48
2007-06-02	2	4th	14 24 39 40 45 48
2007-05-26	5	6th	6 19 25 35 37 40
2007-05-10	3	4th	11 23 33 40 42 47
2007-04-28	12	5th	10 19 28 39 40 46
2007-03-17	5	6th	2 10 25 37 38 40
2007-03-01	11	5th	14 24 36 38 40 49
2007-01-20	16	5th	6 28 30 35 40 42
2006-11-25	3	5th	1 35 37 39 40 41
2006-11-16	18	6th	14 15 29 32 35 40
2006-09-14	11	6th	23 30 34 37 39 40
2006-08-05	8	5th	3 10 22 29 40 43
2006-07-08	18	6th	15 29 32 34 35 40
2006-05-06	12	6th	5 7 19 20 29 40
2006-03-25	9	5th	13 18 28 30 40 48
2006-02-23	14	5th	9 30 37 39 40 44
2006-01-05	4	6th	8 10 12 19 27 40
2005-12-22	31	5th	23 24 34 39 40 42
2005-09-03	11	6th	3 5 7 13 36 40
2005-07-28	10	4th	11 31 33 40 41 49
2005-06-23	3	6th	8 13 16 24 25 40
2005-06-11	12	5th	7 12 29 37 40 42
2005-04-30	7	6th	6 10 20 23 34 40
2005-04-07	12	5th	6 13 15 31 40 43
2005-02-24	3	4th	5 21 28 40 44 45
2005-02-12	8	5th	3 7 14 17 40 43
2005-01-15	2	5th	4 26 31 37 40 44
2005-01-08	44	6th	9 11 21 30 34 40
2004-08-07	7	5th	4 13 15 29 40 42
2004-07-15	15	6th	17 21 28 31 34 40
2004-05-22	11	4th	29 30 31 40 47 48
2004-04-15	11	5th	5 24 35 39 40 41
2004-03-06	1	5th	1 5 14 32 40 44
2004-03-04	2	6th	5 6 13 14 26 40
2004-02-26	21	6th	11 17 18 19 34 40
2003-12-13	2	5th	12 20 35 36 40 45
2003-12-06	23	6th	2 8 9 35 38 40
2003-09-18	14	6th	15 23 26 28 36 40
2003-07-31	2	5th	6 11 13 27 40 49
2003-07-24	7	6th	2 10 13 25 36 40
2003-06-28	41	5th	1 15 31 37 40 43
2003-02-06	10	5th	2 10 35 37 40 48
2003-01-02	2	5th	14 30 37 39 40 47
2002-12-26	11	4th	5 12 27 40 45 48
2002-11-16	7	5th	15 20 22 35 40 42
2002-10-24	9	6th	2 16 22 29 30 40
2002-09-21	6	5th	2 21 27 32 40 43
2002-08-31	5	6th	1 3 4 5 17 40
2002-08-15	10	5th	18 22 28 32 40 48
2002-07-11	11	6th	5 7 18 38 39 40
2002-06-01	1	6th	9 20 31 37 38 40
2002-05-30	7	3rd	13 29 40 42 45 46
2002-05-04	3	6th	15 22 24 26 30 40
2002-04-25	9	5th	11 12 14 39 40 47
2002-03-23	16	3rd	11 29 40 41 47 49
2002-01-26	8	5th	11 23 32 37 40 43
2001-12-29	3	4th	1 11 26 40 45 48
2001-12-20	1	6th	2 13 22 27 35 40
2001-12-15	3	5th	11 23 34 36 40 48
2001-12-06	5	4th	20 36 38 40 42 46
2001-11-17	8	4th	2 3 4 40 46 47
2001-10-20	5	5th	11 24 29 37 40 42
2001-10-04	9	5th	16 17 18 23 40 44
2001-09-01	5	5th	10 11 31 35 40 44
2001-08-16	2	6th	2 26 27 34 39 40
2001-08-09	11	6th	6 10 11 25 29 40
2001-06-30	21	6th	5 18 20 34 38 40
2001-04-19	1	4th	17 20 33 40 42 43
2001-04-14	11	5th	8 13 28 36 40 49
2001-03-08	3	5th	5 13 15 27 40 42
2001-02-24	14	6th	2 15 17 21 34 40
2001-01-06	9	5th	6 13 18 28 40 45
2000-12-07	27	5th	2 29 33 39 40 47
2000-09-02	10	6th	21 24 25 32 36 40
2000-07-29	13	3rd	16 17 40 42 45 47
2000-06-15	3	5th	8 29 32 37 40 49
2000-06-03	4	6th	3 5 21 28 34 40
2000-05-20	4	4th	2 7 23 40 46 47
2000-05-06	35	5th	5 28 34 35 40 41
2000-01-06	4	5th	15 19 29 31 40 46
1999-12-23	13	6th	2 4 14 25 26 40
1999-11-06	5	4th	6 7 20 40 43 45
1999-10-21	11	6th	11 16 24 28 35 40
1999-09-11	15	5th	11 20 23 32 40 45
1999-07-22	38	3rd	29 36 40 42 47 48
1999-03-11	14	6th	15 22 26 27 35 40
1999-01-21	10	4th	21 22 26 40 43 48
1998-12-17	3	6th	6 10 32 33 34 40
1998-12-05	41	6th	9 11 24 29 30 40
1998-07-16	8	5th	2 14 21 31 40 42
1998-06-18	8	5th	18 21 30 31 40 41
1998-05-21	4	3rd	3 35 40 42 44 48
1998-05-07	4	5th	1 3 4 28 40 43
1998-04-23	1	5th	26 32 33 39 40 41
1998-04-18	3	5th	6 12 37 39 40 46
1998-04-09	5	6th	13 17 19 34 37 40
1998-03-21	1	5th	11 16 20 35 40 47
1998-03-19	11	6th	1 4 10 19 37 40
1998-02-07	12	5th	1 8 13 27 40 41
1997-12-27	5	5th	3 5 13 19 40 42
1997-12-11	3	5th	5 6 15 30 40 48
1997-11-29	3	6th	6 19 30 35 38 40
1997-11-20	2	3rd	23 35 40 41 42 43
1997-11-13	4	5th	17 28 33 36 40 45
1997-10-30	14	6th	5 6 23 26 34 40
1997-09-11	3	6th	3 14 18 30 37 40
1997-08-30	2	6th	10 14 30 36 39 40
1997-08-23	2	5th	5 6 13 37 40 45
1997-08-16	17	5th	7 13 19 26 40 48
1997-06-19	1	5th	18 31 37 39 40 42
1997-06-14	14	6th	3 23 27 32 39 40
1997-04-26	22	5th	4 13 18 37 40 44
1997-02-08	7	5th	5 21 29 35 40 42
1997-01-16	1	6th	8 10 12 23 39 40
1997-01-11	2	5th	2 27 30 32 40 45
1997-01-04	11	6th	1 11 12 18 26 40
1996-11-28	10	5th	7 9 38 39 40 43
1996-10-24	15	5th	6 8 10 33 40 43
1996-08-31	3	6th	2 5 6 33 35 40
1996-08-22	1	6th	5 14 35 36 37 40
1996-08-17	5	6th	9 13 21 22 33 40
1996-08-01	1	5th	1 11 24 27 40 46
1996-07-27	11	6th	6 16 18 30 37 40
1996-06-20	1	5th	6 11 16 37 40 48
1996-06-15	15	5th	7 25 27 38 40 41
1996-04-25	22	5th	1 15 21 30 40 47
1996-02-08	1	5th	21 22 27 29 40 48
1996-02-03	5	5th	1 30 32 37 40 45
1996-01-18	2	5th	9 29 32 36 40 41
1996-01-11	1	5th	6 12 13 31 40 45
1996-01-06	14	4th	5 31 33 40 47 49
1995-11-18	7	6th	4 9 10 29 35 40
1995-10-26	9	4th	6 32 39 40 41 47
1995-09-23	16	5th	1 15 24 33 40 41
1995-07-29	13	5th	5 6 7 16 40 43
1995-06-15	10	4th	10 11 38 40 42 47
1995-05-11	4	5th	3 9 16 17 40 47
1995-04-27	20	6th	1 3 21 25 26 40
1995-02-16	2	6th	5 15 17 22 32 40
1995-02-09	8	5th	2 9 20 25 40 43
1995-01-12	4	5th	5 8 11 35 40 49
1994-12-29	15	5th	3 15 18 36 40 44
1994-11-05	13	5th	18 22 23 33 40 42
1994-09-22	1	4th	12 14 30 40 42 49
1994-09-17	3	4th	26 28 31 40 46 47
1994-09-08	19	4th	26 27 39 40 41 49
1994-07-02	1	4th	1 10 14 40 48 49
1994-06-30	2	4th	5 9 33 40 46 47
1994-06-23	14	5th	1 12 23 35 40 45
1994-05-05	1	6th	6 21 25 27 35 40
1994-04-30	1	6th	6 9 12 18 21 40
1994-04-28	6	6th	3 9 19 22 39 40
1994-04-07	3	5th	18 25 35 38 40 42
1994-03-26	1	4th	21 31 34 40 48 49
1994-03-24	6	4th	7 13 22 40 44 45
1994-03-03	8	5th	5 16 17 35 40 45
1994-02-03	4	6th	1 3 17 20 39 40
1994-01-20	3	5th	5 7 14 34 40 42
1994-01-08	11	4th	20 25 27 40 44 49
1993-12-02	6	6th	1 9 17 30 37 40
1993-11-11	2	6th	2 7 18 30 39 40
1993-11-04	1	6th	21 23 26 31 37 40
1993-10-30	13	5th	9 23 31 38 40 46
1993-09-16	22	4th	1 5 33 40 43 47
1993-07-01	5	5th	17 18 22 35 40 45
1993-06-12	7	6th	7 18 23 33 37 40
1993-05-20	8	4th	1 5 10 40 46 48
1993-04-22	2	5th	7 9 13 15 40 47
1993-04-15	3	4th	30 36 37 40 41 49
1993-04-03	9	5th	4 9 14 27 40 41
1993-03-04	1	5th	1 14 20 29 40 45
1993-02-27	5	4th	14 18 30 40 45 49
1993-02-11	7	5th	1 8 12 33 40 46
1993-01-16	1	6th	5 13 14 31 36 40
1993-01-14	22	4th	12 21 35 40 41 47
1992-10-29	3	6th	3 9 30 34 38 40
1992-10-17	1	4th	15 20 27 40 45 49
1992-10-15	13	6th	5 6 23 28 34 40
1992-08-29	1	4th	17 23 30 40 46 47
1992-08-27	6	5th	5 7 31 37 40 43
1992-08-06	3	4th	23 25 29 40 42 44
1992-07-25	17	3rd	27 33 40 41 45 46
1992-05-28	2	5th	8 9 14 32 40 49
1992-05-21	8	5th	3 6 34 35 40 47
1992-04-23	10	5th	12 16 28 30 40 49
1992-03-19	6	4th	4 6 35 40 46 47
1992-02-27	7	4th	4 18 23 40 42 48
1992-02-01	13	4th	10 12 17 40 43 46
1991-12-19	6	5th	5 8 22 36 40 41
1991-11-28	13	5th	1 4 9 29 40 47
1991-10-12	2	6th	2 11 12 22 33 40
1991-10-05	2	4th	7 9 23 40 47 48
1991-09-28	34	5th	14 22 23 38 40 43
1991-05-23	14	4th	22 32 36 40 41 43
1991-02-14	11	6th	4 5 14 26 34 40
1990-11-29	1	6th	9 23 25 27 34 40
1990-11-22	5	6th	5 9 22 24 36 40
1990-10-18	1	5th	7 13 22 34 40 42
1990-10-11	17	5th	27 30 33 39 40 43
1990-07-21	1	5th	12 14 18 26 40 44
1990-07-19	3	6th	15 18 22 30 37 40
1990-07-07	12	6th	3 4 6 16 26 40
1990-05-26	1	6th	1 11 25 33 37 40
1990-05-24	4	5th	2 11 17 30 40 45
1990-05-03	3	5th	16 28 30 36 40 47
1990-04-12	1	6th	2 4 19 27 31 40
1990-04-05	3	4th	5 20 23 40 42 46
1990-03-15	1	4th	12 24 32 40 41 46
1990-03-08	19	6th	2 10 20 22 28 40
1989-10-26	5	4th	1 27 37 40 41 47
1989-09-21	6	5th	12 26 31 37 40 45
1989-08-10	13	6th	5 16 31 34 39 40
1989-05-11	1	4th	6 18 20 40 42 44
1989-05-04	3	5th	22 24 35 38 40 42
1989-04-13	19	5th	20 21 36 39 40 45
1988-12-01	2	6th	5 8 19 21 22 40
1988-11-17	15	5th	1 6 7 22 40 48
1988-08-04	7	6th	4 7 12 13 30 40
1988-06-16	12	5th	2 10 11 37 40 46
1988-03-24	3	6th	11 19 22 23 36 40
1988-03-03	1	6th	1 2 11 13 23 40
1988-02-25	10	5th	4 6 16 36 40 45
1987-12-17	7	4th	18 30 35 40 46 49
1987-10-29	1	5th	16 17 24 26 40 41
1987-10-22	24	5th	3 15 30 35 40 43
1987-05-07	2	6th	12 33 34 36 39 40
1987-04-23	23	5th	9 24 26 33 40 44
1986-11-06	5	4th	17 22 28 40 42 46
1986-10-02	27	4th	2 11 25 40 41 43
1986-03-27	15	4th	11 20 22 40 41 46
1985-12-05	—	6th	4 14 23 27 30 40