La Primitiva · every number
4
Number 4 In La Primitiva under the 6/49 + 1/49 · Oct 1985 – Jan 2013 rules — 2,558 draws, 6 from 1–49 (an earlier era).
6/49 + 1/49 · since Jan 2013 6/49 + 1/49 · Oct 1985 – Jan 2013 301 times drawn · chance expected 313 −0.74σ
4 draws waiting · a wait this long: 68% for any number
8.5 average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2
42 longest completed wait · 76% chance of one at least that long
4 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 301 times in 2,558 draws against 313.2 expected, −0.74σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 45 times, counted separately.
4 Number 4, draw by draw Drawn 301 times in 2,558 draws · average wait 8.5 draws · longest completed wait 42 · waiting 4 draws now
12 draws: 1985-12-05 to 1986-03-06 1 draws: 1986-03-06 to 1986-03-13 25 draws: 1986-03-13 to 1986-09-04 11 draws: 1986-09-04 to 1986-11-20 1 draws: 1986-11-20 to 1986-11-27 10 draws: 1986-11-27 to 1987-02-12 5 draws: 1987-02-12 to 1987-03-19 3 draws: 1987-03-19 to 1987-04-09 15 draws: 1987-04-09 to 1987-07-23 1 draws: 1987-07-23 to 1987-07-30 4 draws: 1987-07-30 to 1987-08-27 6 draws: 1987-08-27 to 1987-10-08 11 draws: 1987-10-08 to 1987-12-24 2 draws: 1987-12-24 to 1988-01-07 7 draws: 1988-01-07 to 1988-02-25 5 draws: 1988-02-25 to 1988-03-31 8 draws: 1988-03-31 to 1988-05-26 1 draws: 1988-05-26 to 1988-06-02 3 draws: 1988-06-02 to 1988-06-23 6 draws: 1988-06-23 to 1988-08-04 3 draws: 1988-08-04 to 1988-08-25 9 draws: 1988-08-25 to 1988-10-27 7 draws: 1988-10-27 to 1988-12-15 5 draws: 1988-12-15 to 1989-01-19 2 draws: 1989-01-19 to 1989-02-02 2 draws: 1989-02-02 to 1989-02-16 9 draws: 1989-02-16 to 1989-04-20 11 draws: 1989-04-20 to 1989-07-06 6 draws: 1989-07-06 to 1989-08-17 12 draws: 1989-08-17 to 1989-11-09 22 draws: 1989-11-09 to 1990-04-12 12 draws: 1990-04-12 to 1990-06-09 8 draws: 1990-06-09 to 1990-07-07 11 draws: 1990-07-07 to 1990-08-16 9 draws: 1990-08-16 to 1990-10-04 3 draws: 1990-10-04 to 1990-10-25 16 draws: 1990-10-25 to 1991-02-14 2 draws: 1991-02-14 to 1991-02-28 5 draws: 1991-02-28 to 1991-04-04 15 draws: 1991-04-04 to 1991-06-29 11 draws: 1991-06-29 to 1991-08-08 11 draws: 1991-08-08 to 1991-09-14 21 draws: 1991-09-14 to 1991-11-28 7 draws: 1991-11-28 to 1991-12-21 7 draws: 1991-12-21 to 1992-01-16 1 draws: 1992-01-16 to 1992-01-18 11 draws: 1992-01-18 to 1992-02-27 3 draws: 1992-02-27 to 1992-03-07 3 draws: 1992-03-07 to 1992-03-19 1 draws: 1992-03-19 to 1992-03-21 3 draws: 1992-03-21 to 1992-04-02 4 draws: 1992-04-02 to 1992-04-16 8 draws: 1992-04-16 to 1992-05-14 3 draws: 1992-05-14 to 1992-05-23 6 draws: 1992-05-23 to 1992-06-13 1 draws: 1992-06-13 to 1992-06-18 6 draws: 1992-06-18 to 1992-07-09 24 draws: 1992-07-09 to 1992-10-01 11 draws: 1992-10-01 to 1992-11-07 18 draws: 1992-11-07 to 1993-01-09 6 draws: 1993-01-09 to 1993-01-30 6 draws: 1993-01-30 to 1993-02-20 4 draws: 1993-02-20 to 1993-03-06 3 draws: 1993-03-06 to 1993-03-18 1 draws: 1993-03-18 to 1993-03-20 1 draws: 1993-03-20 to 1993-03-25 3 draws: 1993-03-25 to 1993-04-03 8 draws: 1993-04-03 to 1993-05-01 3 draws: 1993-05-01 to 1993-05-13 18 draws: 1993-05-13 to 1993-07-15 4 draws: 1993-07-15 to 1993-07-29 35 draws: 1993-07-29 to 1993-11-27 9 draws: 1993-11-27 to 1993-12-30 12 draws: 1993-12-30 to 1994-02-10 14 draws: 1994-02-10 to 1994-03-31 6 draws: 1994-03-31 to 1994-04-21 16 draws: 1994-04-21 to 1994-06-16 33 draws: 1994-06-16 to 1994-10-08 7 draws: 1994-10-08 to 1994-11-03 7 draws: 1994-11-03 to 1994-11-26 1 draws: 1994-11-26 to 1994-12-01 15 draws: 1994-12-01 to 1995-01-21 24 draws: 1995-01-21 to 1995-04-15 26 draws: 1995-04-15 to 1995-07-15 8 draws: 1995-07-15 to 1995-08-12 4 draws: 1995-08-12 to 1995-08-26 1 draws: 1995-08-26 to 1995-08-31 1 draws: 1995-08-31 to 1995-09-02 5 draws: 1995-09-02 to 1995-09-21 3 draws: 1995-09-21 to 1995-09-30 4 draws: 1995-09-30 to 1995-10-14 1 draws: 1995-10-14 to 1995-10-19 1 draws: 1995-10-19 to 1995-10-21 6 draws: 1995-10-21 to 1995-11-11 2 draws: 1995-11-11 to 1995-11-18 16 draws: 1995-11-18 to 1996-01-13 4 draws: 1996-01-13 to 1996-01-27 4 draws: 1996-01-27 to 1996-02-10 2 draws: 1996-02-10 to 1996-02-17 6 draws: 1996-02-17 to 1996-03-09 1 draws: 1996-03-09 to 1996-03-14 24 draws: 1996-03-14 to 1996-06-06 2 draws: 1996-06-06 to 1996-06-13 18 draws: 1996-06-13 to 1996-08-15 24 draws: 1996-08-15 to 1996-11-07 3 draws: 1996-11-07 to 1996-11-16 4 draws: 1996-11-16 to 1996-11-30 17 draws: 1996-11-30 to 1997-01-30 25 draws: 1997-01-30 to 1997-04-26 4 draws: 1997-04-26 to 1997-05-10 1 draws: 1997-05-10 to 1997-05-15 1 draws: 1997-05-15 to 1997-05-17 1 draws: 1997-05-17 to 1997-05-22 9 draws: 1997-05-22 to 1997-06-21 8 draws: 1997-06-21 to 1997-07-19 39 draws: 1997-07-19 to 1997-12-04 14 draws: 1997-12-04 to 1998-01-22 16 draws: 1998-01-22 to 1998-03-19 8 draws: 1998-03-19 to 1998-04-16 6 draws: 1998-04-16 to 1998-05-07 13 draws: 1998-05-07 to 1998-06-20 17 draws: 1998-06-20 to 1998-08-20 1 draws: 1998-08-20 to 1998-08-22 7 draws: 1998-08-22 to 1998-09-17 19 draws: 1998-09-17 to 1998-11-21 2 draws: 1998-11-21 to 1998-11-28 13 draws: 1998-11-28 to 1999-01-14 14 draws: 1999-01-14 to 1999-03-04 6 draws: 1999-03-04 to 1999-03-25 1 draws: 1999-03-25 to 1999-03-27 12 draws: 1999-03-27 to 1999-05-08 3 draws: 1999-05-08 to 1999-05-20 6 draws: 1999-05-20 to 1999-06-10 2 draws: 1999-06-10 to 1999-06-17 3 draws: 1999-06-17 to 1999-06-26 12 draws: 1999-06-26 to 1999-08-07 11 draws: 1999-08-07 to 1999-09-16 28 draws: 1999-09-16 to 1999-12-23 19 draws: 1999-12-23 to 2000-02-26 6 draws: 2000-02-26 to 2000-03-18 1 draws: 2000-03-18 to 2000-03-23 1 draws: 2000-03-23 to 2000-03-25 3 draws: 2000-03-25 to 2000-04-06 7 draws: 2000-04-06 to 2000-04-29 4 draws: 2000-04-29 to 2000-05-13 15 draws: 2000-05-13 to 2000-07-06 5 draws: 2000-07-06 to 2000-07-22 16 draws: 2000-07-22 to 2000-09-16 3 draws: 2000-09-16 to 2000-09-28 4 draws: 2000-09-28 to 2000-10-12 2 draws: 2000-10-12 to 2000-10-19 6 draws: 2000-10-19 to 2000-11-09 2 draws: 2000-11-09 to 2000-11-16 12 draws: 2000-11-16 to 2000-12-28 1 draws: 2000-12-28 to 2000-12-30 12 draws: 2000-12-30 to 2001-02-10 2 draws: 2001-02-10 to 2001-02-17 14 draws: 2001-02-17 to 2001-04-07 1 draws: 2001-04-07 to 2001-04-12 10 draws: 2001-04-12 to 2001-05-17 1 draws: 2001-05-17 to 2001-05-19 4 draws: 2001-05-19 to 2001-06-02 28 draws: 2001-06-02 to 2001-09-08 3 draws: 2001-09-08 to 2001-09-20 8 draws: 2001-09-20 to 2001-10-18 9 draws: 2001-10-18 to 2001-11-17 10 draws: 2001-11-17 to 2001-12-22 1 draws: 2001-12-22 to 2001-12-27 3 draws: 2001-12-27 to 2002-01-05 3 draws: 2002-01-05 to 2002-01-17 14 draws: 2002-01-17 to 2002-03-07 6 draws: 2002-03-07 to 2002-03-28 3 draws: 2002-03-28 to 2002-04-06 7 draws: 2002-04-06 to 2002-05-02 5 draws: 2002-05-02 to 2002-05-18 7 draws: 2002-05-18 to 2002-06-13 23 draws: 2002-06-13 to 2002-08-31 19 draws: 2002-08-31 to 2002-11-07 8 draws: 2002-11-07 to 2002-12-05 3 draws: 2002-12-05 to 2002-12-14 19 draws: 2002-12-14 to 2003-02-20 24 draws: 2003-02-20 to 2003-05-15 7 draws: 2003-05-15 to 2003-06-07 7 draws: 2003-06-07 to 2003-07-03 12 draws: 2003-07-03 to 2003-08-14 4 draws: 2003-08-14 to 2003-08-28 40 draws: 2003-08-28 to 2004-01-15 5 draws: 2004-01-15 to 2004-01-31 5 draws: 2004-01-31 to 2004-02-19 26 draws: 2004-02-19 to 2004-05-20 4 draws: 2004-05-20 to 2004-06-03 14 draws: 2004-06-03 to 2004-07-22 4 draws: 2004-07-22 to 2004-08-05 1 draws: 2004-08-05 to 2004-08-07 10 draws: 2004-08-07 to 2004-09-11 3 draws: 2004-09-11 to 2004-09-23 2 draws: 2004-09-23 to 2004-09-30 18 draws: 2004-09-30 to 2004-12-02 13 draws: 2004-12-02 to 2005-01-15 22 draws: 2005-01-15 to 2005-04-02 7 draws: 2005-04-02 to 2005-04-28 5 draws: 2005-04-28 to 2005-05-14 5 draws: 2005-05-14 to 2005-06-02 13 draws: 2005-06-02 to 2005-07-16 2 draws: 2005-07-16 to 2005-07-23 9 draws: 2005-07-23 to 2005-08-25 21 draws: 2005-08-25 to 2005-11-05 8 draws: 2005-11-05 to 2005-12-03 2 draws: 2005-12-03 to 2005-12-10 5 draws: 2005-12-10 to 2005-12-29 3 draws: 2005-12-29 to 2006-01-07 10 draws: 2006-01-07 to 2006-02-11 1 draws: 2006-02-11 to 2006-02-16 42 draws: 2006-02-16 to 2006-07-13 1 draws: 2006-07-13 to 2006-07-15 5 draws: 2006-07-15 to 2006-08-03 2 draws: 2006-08-03 to 2006-08-10 14 draws: 2006-08-10 to 2006-09-28 3 draws: 2006-09-28 to 2006-10-07 6 draws: 2006-10-07 to 2006-10-28 15 draws: 2006-10-28 to 2006-12-21 27 draws: 2006-12-21 to 2007-03-24 1 draws: 2007-03-24 to 2007-03-29 6 draws: 2007-03-29 to 2007-04-19 7 draws: 2007-04-19 to 2007-05-12 2 draws: 2007-05-12 to 2007-05-19 1 draws: 2007-05-19 to 2007-05-24 5 draws: 2007-05-24 to 2007-06-09 14 draws: 2007-06-09 to 2007-07-28 6 draws: 2007-07-28 to 2007-08-18 3 draws: 2007-08-18 to 2007-08-30 6 draws: 2007-08-30 to 2007-09-20 3 draws: 2007-09-20 to 2007-09-29 1 draws: 2007-09-29 to 2007-10-04 1 draws: 2007-10-04 to 2007-10-06 2 draws: 2007-10-06 to 2007-10-13 8 draws: 2007-10-13 to 2007-11-10 23 draws: 2007-11-10 to 2008-01-31 14 draws: 2008-01-31 to 2008-03-20 3 draws: 2008-03-20 to 2008-03-29 3 draws: 2008-03-29 to 2008-04-10 2 draws: 2008-04-10 to 2008-04-17 14 draws: 2008-04-17 to 2008-06-05 1 draws: 2008-06-05 to 2008-06-07 15 draws: 2008-06-07 to 2008-07-31 4 draws: 2008-07-31 to 2008-08-14 2 draws: 2008-08-14 to 2008-08-21 4 draws: 2008-08-21 to 2008-09-04 1 draws: 2008-09-04 to 2008-09-06 4 draws: 2008-09-06 to 2008-09-20 4 draws: 2008-09-20 to 2008-10-04 2 draws: 2008-10-04 to 2008-10-11 8 draws: 2008-10-11 to 2008-11-08 2 draws: 2008-11-08 to 2008-11-15 2 draws: 2008-11-15 to 2008-11-22 3 draws: 2008-11-22 to 2008-12-04 8 draws: 2008-12-04 to 2009-01-01 4 draws: 2009-01-01 to 2009-01-15 10 draws: 2009-01-15 to 2009-02-19 4 draws: 2009-02-19 to 2009-03-05 1 draws: 2009-03-05 to 2009-03-07 1 draws: 2009-03-07 to 2009-03-12 14 draws: 2009-03-12 to 2009-04-30 1 draws: 2009-04-30 to 2009-05-02 9 draws: 2009-05-02 to 2009-06-04 15 draws: 2009-06-04 to 2009-07-25 17 draws: 2009-07-25 to 2009-09-24 23 draws: 2009-09-24 to 2009-12-12 6 draws: 2009-12-12 to 2010-01-02 3 draws: 2010-01-02 to 2010-01-14 12 draws: 2010-01-14 to 2010-02-25 2 draws: 2010-02-25 to 2010-03-04 5 draws: 2010-03-04 to 2010-03-20 11 draws: 2010-03-20 to 2010-04-29 1 draws: 2010-04-29 to 2010-05-01 13 draws: 2010-05-01 to 2010-06-17 36 draws: 2010-06-17 to 2010-10-21 14 draws: 2010-10-21 to 2010-12-09 18 draws: 2010-12-09 to 2011-02-10 14 draws: 2011-02-10 to 2011-03-31 13 draws: 2011-03-31 to 2011-05-14 6 draws: 2011-05-14 to 2011-06-04 4 draws: 2011-06-04 to 2011-06-18 6 draws: 2011-06-18 to 2011-07-09 11 draws: 2011-07-09 to 2011-08-18 4 draws: 2011-08-18 to 2011-09-01 10 draws: 2011-09-01 to 2011-10-06 3 draws: 2011-10-06 to 2011-10-15 23 draws: 2011-10-15 to 2012-01-05 22 draws: 2012-01-05 to 2012-03-22 2 draws: 2012-03-22 to 2012-03-29 2 draws: 2012-03-29 to 2012-04-05 16 draws: 2012-04-05 to 2012-05-31 2 draws: 2012-05-31 to 2012-06-07 3 draws: 2012-06-07 to 2012-06-16 8 draws: 2012-06-16 to 2012-07-14 5 draws: 2012-07-14 to 2012-08-02 27 draws: 2012-08-02 to 2012-11-03 9 draws: 2012-11-03 to 2012-12-06 3 draws: 2012-12-06 to 2012-12-15 Still waiting — at least 4 draws since 2012-12-15 1985-12-05 1986-03-06 1986-03-13 1986-09-04 1986-11-20 1986-11-27 1987-02-12 1987-03-19 1987-04-09 1987-07-23 1987-07-30 1987-08-27 1987-10-08 1987-12-24 1988-01-07 1988-02-25 1988-03-31 1988-05-26 1988-06-02 1988-06-23 1988-08-04 1988-08-25 1988-10-27 1988-12-15 1989-01-19 1989-02-02 1989-02-16 1989-04-20 1989-07-06 1989-08-17 1989-11-09 1990-04-12 1990-06-09 1990-07-07 1990-08-16 1990-10-04 1990-10-25 1991-02-14 1991-02-28 1991-04-04 1991-06-29 1991-08-08 1991-09-14 1991-11-28 1991-12-21 1992-01-16 1992-01-18 1992-02-27 1992-03-07 1992-03-19 1992-03-21 1992-04-02 1992-04-16 1992-05-14 1992-05-23 1992-06-13 1992-06-18 1992-07-09 1992-10-01 1992-11-07 1993-01-09 1993-01-30 1993-02-20 1993-03-06 1993-03-18 1993-03-20 1993-03-25 1993-04-03 1993-05-01 1993-05-13 1993-07-15 1993-07-29 1993-11-27 1993-12-30 1994-02-10 1994-03-31 1994-04-21 1994-06-16 1994-10-08 1994-11-03 1994-11-26 1994-12-01 1995-01-21 1995-04-15 1995-07-15 1995-08-12 1995-08-26 1995-08-31 1995-09-02 1995-09-21 1995-09-30 1995-10-14 1995-10-19 1995-10-21 1995-11-11 1995-11-18 1996-01-13 1996-01-27 1996-02-10 1996-02-17 1996-03-09 1996-03-14 1996-06-06 1996-06-13 1996-08-15 1996-11-07 1996-11-16 1996-11-30 1997-01-30 1997-04-26 1997-05-10 1997-05-15 1997-05-17 1997-05-22 1997-06-21 1997-07-19 1997-12-04 1998-01-22 1998-03-19 1998-04-16 1998-05-07 1998-06-20 1998-08-20 1998-08-22 1998-09-17 1998-11-21 1998-11-28 1999-01-14 1999-03-04 1999-03-25 1999-03-27 1999-05-08 1999-05-20 1999-06-10 1999-06-17 1999-06-26 1999-08-07 1999-09-16 1999-12-23 2000-02-26 2000-03-18 2000-03-23 2000-03-25 2000-04-06 2000-04-29 2000-05-13 2000-07-06 2000-07-22 2000-09-16 2000-09-28 2000-10-12 2000-10-19 2000-11-09 2000-11-16 2000-12-28 2000-12-30 2001-02-10 2001-02-17 2001-04-07 2001-04-12 2001-05-17 2001-05-19 2001-06-02 2001-09-08 2001-09-20 2001-10-18 2001-11-17 2001-12-22 2001-12-27 2002-01-05 2002-01-17 2002-03-07 2002-03-28 2002-04-06 2002-05-02 2002-05-18 2002-06-13 2002-08-31 2002-11-07 2002-12-05 2002-12-14 2003-02-20 2003-05-15 2003-06-07 2003-07-03 2003-08-14 2003-08-28 2004-01-15 2004-01-31 2004-02-19 2004-05-20 2004-06-03 2004-07-22 2004-08-05 2004-08-07 2004-09-11 2004-09-23 2004-09-30 2004-12-02 2005-01-15 2005-04-02 2005-04-28 2005-05-14 2005-06-02 2005-07-16 2005-07-23 2005-08-25 2005-11-05 2005-12-03 2005-12-10 2005-12-29 2006-01-07 2006-02-11 2006-02-16 2006-07-13 2006-07-15 2006-08-03 2006-08-10 2006-09-28 2006-10-07 2006-10-28 2006-12-21 2007-03-24 2007-03-29 2007-04-19 2007-05-12 2007-05-19 2007-05-24 2007-06-09 2007-07-28 2007-08-18 2007-08-30 2007-09-20 2007-09-29 2007-10-04 2007-10-06 2007-10-13 2007-11-10 2008-01-31 2008-03-20 2008-03-29 2008-04-10 2008-04-17 2008-06-05 2008-06-07 2008-07-31 2008-08-14 2008-08-21 2008-09-04 2008-09-06 2008-09-20 2008-10-04 2008-10-11 2008-11-08 2008-11-15 2008-11-22 2008-12-04 2009-01-01 2009-01-15 2009-02-19 2009-03-05 2009-03-07 2009-03-12 2009-04-30 2009-05-02 2009-06-04 2009-07-25 2009-09-24 2009-12-12 2010-01-02 2010-01-14 2010-02-25 2010-03-04 2010-03-20 2010-04-29 2010-05-01 2010-06-17 2010-10-21 2010-12-09 2011-02-10 2011-03-31 2011-05-14 2011-06-04 2011-06-18 2011-07-09 2011-08-18 2011-09-01 2011-10-06 2011-10-15 2012-01-05 2012-03-22 2012-03-29 2012-04-05 2012-05-31 2012-06-07 2012-06-16 2012-07-14 2012-08-02 2012-11-03 2012-12-06 2012-12-15 1985-10-17 2012-12-29
1 draws: 39 times 2 draws: 27 times 3 draws: 34 times 4 draws: 24 times 5 draws: 16 times 6 draws: 23 times 7 draws: 14 times 8 draws: 14 times 9 draws: 9 times 10 draws: 7 times 11 draws: 11 times 12 draws: 10 times 13 draws: 6 times 14 draws: 13 times 15 draws: 7 times 16 draws: 6 times 17 draws: 3 times 18 draws: 5 times 19 draws: 4 times 20 draws: 0 times 21 draws: 2 times 22 draws: 3 times 23 draws: 4 times 24 draws: 5 times 25 draws: 2 times 26 draws: 2 times 27 draws: 2 times 28 draws: 2 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 1 time 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 1 time 36 draws: 1 time 37 draws: 0 times 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 1 time 40 draws: 1 time 41 draws: 0 times 42 draws: 1 time 43 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 208 · chance 214.8 2nd smallest 82 · chance 78.6 3rd smallest 11 · chance 7.5 4th smallest 0 · chance 0.2 5th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 6th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 31.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 48 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 3 Every number number 5 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.